AMSF Stock Price Prediction

Amerisafe Inc

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47.670

-0.550(-1.140%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Amerisafe Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AMSF has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

AMSF stock price ended at $47.67 on Tuesday, after losing -1.14%

The Amerisafe Inc stock price decreased by -1.14% on the last trading day (20 May 2025), dropping from 47.94 to 47.67. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.04% , ranging from a day low of $47.57 to a day high of 48.54. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 1.21% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -9.78K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 50.17K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 2.40M.

AMSF Technical Signals

AMSF(Amerisafe Inc Corp) has 1 buy signal and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is uptrend starting from 2025-05-01. The total price change during this trend is +4.01%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of AMSF over the last 5 trading days is 3.32M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

AMSF Moving Average Analysis

Amerisafe Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, May 21, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $48.859673333333326, and $49.86433333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $45.60899333333332, and $44.60433333333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AMSF Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Amerisafe Inc(AMSF) as of 16 May 2025 is 13.06%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 47.52 to 47.95. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.57

Bullish

4 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-1.112

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.517

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

94.241

Bearish

Moving Average

Price crosses below 250-day SMA

Bearish

AMSF Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Amerisafe Inc(AMSF), our algorithm predicts AMSF's 1-month price at $44.01, with an -8.21%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.91%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Amerisafe Inc (AMSF.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -8.21% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HNNA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.91%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AMSF

Future prediction

Up: -8.21%

HNNA

Down: -8.21%Similarity: 93.91%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

HNNA.O

93.91%

-8.21%

MI.N

93.44%

-27.23%

D.N

93.37%

+5.57%

QUAD.N

93.26%

-3.93%

OPRX.O

93.19%

+13.33%

PGY.O

93.08%

-8.37%

ATGE.N

93.05%

+3.39%

VVX.N

92.94%

-38.98%

TGT.N

92.82%

+2.17%

VRTS.O

92.75%

+6.60%

AMSF Seasonality Analysis

Based on AMSF's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AMSF. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Amerisafe Inc (AMSF.O) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while September has the lowest probability (20.00%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Amerisafe Inc. (AMSF)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.