Soaring Oil Prices Boost Energy Stocks Amid Iran Conflict
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy OXY?
Source: Fool
- Impact of Rising Oil Prices: The ongoing conflict with Iran has driven oil prices to around $96 per barrel this year, pushing the national average gas price to $4.23 per gallon, which is over $1 higher than last year, leading to an expected additional $600 in gas expenses for the average American driver annually.
- Chevron's Growth Outlook: Chevron anticipates generating $12.5 billion in free cash flow in 2026, bolstered by completed expansion projects and the acquisition of Hess, alongside a cost-saving initiative expected to yield $3 billion to $4 billion in savings.
- Occidental Petroleum's Financial Improvement: Occidental Petroleum expects to see over $1.2 billion improvement in free cash flow by 2026, driven by efficiency gains and a $550 million reduction in capital spending, with every $1 increase in oil price adding approximately $265 million to its cash flow.
- Investment Opportunities: As oil prices rise, investing in energy stocks like Chevron and Occidental Petroleum presents a strategic way to mitigate the financial impact of higher gas prices, with both companies on track to achieve significant profit increases this year.
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Analyst Views on OXY
Wall Street analysts forecast OXY stock price to fall
16 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
9 Hold
3 Sell
Hold
Current: 58.610
Low
38.00
Averages
47.27
High
64.00
Current: 58.610
Low
38.00
Averages
47.27
High
64.00
About OXY
Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an international energy company with assets primarily in the United States, the Middle East and North Africa. The Company is an oil and gas producer in the United States, including a producer in the Permian and DJ basins, and the offshore Gulf of Mexico. Its segments include oil and gas, and midstream and marketing. The oil and gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil (which includes condensate), natural gas liquids (NGL) and natural gas. The Company's midstream and marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports, and stores oil (which includes condensate), NGL, natural gas, carbon dioxide (CO2) and power. The midstream and marketing segment provides flow assurance and maximizes the value of its oil and gas. It also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities that conduct similar activities. This segment also includes low-carbon venture businesses.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Impact of Rising Oil Prices: The ongoing conflict with Iran has driven oil prices to around $96 per barrel this year, pushing the national average gas price to $4.23 per gallon, which is over $1 higher than last year, leading to an expected additional $600 in gas expenses for the average American driver annually.
- Chevron's Growth Outlook: Chevron anticipates generating $12.5 billion in free cash flow in 2026, bolstered by completed expansion projects and the acquisition of Hess, alongside a cost-saving initiative expected to yield $3 billion to $4 billion in savings.
- Occidental Petroleum's Financial Improvement: Occidental Petroleum expects to see over $1.2 billion improvement in free cash flow by 2026, driven by efficiency gains and a $550 million reduction in capital spending, with every $1 increase in oil price adding approximately $265 million to its cash flow.
- Investment Opportunities: As oil prices rise, investing in energy stocks like Chevron and Occidental Petroleum presents a strategic way to mitigate the financial impact of higher gas prices, with both companies on track to achieve significant profit increases this year.
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- Impact of Rising Oil Prices: According to AAA, the national average gas price has reached $4.23 per gallon, over $1 higher than last year, which will lead American drivers to spend about $600 more on gas annually, directly affecting household budgets and consumer spending power.
- Chevron's Profit Expectations: Chevron anticipates generating $12.5 billion in free cash flow by 2026, bolstered by expansion projects completed last year and the acquisition of Hess, while also initiating a cost-saving initiative expected to yield $3 billion to $4 billion in structural savings.
- Occidental Petroleum's Outlook: Occidental Petroleum expects to see over $1.2 billion improvement in free cash flow by 2026, and despite initially muted oil price expectations, every $1 increase in oil price will add approximately $265 million to its annual cash flow, enhancing its capacity for capital spending and debt repayment.
- Investment Opportunities: With the war in Iran driving up oil prices, investing in oil stocks has become an effective way to mitigate the impact of rising gas prices, with Chevron and Occidental Petroleum identified as key energy plays likely to generate significant profit increases this year.
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- Financial Performance Overview: Berkshire reported a net income of $66.97 billion in 2025, down 25% from $89 billion in 2024, reflecting challenges in investment returns and market volatility while demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainties.
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- Leadership Change Impact: The appointment of Greg Abel as the new CEO signifies a shift in Berkshire's leadership, expected to influence the company's strategic direction and investment decisions, particularly as Abel continues to drive long-term growth strategies under Buffett's guidance.
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- Oil Price Surge Impacts Market: WTI crude oil prices surged over 6% on Wednesday to a three-week high due to the US maintaining its naval blockade of Iran, raising inflation expectations and negatively impacting the stock market.
- Fed Policy Influence: The Federal Reserve kept the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75% during its latest meeting, despite dissent from four members against easing bias, reflecting concerns over economic uncertainty that may dampen investor confidence.
- Strong Tech Stock Performance: The Nasdaq 100 index rose 0.58%, driven by strong earnings from NXP Semiconductors and Seagate Technology, with shares up 25% and over 10% respectively, indicating robust demand for AI infrastructure.
- Housing Data Exceeds Expectations: US March housing starts unexpectedly rose 10.8% to 1.502 million, significantly surpassing the expected decline to 1.380 million, demonstrating resilience in the housing market that could provide support for stocks.
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- Oil Price Surge Impacts Market: WTI crude oil prices rose over 5% to a two-week high as the US maintains its naval blockade of Iran, leading to increased inflation expectations that negatively affect the stock market.
- Strong Tech Stock Performance: The Nasdaq 100 index increased by 0.09%, primarily driven by strong earnings from NXP Semiconductors and Seagate Technology, both up over 14%, indicating robust demand for AI infrastructure.
- Housing Data Exceeds Expectations: US March housing starts unexpectedly rose by 10.8% to 1.502 million, significantly surpassing the market expectation of 1.380 million, demonstrating resilience in the construction sector that may support the stock market.
- Fed Policy Remains Unchanged: The Federal Reserve decided to keep monetary policy unchanged at the FOMC meeting despite a record number of dissenting votes, with markets anticipating future policy will continue to focus on oil prices and inflation dynamics.
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- Mixed Market Performance: The S&P 500 Index fell by 0.04%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 0.49%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index rose by 0.48%, indicating varied market reactions, particularly with technology stocks climbing due to strong demand.
- Oil Price Surge: WTI crude oil prices increased by over 5% to a two-week high as the US maintains its naval blockade of Iran, raising inflation expectations and negatively impacting stocks, potentially exacerbating the global energy crisis.
- Strong Housing Data: US March housing starts unexpectedly rose by 10.8% to 1.502 million, surpassing expectations, indicating resilience in the real estate market and potentially providing support for stocks.
- Tech Earnings Anticipation: With earnings reports from Alphabet, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta Platforms on the horizon, market expectations are high for technology stocks, as 80% of S&P 500 companies have already exceeded earnings estimates, projecting a 12% year-over-year increase in Q1 earnings.
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