Sees FY26 Revenue at $1.058B-$1.065B
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 15 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy ALRM?
Sees FY26 revenue $1.058B-$1.065B, consensus $1.04B.
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Analyst Views on ALRM
Wall Street analysts forecast ALRM stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
0 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 45.210
Low
55.00
Averages
70.00
High
85.00
Current: 45.210
Low
55.00
Averages
70.00
High
85.00
About ALRM
Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides a platform for intelligently connected property. Its cloud-based platform offers a suite of Internet of Things (IoT) solutions addressing global opportunities in the residential, multi-family, small business and enterprise commercial markets. The Company's segments include Alarm.com and Other. Its Alarm.com segment represents its cloud-based and Software platforms for intelligently connected property and related solutions. Its Other segment is focused on researching, developing and offering residential and commercial automation solutions and energy management products and services in adjacent markets. This segment also includes advanced grid services and virtual power plant (VPP) solutions for utilities. Its solution suite includes security, video and video analytics, energy management, access control, electric utility grid management, indoor gunshot detection, water management, health and wellness, personal safety and data-rich emergency response.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Alarm.com Exceeds Expectations in Q4 2025 Earnings Call
- Significant Revenue Growth: Alarm.com reported SaaS and license revenue of $180 million in Q4 2025, an 8.8% year-over-year increase, with total annual revenue exceeding $1 billion, showcasing the strength of the company's technology and business model, thereby reinforcing its market position.
- Accelerated Business Expansion: The company's expansion into commercial security and energy markets contributed 25% of total SaaS revenue for the year, with both segments growing approximately 25% year-over-year, indicating Alarm.com's success in diversifying its revenue streams.
- New Product Launches: The introduction of a new premium video doorbell and the first battery-powered 731 camera, along with enhanced AI capabilities in software, are expected to improve customer experience and drive future sales growth.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company projects SaaS and license revenue between $743 million and $745 million for 2026, with total revenue expected to reach between $1.058 billion and $1.065 billion, reflecting management's confidence in future growth and market opportunities.
See More
Alarm.com Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Alarm.com reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.72, surpassing expectations by $0.08, indicating a robust profitability trend that may attract increased investor interest.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company's Q4 revenue reached $261.7 million, reflecting an 8.0% year-over-year increase and exceeding analyst estimates by $10.95 million, demonstrating its competitive strength and sustained product demand in the market.
- Positive Market Reaction: Given the earnings beat, Alarm.com's stock price is likely to experience a positive impact, boosting investor confidence and enhancing market expectations for its future growth potential.
- Historical Performance Review: Alarm.com's historical financial data shows a consistent trend of revenue and earnings growth over recent quarters, further solidifying its leadership position in the smart home and security market.
See More
Alarm.com Reports Strong 2025 Financial Results with Significant Revenue Growth
- Revenue Growth: Alarm.com reported SaaS and license revenue of $689.4 million for 2025, reflecting a 9.2% increase year-over-year, indicating strong demand in the smart connected properties market and potential for future market share expansion.
- Net Income Increase: GAAP net income rose to $131.6 million in 2025 from $122.5 million in 2024, a 7.4% increase, showcasing the company's success in cost control and operational efficiency, which enhances investor confidence.
- Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA: The company achieved a non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $206.0 million in 2025, up 16.9%, indicating a sustained improvement in core business profitability, likely to attract more investments in the future.
- Cash Flow Position: As of December 31, 2025, Alarm.com’s cash and cash equivalents decreased to $960.6 million from $1.2207 billion in 2024; however, operating cash flow remained strong at $153.3 million, demonstrating robust financial management.
See More
Alarm.com Set to Release Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Alarm.com (ALRM) is scheduled to announce its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.64, reflecting a 10.3% year-over-year growth, indicating the company's ongoing profitability potential.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts project that Alarm.com's Q4 revenue will reach $250.75 million, representing a 3.5% year-over-year increase, which underscores the company's stable performance and sustained customer demand in the market.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Alarm.com has beaten both EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, showcasing its strong profitability and market adaptability, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Despite one downward revision in both EPS and revenue estimates over the last three months, with no upward revisions, this indicates a cautious market sentiment regarding the company's future performance, which may affect short-term stock price volatility.
See More
Allstate Corporation Sees 23.7% Earnings Estimate Increase for 2023
- Earnings Estimate Increase: Allstate Corporation's earnings estimate for 2023 has risen by 23.7% over the past 60 days, indicating a significant enhancement in the company's competitiveness and profitability in the insurance market, which could drive stock price appreciation.
- PEG Ratio Advantage: With a PEG ratio of 0.45 compared to the industry average of 1.78, Allstate demonstrates relative valuation attractiveness, potentially drawing more investor interest and boosting market confidence.
- Strong Growth Score: Allstate holds an A Growth Score, reflecting its potential for earnings growth and market performance, further reinforcing investor confidence in its future outlook.
- Industry Leadership: As a Zacks Rank #1 company, Allstate maintains a leading position in the insurance sector, and the continuous upward revision of earnings estimates may attract more institutional investors, enhancing its market share.
See More
Ciena Corporation Raises 2023 Earnings Estimate by 18.1%
- Earnings Estimate Increase: Ciena Corporation has seen its current year earnings estimate raised by 18.1% over the past 60 days, indicating increased market confidence in its future performance, which could drive stock price appreciation and attract more investor interest.
- Competitive Industry Advantage: With a PEG ratio of 1.12 compared to the industry average of 5.21, Ciena demonstrates a more favorable valuation and stronger growth potential, likely appealing to value investors.
- Growth Score Advantage: Ciena's A-grade Growth Score reflects its robust performance in technological innovation and market demand, further solidifying its leadership position in the network technology sector.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: As demand for network technology continues to rise, Ciena's earnings estimate increase not only enhances its competitive edge but also potentially provides more funding for future expansion and investments.
See More
Alarm.com Exceeds Expectations in Q4 2025 Earnings Call
- Significant Revenue Growth: Alarm.com reported SaaS and license revenue of $180 million in Q4 2025, an 8.8% year-over-year increase, with total annual revenue exceeding $1 billion, showcasing the strength of the company's technology and business model, thereby reinforcing its market position.
- Accelerated Business Expansion: The company's expansion into commercial security and energy markets contributed 25% of total SaaS revenue for the year, with both segments growing approximately 25% year-over-year, indicating Alarm.com's success in diversifying its revenue streams.
- New Product Launches: The introduction of a new premium video doorbell and the first battery-powered 731 camera, along with enhanced AI capabilities in software, are expected to improve customer experience and drive future sales growth.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company projects SaaS and license revenue between $743 million and $745 million for 2026, with total revenue expected to reach between $1.058 billion and $1.065 billion, reflecting management's confidence in future growth and market opportunities.
See More
Alarm.com Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Alarm.com reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.72, surpassing expectations by $0.08, indicating a robust profitability trend that may attract increased investor interest.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company's Q4 revenue reached $261.7 million, reflecting an 8.0% year-over-year increase and exceeding analyst estimates by $10.95 million, demonstrating its competitive strength and sustained product demand in the market.
- Positive Market Reaction: Given the earnings beat, Alarm.com's stock price is likely to experience a positive impact, boosting investor confidence and enhancing market expectations for its future growth potential.
- Historical Performance Review: Alarm.com's historical financial data shows a consistent trend of revenue and earnings growth over recent quarters, further solidifying its leadership position in the smart home and security market.
See More
Alarm.com Reports Strong 2025 Financial Results with Significant Revenue Growth
- Revenue Growth: Alarm.com reported SaaS and license revenue of $689.4 million for 2025, reflecting a 9.2% increase year-over-year, indicating strong demand in the smart connected properties market and potential for future market share expansion.
- Net Income Increase: GAAP net income rose to $131.6 million in 2025 from $122.5 million in 2024, a 7.4% increase, showcasing the company's success in cost control and operational efficiency, which enhances investor confidence.
- Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA: The company achieved a non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA of $206.0 million in 2025, up 16.9%, indicating a sustained improvement in core business profitability, likely to attract more investments in the future.
- Cash Flow Position: As of December 31, 2025, Alarm.com’s cash and cash equivalents decreased to $960.6 million from $1.2207 billion in 2024; however, operating cash flow remained strong at $153.3 million, demonstrating robust financial management.
See More
Alarm.com Set to Release Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Alarm.com (ALRM) is scheduled to announce its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.64, reflecting a 10.3% year-over-year growth, indicating the company's ongoing profitability potential.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts project that Alarm.com's Q4 revenue will reach $250.75 million, representing a 3.5% year-over-year increase, which underscores the company's stable performance and sustained customer demand in the market.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Alarm.com has beaten both EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, showcasing its strong profitability and market adaptability, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Despite one downward revision in both EPS and revenue estimates over the last three months, with no upward revisions, this indicates a cautious market sentiment regarding the company's future performance, which may affect short-term stock price volatility.
See More
Allstate Corporation Sees 23.7% Earnings Estimate Increase for 2023
- Earnings Estimate Increase: Allstate Corporation's earnings estimate for 2023 has risen by 23.7% over the past 60 days, indicating a significant enhancement in the company's competitiveness and profitability in the insurance market, which could drive stock price appreciation.
- PEG Ratio Advantage: With a PEG ratio of 0.45 compared to the industry average of 1.78, Allstate demonstrates relative valuation attractiveness, potentially drawing more investor interest and boosting market confidence.
- Strong Growth Score: Allstate holds an A Growth Score, reflecting its potential for earnings growth and market performance, further reinforcing investor confidence in its future outlook.
- Industry Leadership: As a Zacks Rank #1 company, Allstate maintains a leading position in the insurance sector, and the continuous upward revision of earnings estimates may attract more institutional investors, enhancing its market share.
See More
Ciena Corporation Raises 2023 Earnings Estimate by 18.1%
- Earnings Estimate Increase: Ciena Corporation has seen its current year earnings estimate raised by 18.1% over the past 60 days, indicating increased market confidence in its future performance, which could drive stock price appreciation and attract more investor interest.
- Competitive Industry Advantage: With a PEG ratio of 1.12 compared to the industry average of 5.21, Ciena demonstrates a more favorable valuation and stronger growth potential, likely appealing to value investors.
- Growth Score Advantage: Ciena's A-grade Growth Score reflects its robust performance in technological innovation and market demand, further solidifying its leadership position in the network technology sector.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: As demand for network technology continues to rise, Ciena's earnings estimate increase not only enhances its competitive edge but also potentially provides more funding for future expansion and investments.
See More
