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TMP Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
76.910
1 Day change
0.97%
52 Week Range
86.950
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/20
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Tompkins Financial Corp (TMP) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term focus. The technical indicators are neutral, options data shows a lack of significant bullish sentiment, and the financial performance is mixed with a sharp revenue decline despite strong net income and EPS growth. While there is a positive analyst rating and a modest pre-market price increase, these factors are not compelling enough to recommend a buy given the lack of strong catalysts or trading signals.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative (-0.35) and contracting, indicating a lack of bullish momentum. RSI is at 39.462, in the neutral zone, suggesting no clear trend. Moving averages are converging, indicating indecision in price direction. Key support is at 72.289, and resistance is at 75.933, with the stock trading near the pivot level of 74.111.

Options Data

Bearish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Analyst Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $87 from $80 and maintained an Outperform rating.

  • Modest pre-market price increase of 0.27%.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Significant revenue drop of -95.79% YoY in Q4

  • Neutral trading sentiment from hedge funds and insiders.

  • Lack of significant trading trends or strong options activity.

  • No recent congress trading data or major news catalysts.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped significantly by -95.79% YoY to $3,132,000. However, net income increased by 389.61% YoY to $96,248,000, and EPS rose by 389.05% YoY to 6.7. Gross margin remained unchanged at 0%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $87 from $80 and maintained an Outperform rating, indicating a positive outlook from analysts.

Wall Street analysts forecast TMP stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TMP stock price to rise
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 76.170
sliders
Low
74
Averages
77
High
80
Current: 76.170
sliders
Low
74
Averages
77
High
80
Keefe Bruyette
Outperform
maintain
$80 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Price Target
$80 -> $87
AI Analysis
2026-02-04
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Keefe Bruyette raised the firm's price target on Tompkins Financial to $87 from $80 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Piper Sandler
Neutral
initiated
$74
2025-12-03
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$74
2025-12-03
initiated
Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler assumed coverage of Tompkins Financial with a Neutral rating and $74 price target. Piper assumed coverage of six regional banks based in the Mid-Atlantic portion of its Northeast coverage region.
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