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TMP Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
86.410
1 Day change
0.69%
52 Week Range
86.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon. While the technical indicators show a bullish trend and the analyst rating is positive, the lack of significant trading signals, weak revenue performance in the latest quarter, and a bearish short-term stock trend suggest waiting for a better entry point.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive and contracting, RSI is neutral at 60.131, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key support and resistance levels are Pivot: 84.542, R1: 86.169, S1: 82.915, R2: 87.175, S2: 81.909.

Options Data

Neutral
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $87 from $80 with an Outperform rating. Net income and EPS showed significant YoY growth in Q4 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Stock trend analysis indicates a 40% chance of a decline in the next day, week, and month. No recent news or significant trading activity from hedge funds, insiders, or Congress.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by -95.79% YoY to $3.13M, while net income increased by 389.61% YoY to $96.25M. EPS rose by 389.05% YoY to 6.7. Gross margin remained unchanged at 0%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $87 from $80 and maintained an Outperform rating.

Wall Street analysts forecast TMP stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TMP stock price to fall
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 85.820
sliders
Low
74
Averages
77
High
80
Current: 85.820
sliders
Low
74
Averages
77
High
80
Keefe Bruyette
NULL
to
Outperform
maintain
$87 -> $90
AI Analysis
2026-04-28
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$87 -> $90
AI Analysis
2026-04-28
maintain
NULL
to
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Tompkins Financial to $90 from $87 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Piper Sandler
Neutral
maintain
$82 -> $87
2026-04-28
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$82 -> $87
2026-04-28
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on Tompkins Financial to $87 from $82 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm notes the company reported in line pre-provision net revenue to consensus as stronger net interest income was offset by higher operating expenses and lower Fees. Piper is raising its EPS on the expectation that loan growth rebounds post a seasonally weak Q1 and net interest margin continues on its expanding trajectory.
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