This Airline ETF is Surging: A Guide to Trading It with Charts
Current Performance of the Airline Sector: The US Global Jets ETF (JETS) is gaining attention as the airline sector shows strong performance, with major airlines like Southwest, Delta, and United reaching new highs, indicating a potential turnaround for investors.
Investment Strategy: The JETS ETF offers a way to invest in the airline sector without the risks associated with individual stocks, making it an attractive option for those looking to diversify their portfolios.
Market Analysis and Projections: A breakout above the $27 resistance level is seen as critical, with potential upside targets of $33 and possibly low $40s in the long term, supported by a favorable long-term chart setup.
Risk Management: Investors are advised to set stop-loss orders near the rising 50-day moving average to manage downside risk, as this level has historically provided support during upward trends.
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- Merger Proposal: United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby proposed a merger with American Airlines to the Trump administration this year, although analysts believe the regulatory hurdles are too high to achieve this combination, which would create the world's largest airline.
- Market Control: American, United, Delta Air Lines, and Southwest Airlines currently control about 80% of the domestic market share, and Kirby argues that airlines need to merge to enhance their competitiveness in the global market.
- Global Competition Strategy: Kirby noted that increased scale would help compete on U.S. outbound flights, particularly in the Middle East market, where customers prefer airlines that offer more flight options.
- Partnerships: Despite U.S. airlines previously complaining about unfair government subsidies received by Middle Eastern carriers, United Airlines has established a partnership with Emirates, indicating a strategic shift for U.S. airlines in the global market.
- Cramer Bullish on Uber: Despite Uber's stock being down 28.5% from its September high, it has risen 3.5% in the last two days, indicating market confidence in its future growth and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Vistra Stock Undervalued: Cramer highlighted that Vistra is trading at around 19 times earnings, calling it a “steal,” and although the stock is down 25% from its September high, it has gained 6% in just two days, reflecting market recognition of its value.
- Booking Holdings Potential: Cramer believes that many negatives for Booking Holdings are already priced in, with a current P/E ratio of 17, and anticipates a significant price increase once the war ends; the stock has risen 4.4% in two days, presenting a potential return opportunity for investors.
- Southwest Airlines Turnaround Story: Cramer describes Southwest Airlines as a “terrific turnaround story,” noting that while the stock is down 25% from its February high, it has increased by 4.3% in two days and could be a potential takeover target, indicating future growth potential.
- Market Rally: The S&P 500 rose by 1.18%, reaching a two-month high, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1.81%, reflecting strong investor optimism ahead of the earnings season, particularly as major banks prepare to report.
- Oil Price Plunge: WTI crude oil prices fell over 7% due to potential US-Iran ceasefire extensions, which will lower jet fuel costs for airlines, thereby boosting profitability and further supporting stock market gains.
- Inflation Data Impact: The March PPI report showed a 4.0% year-over-year increase, below the expected 4.6%, indicating easing inflation pressures that could influence the Fed's rate hike decisions, leading to more cautious market expectations regarding future monetary policy.
- Airline Stocks Surge: American Airlines Group saw its stock rise over 8% as a result of falling oil prices, demonstrating market confidence in the airline industry's recovery and reflecting investor optimism about the profitability potential from lower fuel costs.
- Merger Proposal Emerges: United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby proposed a merger with American Airlines to the Trump administration, which, if realized, would create the world's largest airline; however, it faces significant regulatory scrutiny, particularly as the top four airlines already control about 80% of domestic capacity.
- Market Reaction Tepid: Despite American Airlines' stock rising 9% on Tuesday morning, analysts attribute this to short covering rather than market endorsement of the merger idea, indicating investor skepticism regarding the merger's viability.
- Antitrust Challenges Loom: Analysts note that the merger would require significant divestitures on 289 routes to avoid excessive market concentration, and while the Trump administration appears open to mergers, historical antitrust successes under the Biden administration complicate the approval process for such a deal.
- Industry Consolidation Trends: The Transportation Secretary indicated there is room for mergers in the aviation sector, although the Biden administration has successfully challenged two major airline mergers, highlighting the complexities and challenges of industry consolidation; Kirby expressed satisfaction with the partnership with JetBlue, emphasizing confidence in independent growth.
- CarMax Stock Plunge: CarMax reported adjusted earnings of 34 cents per share and revenue of $5.95 billion for Q4, surpassing analyst expectations but reflecting a 15% year-over-year decline, leading to a 15% drop in stock price as the market expresses concerns over future growth prospects.
- Bitcoin-Linked Stocks Surge: Bitcoin's price rose nearly 3% to over $75,000, boosting shares of crypto-related companies like Robinhood and Coinbase, which gained nearly 10% and 6% respectively, indicating a renewed investor appetite for risk assets in the current market environment.
- Energy Stocks Under Pressure: Oil prices fell over 6% as negotiations between the U.S. and Iran stalled, causing the energy sector to decline more than 2%, with APA and Occidental Petroleum down 5% and 4.7% respectively, reflecting market uncertainty regarding energy supply dynamics.
- Novo Nordisk Partners with OpenAI: Novo Nordisk's U.S.-listed shares rose 3% following the announcement of a partnership with OpenAI to leverage AI for data analysis, enhancing operational efficiency and demonstrating the company's strategic focus on innovation and technology integration.
- Executive Appointments: Southwest Airlines has appointed Sabrina Callahan as Chief Digital and Marketing Officer, tasked with integrating digital platforms and the marketing funnel to enhance reliability and ease of customer interactions, thereby boosting brand loyalty and competitive positioning.
- Loyalty Program Leadership: Nandika Suri has been named Vice President of Rapid Rewards, focusing on strengthening customer connections through the loyalty program, enhancing loyalty and member engagement, and driving long-term value through new options.
- Market Expansion Strategy: Sabrina will leverage her experience from Hilton and Walmart to drive Southwest's expansion into new markets, grow the customer base, and optimize brand presentation, further solidifying its leadership in the airline industry.
- Evolving Customer Experience: Tony Roach emphasized that the new leadership team will focus on continuously evolving the customer experience, particularly for loyal customers, by driving sustained growth through innovative rewards programs and enhanced customer choices.











