TotalEnergies (TTE) Projects Q4 2025 Financial Indicators
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 20 2026
0mins
Source: Businesswire
- Financial Overview: TotalEnergies projects a Brent crude price of $63.76/bbl for Q4 2025, significantly up from $4.78/bbl in Q4 2024, indicating a recovery in global oil prices that could enhance revenue growth.
- Liquid and Gas Prices: The average liquid price is expected to be $61.46/bbl and the average gas price $5.11/Mbtu in Q4 2025, reflecting increases of 34.5% and 23.5% respectively compared to 2024, which will directly impact revenue and cash flow.
- Refining Profitability: The European Refining Margin (ERM) is projected at $85.76/ton, a substantial rise from $25.9/ton in Q4 2024, indicating improved profitability in refining operations that may lead to higher operating profits for the company.
- Sensitivity Analysis: TotalEnergies' sensitivity analysis indicates that a $0.1 change in the euro-dollar exchange rate could impact adjusted net operating income by approximately $0 billion, highlighting the potential financial risks associated with currency fluctuations.
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Analyst Views on TTE
Wall Street analysts forecast TTE stock price to fall
16 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 88.710
Low
60.04
Averages
71.67
High
90.93
Current: 88.710
Low
60.04
Averages
71.67
High
90.93
About TTE
TotalEnergies SE is a France-based company. The Company is predominantly engaged in the business as a worldwide oil group. Its segment divisions are divided into refining and chemistry such as refining of petroleum products and manufacture of basic chemistry and of specialty chemistry, petroleum products distribution, electricity generation from combined cycle gas plants and renewable energies, gas production, trading, transport and distribution primarily includes liquefied natural gas, natural gas, biogas, hydrogen, liquefied petroleum gas and hydrocarbon operating and production. The group is also operating in trading and sea transport of crude oil and oil products.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

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- Project Impact Assessment: The canceled Attentive Energy project was projected to power 1.3 million homes, addressing the soaring energy demands of New York and New Jersey while reducing greenhouse gas emissions, highlighting the project's critical role in environmental and energy infrastructure.
- Administrative Process Scrutiny: The suing states allege that the Trump administration failed to follow proper administrative procedures and misused a government fund intended for legal settlements, despite the absence of litigation between the parties, potentially raising concerns about government transparency and legality in similar cases.
- Multi-State Coalition: In addition to New York and New Jersey, the suing states include Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, and Vermont, demonstrating a united front among states in advocating for renewable energy projects, which could influence future energy policies and investment directions.
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- Share Buyback Scale: TotalEnergies repurchased a total of 1,767,146 shares from May 25 to 29, 2026, with a total transaction amount of €134,999,815.60, demonstrating the company's confidence in its stock value and aiming to enhance shareholder returns.
- Daily Trading Details: During the buyback period, the highest daily trading volume reached 348,442 shares, with an average repurchase price of €76.39 per share, reflecting the company's agility in responding to market fluctuations and boosting investor confidence in its financial health.
- Market Reaction Expectations: This share buyback program is expected to positively impact TotalEnergies' stock price, enhancing earnings per share and further solidifying its competitive position in the global energy market, particularly in the renewable energy sector.
- Shareholder Authorization Background: The buyback is conducted under the authorizations granted by the shareholder meetings in 2025 and 2026, indicating the company's balance between shareholder interests and market strategy, aiming to enhance long-term value through ongoing capital management.
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- Share Buyback Overview: TotalEnergies repurchased 1,767,146 shares from May 25 to 29, 2026, totaling €3,499,815.60, reflecting the company's confidence in its stock value and aiming to enhance shareholder returns.
- Daily Trading Details: The highest trading volume occurred on May 25, with 348,442 shares purchased at an average price of €77.49, indicating proactive capital management amid market fluctuations.
- Market Reaction Analysis: This buyback program is likely to positively impact TotalEnergies' stock price, boosting investor confidence while showcasing the company's robust financial health in the current economic climate.
- Strategic Significance: By executing the share buyback, TotalEnergies not only enhances earnings per share but also signals its optimistic outlook for future growth, further solidifying its leadership position in the global energy market.
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- Share Buyback Program: TotalEnergies repurchased 1,767,146 shares from May 25 to 29, 2026, totaling €134,999,815.60, reflecting the company's confidence in its stock value and aiming to enhance shareholder returns while boosting market confidence.
- Transaction Details: On May 25, the daily trading volume was 348,442 shares with an average purchase price of €77.49, indicating the company's proactive management of its capital structure amidst market volatility to address future uncertainties.
- Market Reaction Expectations: This buyback program is likely to positively impact TotalEnergies' stock price, enhancing investor confidence in the company's long-term growth potential while also reflecting financial robustness under its sustainability strategy.
- Shareholder Meeting Authorization: The buyback is authorized by the shareholder meetings on May 23, 2025, and May 29, 2026, demonstrating transparency in corporate governance and shareholder engagement, further solidifying the company's leadership position in the global energy market.
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- Profit Controversy: TotalEnergies has faced criticism for its substantial profits driven by rising oil prices due to the Middle East conflict, with French politicians advocating for a supertax to fund energy aid for consumers, highlighting the tension between government policy and corporate profitability.
- Price Cap Commitment: CEO Patrick Pouyanne stated that French citizens prefer energy companies to cap fuel prices rather than impose a superprofit tax, indicating public sensitivity to energy costs and the complexities of government intervention in the energy sector.
- Shareholder Support for Leadership: TotalEnergies shareholders overwhelmingly approved raising the age limits for the chair and CEO roles, allowing 62-year-old Pouyanne to continue leading the company until 2033, reflecting strong confidence in his leadership amidst ongoing challenges.
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- Financial Statements Approved: The TotalEnergies shareholders' meeting approved the 2025 financial statements and declared a dividend of €3.40 per share, reflecting the company's robust profitability and enhancing investor confidence, which is expected to positively impact the stock price.
- Director Renewals: The meeting renewed the three-year terms for Marie-Christine Coisne-Roquette, Anelise Lara, and Dierk Paskert, ensuring continuity and stability in corporate governance, which aids in maintaining strategic direction consistency.
- Compensation Policy Approved: Shareholders approved the compensation policy for directors and the components for 2025, which will help attract and retain executive talent while aligning compensation with company performance, thereby enhancing management incentives.
- Sustainability Discussion: The meeting discussed the implementation report on the corporation's ambitions regarding sustainable development and energy transition, indicating TotalEnergies' commitment to global energy transformation, which is expected to strengthen its competitiveness in the renewable energy market.
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