U.S. Stock Futures Decline as CPI Rises 2.7% Year Over Year
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 14 2026
0mins
Should l Buy BP?
Source: Benzinga
- CPI Data Release: The U.S. Consumer Price Index rose 2.7% year over year in December, matching both the previous reading and economists' estimates, indicating persistent inflationary pressures that could influence Federal Reserve policy decisions.
- Weak Market Performance: The Dow Jones fell by 0.15%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 declined by 0.16% each, reflecting investor concerns over future economic growth, which may lead to further deterioration in market sentiment.
- Bond Yield Dynamics: The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.17%, while the two-year bond yielded 3.52%, indicating market expectations for unchanged interest rates, which could impact investors' asset allocation strategies.
- Analyst Outlook: Professor Jeremy Siegel anticipates robust economic growth in 2026, emphasizing that small-cap and non-tech cyclical stocks will benefit from expected Federal Reserve rate cuts, advising investors to broaden their portfolios to capture opportunities in global markets.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy BP?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on BP
Wall Street analysts forecast BP stock price to rise
11 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 39.010
Low
6.38
Averages
84.26
High
503.69
Current: 39.010
Low
6.38
Averages
84.26
High
503.69
About BP
BP p.l.c. is a United Kingdom-based integrated energy company. The Company's segments include Gas & low carbon energy, Oil production & operations, Customers & products, and Other businesses & corporate. Its gas business includes regions with upstream activities that produce natural gas, integrated gas and power, and gas trading. Its low carbon business includes solar, offshore and onshore wind, hydrogen and carbon capture and storage and power trading. Oil production & operations segment comprises regions with upstream activities that predominantly produce crude oil, including bpx energy. Customers & products segment comprises its customer-focused businesses, which include convenience and retail fuels, electric vehicle charging, as well as Castrol, aviation and business to business and midstream. It also includes its products businesses, refining and oil trading, as well as its bioenergy businesses. Other businesses & corporate segment comprises technology and bp ventures.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Oil Price Surge: Oil prices have risen nearly 6% this week as the market prices in the risk of military action between the US and Iran, highlighting investor anxiety over potential disruptions to oil flows through the vital Strait of Hormuz.
- Strategic Significance: The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global oil trade, with over 14 million barrels passing through daily in 2025; any conflict could push prices above $100 per barrel, curbing demand and potentially triggering an economic downturn.
- Military Exercise Impact: Iran's Revolutionary Guard recently partially closed the Strait for military exercises, demonstrating its capability to shut down this crucial passage, which could lead insurers to refuse coverage for tankers, exacerbating market fears.
- US Response Strategy: The Trump administration may opt for limited military actions designed to avoid direct strikes on Iran's oil infrastructure; however, any conflict could prompt the market to reassess risks, especially as Iran may leverage economic instability ahead of the US midterm elections.
See More
- Oil Price Fluctuations: International benchmark Brent crude futures traded 0.7% lower at $71.17 per barrel around 10:25 a.m. London time, despite reaching a six-month high in the previous session, indicating ongoing market concerns over supply risks in the Middle East.
- Escalating Military Tensions: Trump warned during the first meeting of his Board of Peace in Washington that “bad things” would happen if Iran fails to reach a deal, suggesting potential military action within the next 10 days, reflecting a hardline U.S. stance on the Iranian nuclear issue.
- Market Supply and Demand Analysis: Morgan Stanley's chief commodity strategist noted that while the global oil market is well supplied, concerns over Iran, significant stockpiling by China, and high freight rates are supporting prices, highlighting market sensitivity to future uncertainties.
- Geopolitical Impact: Barclays strategists observed that while equity markets have largely ignored geopolitical noise, rising U.S. military capabilities in the region have led to cautious market sentiment regarding potential short-lived conflicts with defined targets, as the administration prioritizes consumer affordability amid upcoming midterm elections.
See More
- Oil Discovery: The Eni-BP joint venture Azule Energy has discovered nearly 500 million barrels of crude oil at the Algaita-01 exploration well off the coast of Angola, significantly enhancing the company's resource base and competitive position in the market.
- Successful Track Record: This discovery marks the 22nd successful find in Block 15/06, showcasing the exceptional effectiveness of the petroleum system in the region, which boosts investor confidence in the joint venture's future development prospects.
- Drilling Details: Drilling operations commenced on January 10 at a water depth of 667 meters, approximately 18 kilometers from the Olombendo floating production, storage, and offloading vessel, and were successfully concluded on January 26, demonstrating the project's technical capabilities and execution efficiency.
- Strategic Reaffirmation: The CEO of Azule Energy noted that this discovery reaffirms the high potential of the Lower Congo Basin, indicating that the ongoing exploration strategy will continue to drive oil and gas development in the region, potentially yielding long-term economic benefits.
See More
- New License Issued: The U.S. Treasury has issued a general license allowing international oil companies, including Chevron, to negotiate and sign contracts for oil and gas extraction in Venezuela, paving the way for global oil firms to re-enter the country.
- Tax Requirements: Under the new license, participating companies must pay oil and gas royalties or taxes to Venezuela or its state-run energy company, with these funds deposited into a U.S. Treasury account for foreign governments, ensuring transparency in fund allocation.
- Legal Adjustment Context: The license announcement aligns with adjustments made by Venezuela's interim government to its hydrocarbon law aimed at easing state control over the oil industry, although major U.S. firms remain cautious about investing.
- Market Reaction: Following this news, stocks of major oil companies like Chevron, BP, and Shell rose between 0.5% and 1.7%, indicating a positive market response to the new investment opportunities.
See More
- Price Range Analysis: DFIV's 52-week low is $34.28 and high is $55.9666, with the latest trade at $55.64, indicating the stock is trading near its high, which may influence investor buying decisions.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the latest stock price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper insights into price trends and potential buying opportunities, enhancing their trading strategies.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in outstanding shares for ETFs highlights significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), directly affecting the buying and selling strategies of the underlying assets held within the ETFs.
See More
- Ford's Positive Outlook: Ford expects its tariff burden to decrease to $1 billion in 2026 from $2 billion in 2025, with a sustainable dividend yield of 4.4% and a payout ratio of 52%, which should continue to attract investor interest.
- Suncor's Strong Performance: Suncor slightly beat EPS and revenue expectations in its Q4 2025 report, prompting RBC Capital to raise its price target from $69 to $75, indicating over 35% potential upside, although short-term pullback risks remain.
- Macy's Positive Technical Signals: Following a surprising earnings beat in Q3 2025, Macy's stock has shown signs of upward momentum despite dipping below the 50-day SMA, with both RSI and MACD indicating a potential resumption of the uptrend.
- BP's Technical Support: Despite a more than 5% drop following stock buyback news, BP's shares have stabilized around the 50-day SMA, with RSI and MACD indicators suggesting technical support, positioning the stock to potentially overcome the negative impact of mixed earnings results.
See More










