Given the investor's long-term strategy and beginner level, TotalEnergies SE is not a strong buy at the moment. While there are positive catalysts such as recent discoveries and favorable analyst ratings, the company's financial performance is declining, and technical indicators do not show a clear upward trend. The pre-market price drop and lack of strong trading signals further suggest waiting for a better entry point.
The MACD is negative and contracting, indicating weak momentum. RSI is neutral at 51.677, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). The stock is trading near its pivot level of 90.496, with resistance at 92.986 and support at 88.005. Overall, the technical indicators are mixed, showing no strong buy signal.

Recent oil and gas discoveries in Congo with estimated recoverable resources of 100 million barrels.
Memorandum of Understanding with TPAO for exploration opportunities.
Analysts have upgraded ratings and raised price targets, citing strong free cash flow growth and production growth.
Rising oil prices could benefit TotalEnergies' earnings.
Financial performance in Q4 2025 shows declining revenue (-2.53% YoY), net income (-27.29% YoY), and EPS (-24.12% YoY).
Pre-market price drop of -0.53%.
Stock trend analysis predicts a potential decline of -1.24% in the next week and -2.77% in the next month.
No significant hedge fund or insider trading trends.
In Q4 2025, TotalEnergies reported a revenue drop of -2.53% YoY, net income down by -27.29% YoY, and EPS down by -24.12% YoY. Gross margin also declined to 27.46%, down -7.98% YoY. These figures indicate a weakening financial performance.
Analyst sentiment is positive overall. Recent upgrades include BNP Paribas upgrading to Outperform and multiple firms raising price targets, with Citi and TD Cowen naming TotalEnergies as a top pick in the oil and gas sector. Price targets range from EUR 46 to $106, reflecting optimism about the company's growth prospects.