SpaceX IPO Could Become Largest in History
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 09 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Valuation Target: SpaceX has filed for an IPO with a target valuation exceeding $2 trillion, which would make it the largest IPO in history and potentially the sixth-largest public company globally, just behind Amazon.
- Alphabet's Investment Returns: Alphabet invested $900 million in SpaceX in 2015 for a 7.5% stake, and if SpaceX goes public at a $2 trillion valuation, that investment could be worth $150 billion, yielding a remarkable 166-fold return, marking it as one of Alphabet's most successful investments.
- Shareholding Decision Challenge: Alphabet faces a tough decision on whether to retain its stake in SpaceX; holding onto the shares would indicate confidence in SpaceX's future, while selling might be a strategic move to fund other initiatives like AI infrastructure.
- AI Competition and Investment Opportunity: In the context of competing for AI supremacy, if Alphabet can attract more clients by expanding its hyperscale data centers, selling SpaceX stock could become strategically significant, especially with Alphabet's stock down about 15%, making this an opportune time for investment.
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Analyst Views on GOOGL
Wall Street analysts forecast GOOGL stock price to fall
33 Analyst Rating
26 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 387.660
Low
305.00
Averages
374.25
High
400.00
Current: 387.660
Low
305.00
Averages
374.25
High
400.00
About GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company. The Company's segments include Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment includes infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. Its Other Bets segment is engaged in the sale of healthcare-related services and Internet services. Its Google Cloud provides enterprise-ready cloud services, including Google Cloud Platform and Google Workspace. Google Cloud Platform provides access to solutions such as artificial intelligence (AI) offerings, including its AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini for Google Cloud; cybersecurity, and data and analytics. Google Workspace includes cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Joint Venture Formation: Google is partnering with Blackstone to establish a new neocloud compute-as-a-service company, with Blackstone providing $5 billion in capital and Google supplying TPUs and software, enhancing Google's competitive edge in the cloud computing market, particularly against Nvidia.
- Market Competition Threat: The new joint venture plans to deploy 500 megawatts of TPU capacity by next year and scale rapidly, posing a significant threat to CoreWeave and Nebius, especially in terms of pricing, which could impact their market share and profitability.
- Economies of Scale: Google aims to grow demand for its TPUs to achieve greater economies of scale, allowing it to secure priority with its manufacturing partner, Taiwan Semiconductor, thereby accelerating business growth and creating a virtuous cycle, which poses a potential threat to Nvidia.
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- Market Share Competition: The new joint venture plans to deploy 500 megawatts of TPU capacity by next year and scale rapidly, posing a potential threat to existing cloud leaders CoreWeave and Nebius, particularly in terms of pricing competition.
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See More
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- TPU Delivery Initiative: During the Q1 earnings call, Google announced plans to deliver custom AI accelerator chips, Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), to select customers, having already signed a deal with Anthropic and a tentative agreement with Meta, indicating Google's intent to expand in the AI hardware market.
- Joint Venture Formation: Google is partnering with Blackstone to establish a new neocloud compute-as-a-service company, with Blackstone providing $5 billion in capital and Google supplying TPUs and software, enhancing Google's competitive edge in the cloud computing market, particularly against Nvidia.
- Market Competition Threat: The new joint venture plans to deploy 500 megawatts of TPU capacity by next year and scale rapidly, posing a significant threat to CoreWeave and Nebius, especially in terms of pricing, which could impact their market share and profitability.
- Economies of Scale: Google aims to grow demand for its TPUs to achieve greater economies of scale, allowing it to secure priority with its manufacturing partner, Taiwan Semiconductor, thereby accelerating business growth and creating a virtuous cycle, which poses a potential threat to Nvidia.
See More
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- Partnership Formation: Google has formed a joint venture with Blackstone, where Blackstone will provide $5 billion in capital while Google supplies custom TPU chips and software, aiming to establish a new cloud computing service focused on AI, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- Market Share Competition: The new joint venture plans to deploy 500 megawatts of TPU capacity by next year and scale rapidly, posing a potential threat to existing cloud leaders CoreWeave and Nebius, particularly in terms of pricing competition.
- Economies of Scale: By increasing demand for its TPUs, Google can place larger orders with its manufacturing partner, Taiwan Semiconductor, thereby gaining priority production rights, which facilitates faster business growth and reinvestment, creating a virtuous cycle.
- Competitive Advantage: The joint venture's vertical integration strategy, combined with Blackstone's resource acquisition capabilities, is expected to significantly lower costs, putting pressure on CoreWeave and Nebius, potentially impacting their future pricing strategies and market share.
See More
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- Diverse Revenue Streams: According to the latest S1 filing, SpaceX's 'Space' and 'Connectivity' segments generated over $4 billion in revenue in 2025, showcasing its strong market position in rocket launches and satellite internet services.
- Industry Classification Challenges: Given SpaceX's involvement in multiple sectors, MSCI and S&P face complexities in determining its final industry classification, which could place it in either the Communication Services or Industrials sector, impacting its appeal to investors.
- Future Growth Potential: Musk indicated that future AI computing will rely on solar-powered satellites in space, and SpaceX's innovative approach to data centers could enable it to achieve lower operational costs over time, thereby securing a more advantageous position in the market.
See More
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- Alphabet AI Growth: Alphabet (GOOGL) is at the forefront of the AI boom, with Google Services sales increasing by 16% year-over-year in Q1, while Google Cloud surged by 63% due to AI enterprise demand, indicating strong revenue acceleration potential.
- Silicon Motion Performance: Silicon Motion Technology (SIMO) has rallied over 170% year-to-date, reporting 23% sequential revenue growth and 105% year-over-year growth in Q1, with Q2 guidance suggesting up to 107% year-over-year revenue growth, reflecting strong long-term demand for AI and memory chips.
- Marvell Revenue Milestone: Marvell Technology (MRVL) achieved a record $2.22 billion in revenue for fiscal Q4 2026, marking a 22% year-over-year growth, with the CEO indicating expectations for accelerated revenue growth in fiscal 2027, showcasing robust market demand.
- AI Infrastructure Investment: The growth of Marvell and Silicon Motion highlights the accelerating investment in AI infrastructure, as rising demand for data center solutions and memory products positions these companies to benefit from this trend in the coming years.
See More
Alphabet's AI Enhances Business Growth
- AI-Driven Growth: Alphabet enhances every part of its business with AI, as Google Cloud reports a 63% year-over-year growth in Q1, indicating strong enterprise demand that is expected to continue driving revenue acceleration.
- Significant Sales Growth: Silicon Motion Technology's stock has surged over 170% year-to-date, with Q1 showing a 23% sequential revenue growth and 105% year-over-year growth, indicating robust performance in the memory chip market that is likely to persist.
- Record Financial Performance: Marvell Technology achieved a 22% year-over-year growth rate in Q4 of fiscal 2026, generating $2.22 billion in revenue, with the CEO projecting accelerated growth for each quarter of fiscal 2027, underscoring the company's critical role in AI infrastructure.
- Huge Market Potential: With rising long-term demand for AI and memory chips, Silicon Motion Technology's Q2 guidance suggests up to 107% year-over-year growth potential, indicating that the company is poised for sustained strong performance in the coming years.
See More
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- Succession Change: Warren Buffett stepped down as CEO at the end of 2025 after over 60 years, with long-time partner Greg Abel taking over, who has excelled in leading the company's energy operations and is expected to continue driving growth.
- Stock Trading Activity: The latest 13F filing revealed that Abel closed 16 stock positions, including Visa, Mastercard, UnitedHealth, Domino's Pizza, and Amazon, a move possibly linked to Buffett delegating investment responsibilities to two lieutenants, one of whom recently departed.
- Increased Google Holdings: Abel purchased 36.4 million shares of Alphabet in Q1, bringing Berkshire's total to over 54 million shares, which constitutes nearly 6% of its total stock portfolio, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Share Buyback Plan: Abel authorized up to $325 million in share repurchases of Berkshire's own stock, a move that enhances shareholder value by reducing the number of shares outstanding, and he reportedly invested his entire $15 million after-tax salary into Berkshire stock, signaling confidence in the company's future.
See More
