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  5. AAON
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AAON

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
374.10M
+25.66%
0.462
+54%
363.83M
+12.97%
0.438
+18.24%
385.95M
+23.87%
0.510
+131.82%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for AAON, Inc. (AAON) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 3.09% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 6.68%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+3.09%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+4.87%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
up Image
+6.68%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast AAON stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAON is 119.00 USD with a low forecast of 115.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AAON stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAON is 119.00 USD with a low forecast of 115.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 86.845
sliders
Low
115.00
Averages
119.00
High
125.00
Current: 86.845
sliders
Low
115.00
Averages
119.00
High
125.00
Baird
Timothy Wojs
maintain
$116 -> $125
2025-11-07
Reason
Baird
Timothy Wojs
Price Target
$116 -> $125
2025-11-07
maintain
Reason
Baird analyst Timothy Wojs raised the firm's price target on Aaon to $125 from $116 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q3 results which showed excellent BASX orders.
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Outperform
maintain
$112 -> $115
2025-11-07
Reason
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Price Target
$112 -> $115
2025-11-07
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Noah Kaye raised the firm's price target on Aaon to $115 from $112 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes shares traded up Thursday after Aaon beat Q3 top-/bottom-line guidance and raised FY25 outlook, while reporting record backlog on data center strength.
Jehoshaphat Research
Jehoshaphat
Sell
initiated
2025-11-03
Reason
Jehoshaphat Research
Jehoshaphat
Price Target
2025-11-03
initiated
Sell
Reason
Jehoshaphat Research is short Aaon, "a manufacturer of HVAC products with easy to borrow stock and universal Buy ratings from the Street." In a recently published report, it says, "AAON's management would like investors to believe that the company's new data center cooling projects, the ones driving all its revenue growth, have gross margins in line with its corporate average. Based on our analysis, these projects have a far lower gross margin than that. Yet the Street is forecasting both rapid revenue growth in this area, and massive gross margin expansion at the total company level. Even if AAON were to meet its revenue growth expectations, it will miss on gross margins due to this mix shift alone." "We are short AAON and see greater than 30% downside to earnings versus consensus, as the revenue and margin catalysts play out. We further see a potential accounting restatement that should reset inflated revenues to something more accurate," Jehoshaphat adds. Reference Link
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Outperform
maintain
$105 -> $112
2025-10-14
Reason
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Price Target
$105 -> $112
2025-10-14
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Noah Kaye raised the firm's price target on Aaon to $112 from $105 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares as part of a Q3 earnings preview for the industrial efficiency group. The stocks exposed to the artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout have outperformed, while names tied to residential and construction have lagged, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm expects fundamentals in Q3 to largely align with these trends.
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Outperform
initiated
$105
2025-09-30
Reason
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Price Target
$105
2025-09-30
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Noah Kaye assumed coverage of Aaon with an Outperform rating and $105 price target. The firm views Aaon as a differentiated innovator in the HVAC and data center thermal management sectors, with core competencies in flexible, solutions-based manufacturing, advanced R&D, and product quality and efficiency. Near term, Oppenheimer anticipates lapping operational changes and non-res market weakness to support improving results. Longer term, as the company doubles its data center footprint and executes on transformational growth initiatives in FY25-27, the firm sees it generating significant operating leverage with FY27 margins in the upper tier of our HVAC, Power and Industrial Efficiency coverage.
Baird
Timothy Wojs
Outperform -> Outperform
downgrade
$102 -> $98
2025-08-12
Reason
Baird
Timothy Wojs
Price Target
$102 -> $98
2025-08-12
downgrade
Outperform -> Outperform
Reason
Baird analyst Timothy Wojs lowered the firm's price target on Aaon to $98 from $102 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q2 results where the analyst believes the worst is behind.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Aaon Inc (AAON.O) is 45.46, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 38.63. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Aaon Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PE
38.63
Current PE
45.46
Overvalued PE
48.19
Undervalued PE
29.08

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
22.32
Current EV/EBITDA
24.17
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
27.19
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
17.46

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Fair
5Y Average PS
5.00
Current PS
4.69
Overvalued PS
6.25
Undervalued PS
3.74
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
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Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 320.41% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 320.41% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
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AAON News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-11-06
07:22:51
Aaon Announces Q3 GAAP EPS of 37 Cents, Exceeding Consensus Estimate of 32 Cents
select
2025-08-11 (ET)
2025-08-11
12:01:16
Aaon falls -11.1%
select
2025-08-11
10:01:15
Aaon falls -13.2%
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
Preview
5.0
12-02Newsfilter
AAON Promotes Doug Wichman to Executive VP, Driving HVAC Business Growth
  • Leadership Transition: AAON has announced the promotion of Doug Wichman to Executive Vice President and General Manager of the AAON Business Unit effective January 1, 2026, which will enable the translation of corporate objectives into strategic plans, thereby driving sustained growth in high-performance HVAC solutions.
  • Product Development and Support: Wichman will oversee engineering and R&D for semi-custom HVAC solutions while providing technical support to channel partners and end-users, enhancing customer satisfaction and strengthening market competitiveness.
  • Experience Transfer: Wichman succeeds industry leader Stephen Wakefield, who will transition to a consultancy role, leveraging his 25 years of industry experience to continue supporting the company's development and ensuring effective knowledge transfer.
  • Company Culture and Future Vision: Wichman emphasizes that collaboration, innovation, and a fearless spirit are core to the company's success, which will lay the foundation for AAON's future development and drive further innovation and leadership in the HVAC industry.
[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-24NASDAQ.COM
AAON Set to Increase Your Earnings
  • Dividend Predictability: Dividends can be unpredictable, but historical data can help assess the likelihood of AAON's recent dividend continuation and the reasonableness of its estimated yield of 0.44%.

  • Stock Performance: AAON shares have a 52-week range with a low of $62 and a high of $142.20, currently trading at $91.02.

  • Recent Trading Activity: On Monday, AAON, Inc. shares experienced an increase of approximately 2.6%.

  • Author's Perspective: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.

[object Object]
Preview
8.0
11-12PRnewswire
AAON Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend
  • Dividend Announcement: AAON, Inc. has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share, payable on December 18, 2025, to stockholders of record by November 26, 2025.

  • Company Overview: Founded in 1988, AAON is a leader in HVAC solutions, focusing on designing and manufacturing customizable equipment for commercial and industrial environments, with headquarters in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

  • Forward-Looking Statements: The press release includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties, cautioning readers against placing undue reliance on these projections.

  • Contact Information: For further inquiries, Joseph Mondillo, Director of Investor Relations, can be contacted via phone or email provided in the release.

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FAQ

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What is Aaon Inc (AAON) stock price today?

The current price of AAON is 86.845 USD — it has decreased -2.01 % in the last trading day.

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What is Aaon Inc (AAON)'s business?

AAON, Inc. provides heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) solutions for commercial, industrial and data center indoor environments. The Company's segments include AAON Oklahoma, AAON Coil Products and BASX. Its AAON Oklahoma segment engineers, manufactures and sells semi-custom and custom HVAC systems, designs and manufactures controls solutions, and sells aftermarket parts to customers through retail part stores and online. The Company's AAON Coil Products segment engineers and manufactures a selection of its semi-custom, and custom HVAC systems as well as a variety of heating and cooling coils to be used in HVAC systems. Its BASX segment engineers, manufactures, and sells an array of custom, high-performance cooling solutions for hyperscale data center market, ventilation solutions for cleanroom environments in the bio-pharmaceutical, semiconductor, medical and agriculture markets, and highly custom, air handlers and modular solutions for a vast array of markets.

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What is the price predicton of AAON Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast AAON stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AAON is 119.00 USD with a low forecast of 115.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Aaon Inc (AAON)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Aaon Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 384.24M USD, increased 17.41 % YoY.

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What is Aaon Inc (AAON)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Aaon Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.37 USD, decreased -41.27 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Aaon Inc (AAON)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for AAON, Inc. (AAON) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 3.09% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by 6.68%.
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How many employees does Aaon Inc (AAON). have?

Aaon Inc (AAON) has 4812 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Aaon Inc (AAON) market cap?

Today AAON has the market capitalization of 7.09B USD.

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