Sees Q1 Adjusted OIBDA of $13M to $10M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 21 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy NCMI?
Sees Q1 adjusted OIBDA ($13M)-($10M).
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Analyst Views on NCMI
Wall Street analysts forecast NCMI stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.510
Low
5.00
Averages
5.83
High
6.50
Current: 3.510
Low
5.00
Averages
5.83
High
6.50
About NCMI
National CineMedia, Inc. is a media company that operates the cinema advertising platform in the United States. Its platform consists of more than 18,400 screens in over 1,400 theaters in 196 Designated Market Areas. It presents multiple formats of The Noovie Show depending on the theater circuit in which it runs, including Post-Showtime advertising inventory after the advertised showtime. It also sells advertising on its LEN, a series of screens located in movie theater lobbies, and other forms of advertising and promotions in theater lobbies. Its consumer-facing Noovie Trivia application allows brands to continue to reach movie audiences across multiple platforms, including sponsorships, digital advertising inventory such as leaderboards, banner advertisements, and others. The Noovie Show with Post-Showtime Inventory format is comprised of the same segments included within the Classic Noovie Show consisting of silver pod; gold pod; pre-trailer pod, and platinum spot.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
National CineMedia Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Revenue Growth: National CineMedia reported total revenue of $93.2 million for Q4 2025, an 8% year-over-year increase that aligns with guidance, indicating ongoing improvements in advertising demand and audience engagement.
- Adjusted OIBDA Performance: The adjusted OIBDA for the fourth quarter was $37.2 million, reflecting a 6% increase from the previous year and exceeding expectations, showcasing strong holiday demand and effective expense management that enhances profitability.
- Advertising Revenue Increase: National advertising revenue reached $76 million, nearly a 10% increase year-over-year, with revenue per attendee rising to $0.71, demonstrating the company's growing competitiveness in the advertising market.
- Future Outlook: For Q1 2026, revenue guidance is set between $32.5 million and $36.5 million, and despite challenges from the Winter Olympics and contractual adjustments, management remains optimistic about sustained advertising demand.
See More
National CineMedia Reports Q4 Profit Growth
- Profit Growth: National CineMedia Inc. reported a net profit of $29.3 million for Q4, translating to earnings per share of $0.31, which is an increase from $24.7 million and $0.26 per share last year, indicating improved profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding certain items, the company reported adjusted earnings of $0.28 per share, reflecting the stability and profitability of its core operations.
- Revenue Increase: The company's revenue rose by 8% to $93.2 million in Q4, up from $86.3 million last year, showcasing a recovery in market demand and successful business expansion.
- Market Impact: This growth in profit and revenue not only boosts investor confidence but also lays a foundation for future business development and market share expansion.
See More
National CineMedia Reports Growth in FY 2025 Results
- Revenue Growth: National CineMedia reported total revenue of $93.2 million for Q4 2025, an 8% year-over-year increase, indicating strong demand in the cinema advertising market and returns from ongoing investments.
- Operating Income Increase: Operating income rose to $23.8 million in Q4 2025 from $20.0 million in Q4 2024, reflecting effective strategies in cost control and advertising revenue growth, enhancing future profitability.
- Net Income Improvement: The net income for Q4 2025 was $29.3 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, compared to $24.7 million and $0.26 per share in 2024, showcasing a significant enhancement in the company's profitability.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company expects Q1 2026 total revenue to range between $32.5 million and $36.5 million, with adjusted OIBDA projected between -$13.0 million and -$10.0 million, reflecting confidence in future market opportunities.
See More
National CineMedia to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 26
- Earnings Announcement: National CineMedia (NCMI) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 26 after market close, with investors keenly awaiting the results to gauge the company's future growth potential.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.25, reflecting cautious optimism among investors regarding the company's profitability, although there has been one downward revision in EPS estimates over the last three months.
- Revenue Projections: The consensus revenue estimate is $91 million, indicating a 5.4% year-over-year growth; however, revenue estimates have faced four downward revisions in the past three months, signaling concerns about the company's revenue growth.
- Market Outlook: Despite the challenges posed by revenue estimate downgrades, there is optimism surrounding the U.S. box office recovery, which could provide support for National CineMedia's future performance.
See More
High Dividend Stocks Attract Investor Attention Amid Market Turbulence
- Investment Strategy in Turbulent Markets: During times of market turbulence and uncertainty, many investors are turning to high dividend-yielding stocks, which typically possess high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Analyst Ratings Overview: Ratings for three high-yielding stocks in the communication services sector, specifically Nexstar Media Group Inc, National CineMedia, Inc., and Omnicom Group Inc, indicate their attractiveness in the current market environment, highlighting their potential as solid investment choices.
- Importance of Dividend Yields: High dividend stocks not only provide investors with a steady cash flow but also offer a safety margin during market fluctuations, appealing to those seeking stable returns, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty.
- Future Outlook: As market interest in high dividend stocks rises, investors may place greater emphasis on these companies' financial health and dividend payment capabilities, which could influence their stock price performance and market strategies.
See More
James Cameron Warns of Risks in Netflix Acquisition
- Industry Warning: James Cameron's letter to Senator Mike Lee highlights that Netflix's proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery could lead to massive job losses in Hollywood and fundamentally alter the U.S. theatrical landscape, impacting one of America's largest export sectors.
- Film Industry Impact: Cameron emphasizes that Warner Bros. releases about 15 films annually, which are crucial for theater operations, and the merger would reduce the number of films produced, limiting filmmakers' choices and consequently reducing job opportunities.
- Regulatory Concerns: Senator Lee noted receiving feedback from actors and directors expressing concerns about the Netflix-Warner Bros. merger, indicating a plan for follow-up hearings to further address these issues, reflecting heightened regulatory scrutiny on the transaction.
- Netflix's Position: In its written testimony, Netflix committed to supporting theatrical releases of Warner Bros. films and plans to invest $20 billion in film and TV production by 2026, asserting that the merger will increase production investments, although Cameron questions the sustainability of these commitments.
See More
National CineMedia Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Revenue Growth: National CineMedia reported total revenue of $93.2 million for Q4 2025, an 8% year-over-year increase that aligns with guidance, indicating ongoing improvements in advertising demand and audience engagement.
- Adjusted OIBDA Performance: The adjusted OIBDA for the fourth quarter was $37.2 million, reflecting a 6% increase from the previous year and exceeding expectations, showcasing strong holiday demand and effective expense management that enhances profitability.
- Advertising Revenue Increase: National advertising revenue reached $76 million, nearly a 10% increase year-over-year, with revenue per attendee rising to $0.71, demonstrating the company's growing competitiveness in the advertising market.
- Future Outlook: For Q1 2026, revenue guidance is set between $32.5 million and $36.5 million, and despite challenges from the Winter Olympics and contractual adjustments, management remains optimistic about sustained advertising demand.
See More
National CineMedia Reports Q4 Profit Growth
- Profit Growth: National CineMedia Inc. reported a net profit of $29.3 million for Q4, translating to earnings per share of $0.31, which is an increase from $24.7 million and $0.26 per share last year, indicating improved profitability.
- Adjusted Earnings: Excluding certain items, the company reported adjusted earnings of $0.28 per share, reflecting the stability and profitability of its core operations.
- Revenue Increase: The company's revenue rose by 8% to $93.2 million in Q4, up from $86.3 million last year, showcasing a recovery in market demand and successful business expansion.
- Market Impact: This growth in profit and revenue not only boosts investor confidence but also lays a foundation for future business development and market share expansion.
See More
National CineMedia Reports Growth in FY 2025 Results
- Revenue Growth: National CineMedia reported total revenue of $93.2 million for Q4 2025, an 8% year-over-year increase, indicating strong demand in the cinema advertising market and returns from ongoing investments.
- Operating Income Increase: Operating income rose to $23.8 million in Q4 2025 from $20.0 million in Q4 2024, reflecting effective strategies in cost control and advertising revenue growth, enhancing future profitability.
- Net Income Improvement: The net income for Q4 2025 was $29.3 million, or $0.31 per diluted share, compared to $24.7 million and $0.26 per share in 2024, showcasing a significant enhancement in the company's profitability.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company expects Q1 2026 total revenue to range between $32.5 million and $36.5 million, with adjusted OIBDA projected between -$13.0 million and -$10.0 million, reflecting confidence in future market opportunities.
See More
National CineMedia to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 26
- Earnings Announcement: National CineMedia (NCMI) is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 26 after market close, with investors keenly awaiting the results to gauge the company's future growth potential.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at $0.25, reflecting cautious optimism among investors regarding the company's profitability, although there has been one downward revision in EPS estimates over the last three months.
- Revenue Projections: The consensus revenue estimate is $91 million, indicating a 5.4% year-over-year growth; however, revenue estimates have faced four downward revisions in the past three months, signaling concerns about the company's revenue growth.
- Market Outlook: Despite the challenges posed by revenue estimate downgrades, there is optimism surrounding the U.S. box office recovery, which could provide support for National CineMedia's future performance.
See More
High Dividend Stocks Attract Investor Attention Amid Market Turbulence
- Investment Strategy in Turbulent Markets: During times of market turbulence and uncertainty, many investors are turning to high dividend-yielding stocks, which typically possess high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, thereby enhancing investor confidence.
- Analyst Ratings Overview: Ratings for three high-yielding stocks in the communication services sector, specifically Nexstar Media Group Inc, National CineMedia, Inc., and Omnicom Group Inc, indicate their attractiveness in the current market environment, highlighting their potential as solid investment choices.
- Importance of Dividend Yields: High dividend stocks not only provide investors with a steady cash flow but also offer a safety margin during market fluctuations, appealing to those seeking stable returns, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty.
- Future Outlook: As market interest in high dividend stocks rises, investors may place greater emphasis on these companies' financial health and dividend payment capabilities, which could influence their stock price performance and market strategies.
See More
James Cameron Warns of Risks in Netflix Acquisition
- Industry Warning: James Cameron's letter to Senator Mike Lee highlights that Netflix's proposed acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery could lead to massive job losses in Hollywood and fundamentally alter the U.S. theatrical landscape, impacting one of America's largest export sectors.
- Film Industry Impact: Cameron emphasizes that Warner Bros. releases about 15 films annually, which are crucial for theater operations, and the merger would reduce the number of films produced, limiting filmmakers' choices and consequently reducing job opportunities.
- Regulatory Concerns: Senator Lee noted receiving feedback from actors and directors expressing concerns about the Netflix-Warner Bros. merger, indicating a plan for follow-up hearings to further address these issues, reflecting heightened regulatory scrutiny on the transaction.
- Netflix's Position: In its written testimony, Netflix committed to supporting theatrical releases of Warner Bros. films and plans to invest $20 billion in film and TV production by 2026, asserting that the merger will increase production investments, although Cameron questions the sustainability of these commitments.
See More
