SoFi Misses S&P 500 Inclusion Despite Strong Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy SOFI?
Source: stocktwits
- Market Reaction: SoFi Technologies Inc. missed inclusion in the latest S&P 500 quarterly rebalance, causing its shares to slip in extended trading hours, despite widespread anticipation from investors, reflecting disappointment in the company's prospects.
- Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, SoFi reported quarterly revenue exceeding $1 billion for the first time, surpassing Wall Street expectations, indicating strong growth momentum, yet its stock faced pressure due to the missed S&P 500 inclusion.
- Analyst Expectations: Analysts forecast SoFi's Q1 2026 revenue to reach $1.05 billion with adjusted EPS of $0.12, slightly above the company's own guidance, suggesting ongoing market confidence in its future performance.
- Retail Sentiment: Despite the S&P 500 miss, SoFi's stock remained in 'extremely bullish' territory on Stocktwits, with users actively discussing the company's potential, indicating optimism about its growth trajectory.
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Analyst Views on SOFI
Wall Street analysts forecast SOFI stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
6 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 19.250
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
Current: 19.250
Low
18.00
Averages
28.31
High
38.00
About SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc. is a member-centric, one-stop shop for digital financial services. The Company, through its lending and financial services products, allows members to borrow, save, spend, invest and protect their money. The Company's segments include Lending, Technology Platform and Financial Services. The Lending segment offers personal loans, student loans, home loans and related servicing to help its members with a variety of financial needs. Its platform supports the full transaction lifecycle, including credit application, underwriting, approval, funding and servicing. The Technology Platform segment provides services through a diversified suite of offerings which include an event and authorization platform accessed via application programming interfaces, a cloud-native digital and core banking platform and services related to both platforms. The Financial Services segment offers a suite of financial services solutions, including SoFi Money and SoFi Invest.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Reaction: SoFi Technologies Inc. missed inclusion in the latest S&P 500 quarterly rebalance, causing its shares to slip in extended trading hours, despite widespread anticipation from investors, reflecting disappointment in the company's prospects.
- Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, SoFi reported quarterly revenue exceeding $1 billion for the first time, surpassing Wall Street expectations, indicating strong growth momentum, yet its stock faced pressure due to the missed S&P 500 inclusion.
- Analyst Expectations: Analysts forecast SoFi's Q1 2026 revenue to reach $1.05 billion with adjusted EPS of $0.12, slightly above the company's own guidance, suggesting ongoing market confidence in its future performance.
- Retail Sentiment: Despite the S&P 500 miss, SoFi's stock remained in 'extremely bullish' territory on Stocktwits, with users actively discussing the company's potential, indicating optimism about its growth trajectory.
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- Significant Membership Growth: SoFi's membership surged from 1.9 million at the end of 2020 to 13.7 million by the end of 2025, demonstrating its strong appeal in the financial services sector, particularly among younger consumers whose evolving financial needs will support future revenue growth.
- Profitability Surge: Since Q4 2023, SoFi has posted positive net income in every quarter, with adjusted net income projected to reach $825 million in 2026, representing a 72% increase from 2025, indicating a sustained enhancement in profitability.
- Accelerated Revenue Growth: In 2025, SoFi reported a 38% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue, an acceleration compared to 2024, highlighting the company's growing competitiveness in the digital banking space and its potential to attract more customers in the future.
- Investment Value Analysis: Although SoFi's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at 30.1, which may seem high at first glance, the anticipated 40% compound annual growth rate suggests that long-term investors should consider buying the stock during its current dip as a strategic investment opportunity.
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- Investment Return Potential: SoFi Technologies is projected to achieve multi-bagger returns over the next decade, with analysts forecasting significant stock price increases that attract long-term investor interest.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: As the fintech industry rapidly evolves, SoFi's ability to provide innovative financial services positions it to stand out in competition, further enhancing its market share.
- Strategic Development Focus: The company is actively expanding its product lines and services to meet changing consumer demands, thereby increasing customer loyalty and brand attachment.
- Financial Health Status: SoFi's financial performance remains robust, with expectations of sustained profitability in the future, boosting investor confidence and driving stock price growth.
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- Significant Stock Growth: As of March 2, 2025, SoFi's shares have surged 186% over the past three years, despite currently trading 43% below their all-time high from November 2025, reflecting investor confidence and market potential.
- Accelerated Revenue Growth: In 2025, SoFi reported a 38% year-over-year increase in adjusted net revenue, an acceleration compared to 2024, indicating a strengthening growth momentum in the financial services sector that is attracting more customers.
- Expanding Customer Base: SoFi's customer count skyrocketed from 1.9 million in 2020 to 13.7 million by December 31, 2025, a remarkable growth rate that is uncommon in the financial services industry, showcasing its appeal among younger consumers and market penetration.
- Sustained Profitability: Since Q4 2023, SoFi has generated positive net income in every quarter, with management projecting adjusted net income of $825 million in 2026, a 72% increase from 2025, laying a solid foundation for future growth.
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- SoFi Stock Decline: SoFi Technologies' shares have fallen by 33% this year, and despite a strong quarterly report, valuation concerns, particularly regarding its less-than-ideal guidance, have led investors to adopt a cautious outlook on its future.
- Online Banking Advantage: As an online-only financial institution, SoFi attracts younger generations by saving on overhead costs and passing those savings to customers, while continuously expanding its service offerings, including crypto trading and international money transfers, which are expected to drive growth over the next decade.
- Amazon's Capital Expenditure Concerns: Amazon's fourth-quarter results were solid, yet the market is worried about its massive capital expenditure plan for 2026; however, the company has previously demonstrated its ability to cut spending when necessary to enhance ROI.
- Cloud and Advertising Growth: Amazon remains a leader in cloud computing, with accelerated sales growth over the past two quarters driven by AI-related services, while its advertising business is performing well and is expected to be a key growth driver over the next decade.
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- SoFi Stock Decline: SoFi Technologies' shares have fallen by 33% this year, and despite a strong quarterly update, serious valuation concerns persist, particularly with a forward P/E ratio of 30, significantly above the financial sector's average of 15, warranting caution from investors.
- Attracting Young Users: As an online-only financial institution, SoFi attracts a large base of young users by saving on overhead costs and passing those savings to customers, with significant cross-selling potential as the average customer uses only 1.5 products, indicating substantial growth opportunities over the next decade.
- Amazon's Capital Expenditure Concerns: While Amazon's fourth-quarter results were strong, the market is worried about its massive capital expenditure plan for 2026; however, the company has previously demonstrated its ability to cut spending when ROI expectations are not met, showcasing its adaptability to market changes.
- Cloud and Advertising Growth: Amazon continues to lead in cloud computing, with accelerated sales growth over the past two quarters, and its AI-related services are boosting cloud revenue, while its advertising business is performing well, positioning these segments as key growth drivers for the next decade.
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