TMP Stock Price Prediction

Tompkins Financial Corp

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62.000

+1.960(+3.260%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Tompkins Financial Corp Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TMP has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

TMP stock price ended at $62 on Friday, after rising 3.26%

The Tompkins Financial Corp stock price increased by 3.26% on the last trading day (02 May 2025), rising from 59.64 to 60.04. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 4.17% , ranging from a day low of $58.66 to a day high of 61.108. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 4.91% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -2.18K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 61.79K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 3.72M.

TMP Technical Signals

TMP(Tompkins Financial Corp Corp) has 1 buy signal and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-04-25. The total price change during this trend is +1.38%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of TMP over the last 5 trading days is 3.30M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

TMP Moving Average Analysis

Tompkins Financial Corp's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, May 2, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $61.942519999999995, and $64.097. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $54.97147999999999, and $52.81699999999999. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

TMP Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Tompkins Financial Corp(TMP) as of 30 Apr 2025 is 11.64%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 60.00 to 59.60. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Strong sell

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Negative

SMA_20 Below SMA_60

Long Term

Negative

SMA_60 Below SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

1 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

2.81

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

107.297

Bearish

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-1.133

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-0.739

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

97.216

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-16.514

Bearish

TMP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Tompkins Financial Corp(TMP), our algorithm predicts TMP's 1-month price at $63.17, with an 6.67%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.07%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP.A) stock, as of Sunday, April 27, 2025 , forecasts a 6.67% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with INDB.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.07%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

TMP

Future prediction

Up: 6.67%

INDB

Up: 6.67%Similarity: 99.07%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

INDB.O

99.07%

+6.67%

HTH.N

98.82%

+3.42%

EBTC.O

98.80%

+6.06%

SBCF.O

98.79%

+3.29%

OBK.N

98.58%

+3.64%

OSBC.O

98.45%

+4.24%

BHLB.N

98.41%

+3.57%

CLBK.O

98.41%

+8.80%

BHRB.O

98.37%

+11.16%

PBI.N

98.36%

+6.79%

TMP Seasonality Analysis

Based on TMP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is54.55%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in TMP. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP.A) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while January has the lowest probability (18.18%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Tompkins Financial Corp. (TMP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.