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AAON Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Aaon Inc (AAON) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
82.750
1 Day change
5.79%
52 Week Range
116.040
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Based on the data provided, Aaon Inc (AAON) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the company has shown strong financial growth in the latest quarter and positive analyst sentiment, the recent price drop of -5.04%, neutral technical indicators, and lack of strong trading signals suggest waiting for a clearer entry point. Additionally, there are no significant positive catalysts or influential trading activity to support an immediate buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and contracting, RSI is neutral at 46.419, and moving averages are converging, indicating no strong trend. Key support is at 77.967, and resistance is at 87.227. The stock recently dropped -5.04%, showing short-term weakness.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
6
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Strong financial performance in Q4 2025 with revenue up 42.49% YoY, net income up 29.74% YoY, and EPS up 34.48% YoY. Analyst Noah Kaye raised the price target to $118, maintaining an Outperform rating.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin dropped slightly (-0.73% YoY). No recent news or significant trading trends from hedge funds, insiders, or Congress. Technical indicators do not signal a strong entry point.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, Aaon Inc reported a 42.49% YoY increase in revenue to $424.2M, a 29.74% YoY increase in net income to $32.03M, and a 34.48% YoY increase in EPS to 0.39. However, gross margin slightly declined to 25.88% (-0.73% YoY).

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Oppenheimer analyst Noah Kaye raised the price target to $118 from $115, maintaining an Outperform rating. This reflects confidence in the company's growth potential despite mixed Q4 results.

Wall Street analysts forecast AAON stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AAON stock price to rise
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 78.220
sliders
Low
115
Averages
119
High
125
Current: 78.220
sliders
Low
115
Averages
119
High
125
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Outperform
maintain
$115 -> $118
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
Reason
Oppenheimer
Noah Kaye
Price Target
$115 -> $118
AI Analysis
2026-03-03
maintain
Outperform
Reason
Oppenheimer analyst Noah Kaye raised the firm's price target on Aaon to $118 from $115 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm notes shares traded up Monday after Aaon reported mixed Q4 results, while guiding FY26 revenue/gross profit 10%/16% above the Street, respectively.
Baird
Timothy Wojs
maintain
$116 -> $125
2025-11-07
Reason
Baird
Timothy Wojs
Price Target
$116 -> $125
2025-11-07
maintain
Reason
Baird analyst Timothy Wojs raised the firm's price target on Aaon to $125 from $116 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated its model following Q3 results which showed excellent BASX orders.
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