AAON Earnings

AAON reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-06, showcasing a revenue of 384.00M against an estimate of 338.00M, resulting in a 13.84% surprise. The EPS was 0.37, surpassing the expected 0.33 by 12.12% . The stock experienced a 7.03% price change on the earnings day and a 11.17% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following AAON's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-06, the stock price moved by 7.03% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 11.17% change. Historically, AAON's stock price tends to shift by an average of +2.00% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.71% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AAON’s annual revenue to reach 374.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 3.06% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.05% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between AAON's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 3.06%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.05% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, AAON's stock price typically moves by +2.00% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.71% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.00 and revenue of 374.00M.

The earnings call summary and Q&A reveal strong growth expectations and strategic improvements, including a promising second half of 2025 and ERP optimization. Despite some challenges in margin improvement and unclear guidance on certain metrics, the overall sentiment is positive, driven by robust demand, production enhancements, and a strategic focus on high-growth areas like data centers and rooftop products. The management's confidence and proactive strategies suggest a positive stock price movement, likely in the 2% to 8% range, assuming a moderate market cap.