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  5. ALRM
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ALRM

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    Overview
    Forecast
    Valuation
    Earnings
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2026Q1
FY2026Q2
250.63M
+3.46%
0.640
+10.42%
249.74M
+4.57%
0.608
+12.62%
261.12M
+2.68%
0.658
+9.74%
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.66% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -8.83%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+0.66%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+4.92%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-8.83%
In Past 3 Month
Wall Street analysts forecast ALRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALRM is 62.25 USD with a low forecast of 55.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALRM is 62.25 USD with a low forecast of 55.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
2 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 51.920
sliders
Low
55.00
Averages
62.25
High
70.00
Current: 51.920
sliders
Low
55.00
Averages
62.25
High
70.00
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
maintain
$63 -> $56
2025-11-10
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Price Target
$63 -> $56
2025-11-10
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Goldman Sachs lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $56 from $63 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Alarm.com delivered a strong Q3, exceeding expectations on both revenue and profitability, with broad-based strength across SaaS and hardware and a full-year guidance raise, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While the company's scale, margin outlook, and cash generation are improving, clearer evidence of sustained SaaS growth and better visibility into hardware demand amid macro uncertainty are needed before turning more constructive on the stock, Goldman says.
Barclays
Equal Weight
downgrade
$60 -> $56
2025-11-07
Reason
Barclays
Price Target
$60 -> $56
2025-11-07
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $56 from $60 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares following the Q3 report.
Jefferies
Hold
downgrade
$78 -> $68
2025-05-23
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$78 -> $68
2025-05-23
downgrade
Hold
Reason
Jefferies lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $68 from $78 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated models in the software sector.
Raymond James
Adam Tindle
Strong Buy
downgrade
$85 -> $80
2025-05-09
Reason
Raymond James
Adam Tindle
Price Target
$85 -> $80
2025-05-09
downgrade
Strong Buy
Reason
Raymond James analyst Adam Tindle lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $80 from $85 and keeps a Strong Buy rating on the shares. Alarm.com's Q1 results exceeded the firm's expectations on growth metrics, with increased profitability guidance for fiscal 2025 suggesting that EBITDA margin will move toward 20%, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Raymond James sees multiple levers for incremental value creation through continued share repurchases and strategic M&A to accelerate growth catalysts and further business diversification.
Goldman Sachs
Adam Hotchkiss
Hold
Maintains
$66 → $58
2025-04-17
Reason
Goldman Sachs
Adam Hotchkiss
Price Target
$66 → $58
2025-04-17
Maintains
Hold
Reason
Barclays
Saket Kalia
Hold
Maintains
$67 → $60
2025-04-14
Reason
Barclays
Saket Kalia
Price Target
$67 → $60
2025-04-14
Maintains
Hold
Reason
Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $60 from $67 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares as part of a Q1 preview for 16 on-cycle reporting names in security, design, and vertical software-as-a-service.
See All Ratings

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM.O) is 19.60, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 34.08. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Alarm.com Holdings Inc 's fair value, click here.
  • Forward PE
  • Forward EV/EBITDA
  • Forward PS

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Undervalued
5Y Average PE
34.08
Current PE
19.60
Overvalued PE
43.63
Undervalued PE
24.53

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
20.92
Current EV/EBITDA
0.00
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
27.16
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
14.67

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.
StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PS
3.82
Current PS
0.00
Overvalued PS
5.06
Undervalued PS
2.59
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Financials

Annual
Quarterly
N/A
Total Revenue
N/A
Operating Profit
N/A
Net Income after Tax
N/A
EPS - Diluted
N/A
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Gross Profit Margin - %
N/A
FCF Margin - %
N/A
Net Margin - %
N/A
ROIC

Trading Trends

  • Insider
  • Hedge Fund
  • Congress Trading
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 3427.23% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds areBuying! The buying amount has increased 571.25% over the last quarter.
Sold
Bought
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
Bought
Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 3427.23% over the last month.
Sold
Bought
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ALRM News & Events

Events Timeline

(ET)
2025-12-04
06:20:00
Alarm.com Partners with Everon for Unified Security Solutions
select
2025-11-06 (ET)
2025-11-06
16:26:16
Alarm.com projects FY25 EPS at $2.53, surpassing consensus estimate of $2.37.
select
2025-11-06
16:25:47
Alarm.com projects Q4 SaaS and license revenue between $176M and $176.2M
select
Sign Up For More Events
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News

[object Object]
Preview
7.5
12-03PRnewswire
Resideo Sells Grid Services Business to EnergyHub to Focus on Core Strategy
  • Business Divestiture: Resideo sold its Grid Services demand response business to EnergyHub, enabling a sharper focus on its core strategy in residential controls and sensing products, which is expected to enhance its market position among professional contractors and integrators.
  • Customer Base Expansion: EnergyHub's platform, trusted by over 120 utilities serving more than 55 million customers, will scale its ability to manage connected devices, thereby improving service reliability and affordability through this acquisition.
  • Financial Impact: The terms of the transaction were not disclosed, but Resideo indicated that this divestiture will have no material impact on its 2025 financial outlook, suggesting stability in its capital allocation strategy.
  • Strategic Integration: Resideo plans to use the proceeds from the sale for general corporate purposes in line with its stated capital allocation priorities, further solidifying its leadership position in the residential market.
[object Object]
Preview
3.0
12-01NASDAQ.COM
Top Growth Stocks to Consider Purchasing on December 1
  • Top Stock Picks: Three stocks with strong growth characteristics and Zacks Rank #1 are Alarm.com Holdings, Micron Technology, and Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation, all showing positive earnings estimate revisions over the past 60 days.

  • Alarm.com Holdings: This IoT company has a PEG ratio of 1.63 and a Growth Score of B, with a 5.5% increase in earnings estimates.

  • Micron Technology: The semiconductor firm boasts a PEG ratio of 0.48 and a Growth Score of B, with a 7% increase in earnings estimates.

  • Great Lakes Dredge & Dock: This dredging services provider has a PEG ratio of 0.97 and a Growth Score of A, with a notable 7.8% increase in earnings estimates.

[object Object]
Preview
3.0
11-28NASDAQ.COM
Top Growth Stocks to Consider Purchasing on November 28
  • Top Stock Picks: Three stocks with strong growth characteristics and Zacks Rank #1 are highlighted: The Allstate Corporation (ALL), Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (GLDD), and Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM), all showing significant earnings estimate increases over the past 60 days.

  • Allstate Corporation: This insurance company has a PEG ratio of 0.41 and a Growth Score of B, with a nearly 27% increase in current year earnings estimates.

  • Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation: This dredging services company has a PEG ratio of 0.96 and a Growth Score of A, with a 7.8% increase in current year earnings estimates.

  • Quantum Computing Insights: The article discusses the rapid advancement of quantum computing, with major tech companies integrating it into their infrastructure, and highlights a report by Kevin Cook on stocks poised to lead in this emerging field.

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People Also Watch

FAQ

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What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM) stock price today?

The current price of ALRM is 51.92 USD — it has decreased -0.36 % in the last trading day.

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What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s business?

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides a platform for intelligently connected property. Its cloud-based platform offers a suite of Internet of Things (IoT) solutions addressing global opportunities in the residential, multi-family, small business and enterprise commercial markets. The Company's segments include Alarm.com and Other. Its Alarm.com segment represents its cloud-based and Software platforms for intelligently connected property and related solutions. Its Other segment is focused on researching, developing and offering residential and commercial automation solutions and energy management products and services in adjacent markets. This segment also includes advanced grid services and virtual power plant (VPP) solutions for utilities. Its solution suite includes security, video and video analytics, energy management, access control, electric utility grid management, indoor gunshot detection, water management, health and wellness, personal safety and data-rich emergency response.

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What is the price predicton of ALRM Stock?

Wall Street analysts forecast ALRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALRM is 62.25 USD with a low forecast of 55.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

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What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Alarm.com Holdings Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 256.40M USD, increased 6.61 % YoY.

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What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Alarm.com Holdings Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.65 USD, decreased -2.99 % YoY.

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What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s fundamentals?

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.66% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -8.83%.
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How many employees does Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM). have?

Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM) has 2010 emplpoyees as of December 05 2025.

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What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM) market cap?

Today ALRM has the market capitalization of 2.59B USD.

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