Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CTBI has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
CTBI stock price ended at $50.46 on Friday, after rising2.15%
The Community Trust Bancorp Inc stock price increased by 2.15% on the last trading day (02 May 2025), rising from 49.9 to 50.46. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.53% , ranging from a day low of $49.77 to a day high of 50.53. The price has declined in 2 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 6.93% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -12.48K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 38.30K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 1.93M.
CTBI Technical Signals
CTBI(Community Trust Bancorp Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +3.07%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of CTBI over the last 5 trading days is 2.15M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
CTBI Moving Average Analysis
Community Trust Bancorp Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 3, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $51.196213333333326, and $52.78533333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $46.05445333333332, and $44.46533333333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
CTBI Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Community Trust Bancorp Inc(CTBI) as of 01 May 2025 is 24.48%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 48.96 to 49.40. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Neutral
Sell
5
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.106
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
3.13
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
50.32
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 250-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
84.992
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
126.817
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.104
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
92.844
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-3.091
Bearish
CTBI Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Community Trust Bancorp Inc(CTBI), our algorithm predicts CTBI's 1-month price at $50.67, with an 3.79%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.40%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Community Trust Bancorp Inc (CTBI.O) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 3.79% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HTBK.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.4%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
CTBI
Future prediction
Up: 3.79%
HTBK
Up: 3.79%Similarity: 99.4%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
HTBK.O
99.40%
+3.79%
CARE.O
99.40%
+2.42%
FMBH.O
99.34%
+7.26%
MBWM.O
99.33%
+4.27%
WSBC.O
99.29%
+2.94%
FFIC.O
99.27%
+3.76%
EQBK.N
99.15%
+3.41%
TCBK.O
99.13%
+2.96%
PEBO.O
99.12%
+4.19%
CAC.O
99.03%
+2.19%
CTBI Seasonality Analysis
Based on CTBI's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in CTBI. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Community Trust Bancorp Inc (CTBI.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while February has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Community Trust Bancorp Inc. (CTBI)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
Should I buy Community Trust Bancorp Inc (CTBI.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. CTBI has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Community Trust Bancorp Inc (CTBI.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Community Trust Bancorp Inc (CTBI.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while February has the lowest probability (36.36%).
How has Community Trust Bancorp Inc. (CTBI)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
CTBI's stock price fell by -1.16% in 2023,increased by 25.57% in 2024, and went down by 2.87% in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does CTBI have?
Bullish technical signals of CTBI include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1, Price crosses above 250-day SMA.
Is CTBI a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
CTBI has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for CTBI is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of CTBI.
What is the trend of Community Trust Bancorp Inc (CTBI)'s moving average?
Community Trust Bancorp Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 03 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for CTBI stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Community Trust Bancorp Inc (CTBI.O) stock, as of April 27 2025, forecasts a 3.79% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with HTBK stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.4%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for CTBI Stock?
The predicted price for CTBI stock in 2025 is approximately **$57**, with a potential upside of **$60** if the company maintains strong core fundamentals and overcomes economic uncertainties. Analysts have adjusted their targets slightly downward due to macroeconomic concerns but still maintain a positive outlook.
What is price prediction 2030 for CTBI Stock?
The price prediction for CTBI stock by 2030 is expected to reach **$53.21**, driven by breaking through resistance levels and continued growth. If resistance is strong, the stock may stabilize around **$47.80**. Current technical indicators and dividend declarations support a bullish outlook.