AMSF Stock Price Prediction

Amerisafe Inc

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39.810

-0.27(-0.674%)1D

Should I Buy Amerisafe Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. AMSF has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

AMSF stock price ended at $39.81 on Monday, after losing -0.67%

The Amerisafe Inc stock price decreased by -0.67% on the last trading day (03 Nov 2025), dropping from 40.25 to 39.81. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.79% , ranging from a day low of $39.1577 to a day high of 40.25. The price has declined in 7 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -4.72% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by -26.68K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 154.20K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 6.10M.

AMSF Technical Signals

AMSF(Amerisafe Inc Corp) has 2 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-10-22. The total price change during this trend is -5.53%. Recently, the price has dropped while volume droped, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of AMSF over the last 5 trading days is 6.19M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

AMSF Moving Average Analysis

Amerisafe Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Tuesday, November 4, 2025, with 4 negative signals and 0 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $42.65, and $43.84. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $38.79, and $37.60. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

AMSF Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Amerisafe Inc(AMSF) as of 31 Oct 2025 is 12.11%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 39.94 to 40.08. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Negative

Stock Price Below SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

2 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 < -100

-146.918

Bullish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20

17.584

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-2.064

Bearish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 < 0

-1.97

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.847

Bearish

AMSF Stock Forecast

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Month	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI
Month	Min. Price	Avg. Price	Max. Price	Potential ROI
Jan 2026	$38.56	$38.70	$47.80	-9.93%
Feb 2026	$38.95	$46.25	$53.05	+7.63%
Mar 2026	$43.53	$48.78	$58.69	+13.51%
Apr 2026	$34.54	$39.96	$47.00	-7.00%
May 2026	$38.82	$47.31	$56.33	+10.10%
Jun 2026	$46.98	$52.70	$55.63	+22.65%
Jul 2026	$33.00	$42.42	$51.60	-1.27%
Aug 2026	$29.33	$38.70	$39.81	-9.93%
Sep 2026	$41.75	$46.80	$52.14	+8.90%
Oct 2026	$39.80	$41.68	$42.77	-3.01%
Nov 2026	$43.93	$49.92	$57.20	+16.17%
Dec 2026	$44.25	$52.70	$54.23	+22.65%

Unlock Free Stock Price Forecast

In 2026, Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) is anticipated to change hands in a trading channel between $29.33 and $58.69.

Amerisafe Inc Stock Forecast 2026

Jan 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -9.93%

In Jan 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $38.70. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $38.56 and a high of $47.80.

Feb 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 7.63%

In Feb 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $46.25. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $38.95 and a high of $53.05.

Mar 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 13.51%

In Mar 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $48.78. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $43.53 and a high of $58.69.

Apr 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -7.00%

In Apr 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $39.96. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $34.54 and a high of $47.00.

May 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 10.10%

In May 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $47.31. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $38.82 and a high of $56.33.

Jun 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 22.65%

In Jun 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $52.70. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $46.98 and a high of $55.63.

Jul 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -1.27%

In Jul 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $42.42. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $33.00 and a high of $51.60.

Aug 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -9.93%

In Aug 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $38.70. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $29.33 and a high of $39.81.

Sep 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 8.90%

In Sep 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $46.80. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $41.75 and a high of $52.14.

Oct 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: -3.01%

In Oct 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $41.68. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $39.80 and a high of $42.77.

Nov 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 16.17%

In Nov 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $49.92. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $43.93 and a high of $57.20.

Dec 2026: AMSF Stock Forecast

Potential ROI: 22.65%

In Dec 2026, Amerisafe Inc's value is forecasted to reach an average price of $52.70. The price is predicted to fluctuate between a low of $44.25 and a high of $54.23.

AMSF Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Amerisafe Inc(AMSF), our algorithm predicts AMSF's 1-month price at $41.60, with an 3.78%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 97.00%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Amerisafe Inc (AMSF.O) stock, as of Sunday, November 2, 2025 , forecasts a 3.78% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PRPO.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 97%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

AMSF

Future prediction

Up: 3.78%

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PRPO

Up: 3.78%Similarity: 97%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

PRPO.O

97.00%

+3.78%

MUFG.N

96.61%

-0.42%

AKO.B.N

96.53%

-0.53%

VRE.N

96.48%

+14.06%

ARLP.O

96.37%

+3.76%

AGIO.O

96.28%

-12.59%

TAC.N

96.24%

-2.49%

PDSB.O

96.21%

-13.24%

LCTX.A

96.13%

+21.30%

UGRO.O

96.08%

-20.34%

AMSF Seasonality Analysis

Based on AMSF's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in November is53.85%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in AMSF. In contrast,Augustoffers the highest probability of positive returns at64.29%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Amerisafe Inc (AMSF.O) stock in August has the highest probability of a positive return (64.29%), while April has the lowest probability (28.57%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Amerisafe Inc. (AMSF)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.