The Metals Company (TMC) Soars 450% in 2025 While Targeting Polymetallic Nodule Harvesting
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 11 2026
0mins
Should l Buy TMC?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Stock Surge: The Metals Company experienced a remarkable 450% increase in stock price in 2025, rising from approximately $1 to $7 per share, reflecting strong market confidence in its polymetallic nodule harvesting potential, with a market cap reaching about $3 billion.
- Commercial Permit Application: In April 2025, the company submitted what it termed the world's first application for a commercial recovery permit under U.S. law, potentially unlocking billions in value and accelerating its commercial ambitions.
- Project Valuation Assessment: Two assessments indicate a combined project value of $23.6 billion against capital expenditures of $113 million, suggesting that the market remains cautious about the likelihood of achieving commercial production.
- Long-term Supply Contract Potential: Should The Metals Company prove the viability of deep-sea mining, it could secure long-term supply contracts with industrial and defense clients, significantly expanding its reserves of polymetallic nodules and implying a potential 700% upside in stock price.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy TMC?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on TMC
Wall Street analysts forecast TMC stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 5.970
Low
6.50
Averages
8.33
High
11.00
Current: 5.970
Low
6.50
Averages
8.33
High
11.00
About TMC
TMC the metals company Inc. is a deep-sea minerals exploration company. The Company is focused on the collection and processing of polymetallic nodules found on the seafloor in international waters of the Clarion Clipperton Zone in the Pacific Ocean (CCZ), located approximately 1,300 nautical miles southwest of San Diego, California. The CCZ is a geological submarine fracture zone of abyssal plains and other formations in the Eastern Pacific Ocean, with a length of around 4,500 miles that spans approximately 1,737,000 square miles. These nodules contain high grades of four metals (nickel, copper, cobalt, manganese) which can be used as feedstock for battery cathode precursors (nickel, cobalt and manganese sulfates, or intermediate nickel-copper-cobalt matte) for electric vehicles (EV) and energy storage markets; copper cathode for EV wiring, energy transmission and other applications, and manganese silicate for manganese alloy production required for steel production.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Surge in Critical Mineral Demand Makes TMC a Key Investment
- Surging Demand: The IEA warns that by 2030, demand for critical minerals like cobalt, lithium, and copper will far exceed supply, particularly in electric vehicles and renewable energy, making TMC a focal point for the U.S. government.
- Deep-Sea Mining Innovation: TMC aims to harvest polymetallic nodules from the Pacific Ocean, estimated to be worth around $24 billion, although the extraction and processing costs remain unclear, the growing market demand presents potential profitability opportunities.
- Regulatory Progress: Under the Trump administration, TMC's deep-sea mining application became the first approved under a new fast-track framework, and while the ISA's rules are still pending, this advancement could expedite TMC's mining plans.
- Market Outlook: Despite TMC's stock trading below $7 and facing market volatility risks, the U.S. government's increasing focus on critical mineral supply chains positions TMC as a potential future winner, especially given its current investment appeal at single-digit prices.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Advances Deep-Sea Mining Plans
- Regulatory Breakthrough: TMC has navigated regulatory hurdles by becoming the first applicant compliant with new U.S. deep-sea mining rules, despite the International Seabed Authority (ISA) not finalizing its regulations, marking a significant step in polymetallic nodule extraction.
- Legal Framework Established: With TMC's application approved, the company is poised to operate under a legal framework for extracting its multibillion-dollar resources, although the ISA's stance remains uncertain; however, the U.S. expedited timeline may pressure the ISA to finalize its rules.
- Market Opportunity Potential: Despite being pre-revenue and trading 37% below its initial price, TMC could tap into substantial market opportunities if it successfully harvests nodules at a commercial scale, attracting aggressive investors looking for high-risk ventures.
- Investment Risk Advisory: TMC's unclear financials and the expectation of no revenue for at least another year render its stock risky for most investors, making it more suitable for those willing to speculate on the future of the U.S. metal supply chain.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Advances Deep-Sea Mining Efforts
- Regulatory Breakthrough: TMC The Metals Company may be overcoming regulatory hurdles in deep-sea mining as its application has been deemed compliant with new U.S. rules, indicating potential for legal extraction of billions in polymetallic nodules.
- Significant Market Opportunity: Although TMC is currently pre-revenue, if it can achieve commercial-scale nodule harvesting, the market opportunity could be substantial, particularly given the increasing importance of the U.S. metal supply chain.
- Stock Volatility Risk: TMC's stock is currently trading at approximately $6, down 37% from its starting price of $10, reflecting market uncertainty regarding its regulatory path, necessitating cautious risk assessment by investors.
- Investor Recommendations: For aggressive investors looking to speculate on the future of the U.S. metal supply chain, a $500 investment may be appropriate, while those prioritizing stable returns should consider safer stock alternatives.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Advances Deep-Sea Mining Efforts
- Regulatory Compliance Progress: The NOAA's determination that TMC's exploration and commercial application complies with regulations marks a significant milestone for the company in deep-sea mining, potentially paving the way for future commercial operations.
- Massive Resource Potential: TMC estimates that the polymetallic nodules under its control contain enough nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese to power 280 million electric vehicles, showcasing its critical role in the clean energy transition and potentially generating tens of billions in revenue.
- Environmental Challenges and Regulatory Risks: While TMC's harvesting technology has been validated through robotic vacuuming, the unknown ecological impacts of deep-sea mining could slow the regulatory process, affecting the company's future operational plans.
- Market Opportunity and Investment Appeal: With increasing U.S. demand for critical metals, TMC's stock is viewed as a buying opportunity following recent dips, especially ahead of its upcoming earnings report, maintaining optimistic market expectations for its future growth.
See More
TMC's Novel Deep-Sea Mining Opportunity
- Massive Resource Potential: TMC estimates that the polymetallic nodules under its control contain enough nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese to power 280 million electric vehicles, highlighting its critical role in the clean energy transition.
- Significant Regulatory Progress: The NOAA's determination that TMC's exploration and commercial application comply with regulations marks a major milestone, paving the way for potential commercial operations, although the exact start date remains unclear.
- Environmental Challenges Ahead: Deep-sea mining poses unknown risks to marine ecosystems, and as a supplier of clean energy materials, TMC faces potential PR crises that necessitate careful management of ecological impacts.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Despite TMC's stock recently dipping to 52-week lows, the increasing U.S. demand for critical metals, combined with regulatory advancements, leads to an optimistic market sentiment regarding its future profitability, with potential for a rally before the earnings report at the end of March.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Seizes Deep-Sea Mining Opportunity
- Massive Resource Potential: TMC estimates that it controls enough nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese in polymetallic rocks to power 280 million electric vehicles, highlighting its critical role in the clean energy transition.
- Significant Regulatory Progress: The NOAA's determination that TMC's exploration and commercial application comply with regulations marks a major breakthrough in the company's deep-sea mining application, potentially accelerating its commercial operations.
- Environmental Challenges Unresolved: While TMC's mining technology has proven effective through robotic vacuuming, the potential ecological impacts of deep-sea mining remain unclear, which could lead to a PR crisis affecting its image as a clean energy materials supplier.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: With increasing U.S. demand for critical metals, TMC's stock is viewed as a buying opportunity following recent dips, and a rally is anticipated ahead of its earnings report on March 26.
See More
Surge in Critical Mineral Demand Makes TMC a Key Investment
- Surging Demand: The IEA warns that by 2030, demand for critical minerals like cobalt, lithium, and copper will far exceed supply, particularly in electric vehicles and renewable energy, making TMC a focal point for the U.S. government.
- Deep-Sea Mining Innovation: TMC aims to harvest polymetallic nodules from the Pacific Ocean, estimated to be worth around $24 billion, although the extraction and processing costs remain unclear, the growing market demand presents potential profitability opportunities.
- Regulatory Progress: Under the Trump administration, TMC's deep-sea mining application became the first approved under a new fast-track framework, and while the ISA's rules are still pending, this advancement could expedite TMC's mining plans.
- Market Outlook: Despite TMC's stock trading below $7 and facing market volatility risks, the U.S. government's increasing focus on critical mineral supply chains positions TMC as a potential future winner, especially given its current investment appeal at single-digit prices.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Advances Deep-Sea Mining Plans
- Regulatory Breakthrough: TMC has navigated regulatory hurdles by becoming the first applicant compliant with new U.S. deep-sea mining rules, despite the International Seabed Authority (ISA) not finalizing its regulations, marking a significant step in polymetallic nodule extraction.
- Legal Framework Established: With TMC's application approved, the company is poised to operate under a legal framework for extracting its multibillion-dollar resources, although the ISA's stance remains uncertain; however, the U.S. expedited timeline may pressure the ISA to finalize its rules.
- Market Opportunity Potential: Despite being pre-revenue and trading 37% below its initial price, TMC could tap into substantial market opportunities if it successfully harvests nodules at a commercial scale, attracting aggressive investors looking for high-risk ventures.
- Investment Risk Advisory: TMC's unclear financials and the expectation of no revenue for at least another year render its stock risky for most investors, making it more suitable for those willing to speculate on the future of the U.S. metal supply chain.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Advances Deep-Sea Mining Efforts
- Regulatory Breakthrough: TMC The Metals Company may be overcoming regulatory hurdles in deep-sea mining as its application has been deemed compliant with new U.S. rules, indicating potential for legal extraction of billions in polymetallic nodules.
- Significant Market Opportunity: Although TMC is currently pre-revenue, if it can achieve commercial-scale nodule harvesting, the market opportunity could be substantial, particularly given the increasing importance of the U.S. metal supply chain.
- Stock Volatility Risk: TMC's stock is currently trading at approximately $6, down 37% from its starting price of $10, reflecting market uncertainty regarding its regulatory path, necessitating cautious risk assessment by investors.
- Investor Recommendations: For aggressive investors looking to speculate on the future of the U.S. metal supply chain, a $500 investment may be appropriate, while those prioritizing stable returns should consider safer stock alternatives.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Advances Deep-Sea Mining Efforts
- Regulatory Compliance Progress: The NOAA's determination that TMC's exploration and commercial application complies with regulations marks a significant milestone for the company in deep-sea mining, potentially paving the way for future commercial operations.
- Massive Resource Potential: TMC estimates that the polymetallic nodules under its control contain enough nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese to power 280 million electric vehicles, showcasing its critical role in the clean energy transition and potentially generating tens of billions in revenue.
- Environmental Challenges and Regulatory Risks: While TMC's harvesting technology has been validated through robotic vacuuming, the unknown ecological impacts of deep-sea mining could slow the regulatory process, affecting the company's future operational plans.
- Market Opportunity and Investment Appeal: With increasing U.S. demand for critical metals, TMC's stock is viewed as a buying opportunity following recent dips, especially ahead of its upcoming earnings report, maintaining optimistic market expectations for its future growth.
See More
TMC's Novel Deep-Sea Mining Opportunity
- Massive Resource Potential: TMC estimates that the polymetallic nodules under its control contain enough nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese to power 280 million electric vehicles, highlighting its critical role in the clean energy transition.
- Significant Regulatory Progress: The NOAA's determination that TMC's exploration and commercial application comply with regulations marks a major milestone, paving the way for potential commercial operations, although the exact start date remains unclear.
- Environmental Challenges Ahead: Deep-sea mining poses unknown risks to marine ecosystems, and as a supplier of clean energy materials, TMC faces potential PR crises that necessitate careful management of ecological impacts.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Despite TMC's stock recently dipping to 52-week lows, the increasing U.S. demand for critical metals, combined with regulatory advancements, leads to an optimistic market sentiment regarding its future profitability, with potential for a rally before the earnings report at the end of March.
See More
TMC The Metals Company Seizes Deep-Sea Mining Opportunity
- Massive Resource Potential: TMC estimates that it controls enough nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese in polymetallic rocks to power 280 million electric vehicles, highlighting its critical role in the clean energy transition.
- Significant Regulatory Progress: The NOAA's determination that TMC's exploration and commercial application comply with regulations marks a major breakthrough in the company's deep-sea mining application, potentially accelerating its commercial operations.
- Environmental Challenges Unresolved: While TMC's mining technology has proven effective through robotic vacuuming, the potential ecological impacts of deep-sea mining remain unclear, which could lead to a PR crisis affecting its image as a clean energy materials supplier.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: With increasing U.S. demand for critical metals, TMC's stock is viewed as a buying opportunity following recent dips, and a rally is anticipated ahead of its earnings report on March 26.
See More
