S&P 500 Rebounds, Palantir Shares Up 6%
Major indices reversed two days of heavy losses - compounded by pressure in both precious metals and crypto space - with a session of strong gains on Monday, led by Consumer Staples and Industrials. The opening hour of the evening session also suggests the risk-on rebound may be durable. S&P e-minis are up 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 contract is up 0.4%, and Dow Industrials are trading flat. Earnings calendar rolling through the Tech sector on Monday still supports the AI bull case - Palantirwas up 6% afterhours after generating its best annualized growth rate on record at a whopping 7o%. Performance by reporting Semis was more mixed however, with post-earnings strength in Teradyneand a sell-off in NXP Semiconductors.In commodities, the rally in WTI Crude Oil taking the contract above $66 last week has been scaled back on Monday, pressuring the overall Energy sector to be the worst performer on the S&P 500. In evening trade, WTI is below $62 per barrel ahead of tomorrow's API inventory data. Precious metals - which saw the spec-driven bubble deflate sharply on Friday is seeing some recovery however - gold is back above $4,800 after falling below $4,500 on Monday and Silver is approaching $83 per ounce after falling to low $70s earlier in the day.Check out this evening's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER AFTER EARNINGS -Teradyneup 23.0%Woodwardup 15.8%DaVita Inc.up 14.8%Palantirup 5.8%ALSO HIGHER -TeraWulfup 11.8% after announcing acquisition of two brownfield infrastructure sitesAESup 7.7% after takeover interest report from BloombergDOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Rambusdown 15.8%Kforcedown 10.9%Fabrinetdown 8.1%NXP Semiconductors N.V.down 5.6%ALSO LOWER -Acadia Pharmaceuticalsdown 6.1% after negative CHMP trend vote in Rett Syndrome
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- Market Recovery: On Thursday, the S&P 500 rose by 0.26% and the Nasdaq 100 by 0.49%, reaching new highs, indicating a strong rebound after early losses and reflecting investor confidence in economic recovery.
- Chip Sector Boost: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, highlighting strong AI demand, which propelled chipmakers' stock prices, particularly benefiting major suppliers to Nvidia and Apple, further enhancing market optimism.
- Oil Price Impact: Despite the stock market gains, crude oil prices surged over 3%, raising concerns about the Middle East situation and limiting the market's upward momentum, illustrating the potential impact of energy prices on the overall economy.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, exceeding expectations and indicating labor market strength, but unexpected declines in manufacturing production reflect economic uncertainty, which could influence future monetary policy.
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.15%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 0.06%, and the Nasdaq 100 dropped by 0.21%, indicating a slight market pullback after reaching new highs, particularly pressured by weakness in chipmakers.
- Economic Data: Initial jobless claims in the US fell by 11,000 to 207,000, indicating a stronger labor market than the expected 213,000; additionally, the Philadelphia Fed business outlook unexpectedly rose by 8.6 to a 15-month high of 26.7, reflecting potential economic recovery.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: WTI crude oil prices increased by over 1% as the US naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz enters its fourth day, which could exacerbate global oil and fuel shortages, impacting future energy market stability.
- Earnings Season: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the technology sector, the earnings growth is only 3%, the lowest in two years, indicating a cautious market outlook on profit growth.
- Chipmaker Rebound: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co raised its 2026 revenue forecast, reflecting strong AI demand, which led to a rebound in chipmakers, with ON Semiconductor up over 10% and AMD up over 5%, indicating renewed market confidence in tech stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims fell to 207,000, below the expected 213,000, suggesting a strong labor market; however, manufacturing production unexpectedly declined by 0.1%, highlighting the unevenness of economic recovery, which could influence future policy decisions.
- Oil Price Surge Impact: WTI crude oil prices rose over 2% due to escalating tensions between Iran and the US, potentially exacerbating global oil and fuel shortages, which negatively affects airline and cruise line profitability, leading to declines in related stocks.
- Earnings Season Begins: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to rise by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the tech sector, growth is only expected at 3%, raising concerns about the profitability of non-tech stocks and potentially impacting investor confidence.
- Downgrade Reasons: J.P. Morgan downgraded Corning from Overweight to Neutral primarily due to its high valuation, which creates execution challenges, as analysts noted that current market expectations for future earnings, particularly in the optical market, are overly optimistic, leaving little margin for error.
- Revenue Forecast Increase: Despite the downgrade, J.P. Morgan raised Corning's 2026 revenue estimate from $18.6 billion to $19 billion and introduced a 2028 estimate of $25.1 billion, reflecting confidence in its long-term growth potential.
- Fabrinet Rating Adjustment: Fabrinet's rating was also downgraded to Neutral due to increased volatility in near-term customer demand and limited visibility into upcoming ramps with new clients, which analysts believe will restrict short-term upside in the stock price.
- Financial Outlook Enhancement: J.P. Morgan increased Fabrinet's 2027 revenue estimate from $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion and set a 2028 revenue estimate of $7.1 billion, indicating optimism about its optical revenue growth, particularly in telecom and datacom sectors with strong CAGR expectations.
- Market Demand Analysis: According to BNP Paribas, companies like Arista Networks, Fabrinet, and Ciena are favored by investors due to the shortage of AI data center components, particularly memory integrated circuits and optical hardware, indicating strong market demand and investment potential.
- Revenue Forecast Upgrade: BNP Paribas expects the total addressable market for data center switches and transceivers to exceed $140 billion by 2028, reflecting ongoing demand growth for networking hardware, especially in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Price Trend Predictions: Analysis indicates that DRAM contract average selling prices are expected to rise by 90% quarter-over-quarter in CQ1 and 24% in CQ2, primarily driven by a significant increase in AI server demand, highlighting robust market demand for memory products.
- HDD Market Dynamics: Seagate anticipates that the adoption of 40TB HAMR technology in the second half of 2026 will drive its margin expansion beyond peers, indicating that HDD supply and demand dynamics will remain stable in the future, further solidifying its market position.

- U.S. Stock Market Performance: U.S. stock indexes experienced a decline on Tuesday, with the overall market dropping by 0.84%.
- Specific Index Movements: The S&P 500 fell by 0.37%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw a decrease of 0.18%.










