ALRM Stock: Price, Forecast, Financials & AI Analysis

High

Open

VWAP

Vol

Mkt Cap

Low

Amount

EV/EBITDA(TTM)

Total Shares

EV/OCF(TTM)

P/S(TTM)

Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates

Revenue

YoY Chg

EPS

YoYChg

FY2025Q4

FY2026Q1

FY2026Q2

250.71M

+3.5%

0.637

+9.77%

249.74M

+4.57%

0.612

+13.41%

261.72M

+2.91%

0.663

+10.45%

Estimates Revision

The market is revising Upward the revenue expectations for Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by 0.67% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -0.57%.

Revenue Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+0.67%

In Past 3 Month

EPS Estimates for FY2025

Revise Upward

+5.61%

In Past 3 Month

Stock Price

Go Down

-0.57%

In Past 3 Month

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast ALRM stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ALRM is 62.25 USD with a low forecast of 55.00 USD and a high forecast of 70.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

3 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 0.000

Low

55.00

Averages

62.25

High

70.00

Current: 0.000

Low

55.00

Averages

62.25

High

70.00

Goldman Sachs

Neutral

maintain

$63 -> $56

2025-11-10

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Price Target

$63 -> $56

2025-11-10

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Goldman Sachs lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $56 from $63 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. Alarm.com delivered a strong Q3, exceeding expectations on both revenue and profitability, with broad-based strength across SaaS and hardware and a full-year guidance raise, the analyst tells investors in a research note. While the company's scale, margin outlook, and cash generation are improving, clearer evidence of sustained SaaS growth and better visibility into hardware demand amid macro uncertainty are needed before turning more constructive on the stock, Goldman says.

Barclays

Equal Weight

downgrade

$60 -> $56

2025-11-07

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$60 -> $56

2025-11-07

downgrade

Equal Weight

Reason

Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $56 from $60 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares following the Q3 report.

Jefferies

Hold

downgrade

$78 -> $68

2025-05-23

Reason

Jefferies

Price Target

$78 -> $68

2025-05-23

downgrade

Hold

Reason

Jefferies lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $68 from $78 and keeps a Hold rating on the shares. The firm updated models in the software sector.

Raymond James

Adam Tindle

Strong Buy

downgrade

$85 -> $80

2025-05-09

Reason

Raymond James

Adam Tindle

Price Target

$85 -> $80

2025-05-09

downgrade

Strong Buy

Reason

Raymond James analyst Adam Tindle lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $80 from $85 and keeps a Strong Buy rating on the shares. Alarm.com's Q1 results exceeded the firm's expectations on growth metrics, with increased profitability guidance for fiscal 2025 suggesting that EBITDA margin will move toward 20%, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Raymond James sees multiple levers for incremental value creation through continued share repurchases and strategic M&A to accelerate growth catalysts and further business diversification.

Goldman Sachs

Adam Hotchkiss

Hold

Maintains

$66 → $58

2025-04-17

Reason

Goldman Sachs

Adam Hotchkiss

Price Target

$66 → $58

2025-04-17

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Barclays

Saket Kalia

Hold

Maintains

$67 → $60

2025-04-14

Reason

Barclays

Saket Kalia

Price Target

$67 → $60

2025-04-14

Maintains

Hold

Reason

Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Alarm.com to $60 from $67 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares as part of a Q1 preview for 16 on-cycle reporting names in security, design, and vertical software-as-a-service.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM.O) is 19.27, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of 33.36. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Alarm.com Holdings Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

The forward P/E ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future earnings per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PE

33.36

Current PE

19.27

Overvalued PE

42.38

Undervalued PE

24.34

Forward EV/EBITDA

The forward EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's enterprise value (EV) by its estimated future earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) over the next 12 months.

5Y Average EV/EBITDA

20.46

Current EV/EBITDA

12.45

Overvalued EV/EBITDA

26.33

Undervalued EV/EBITDA

14.58

Forward PS

The forward P/S ratio is a valuation metric that divides a company's current stock price by its estimated future sales (or revenue) per share over the next 12 months.

5Y Average PS

3.74

Current PS

2.49

Overvalued PS

4.90

Undervalued PS

2.58

Financials

Annual

Quarterly

N/A

Total Revenue

N/A

Operating Profit

N/A

Net Income after Tax

N/A

EPS - Diluted

N/A

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Gross Profit Margin - %

N/A

FCF Margin - %

N/A

Net Margin - %

N/A

ROIC

Trading Trends

Insider

Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 3427.23% over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Hedge Fund

Hedge Funds areBuying! The buying amount has increased 571.25% over the last quarter.

Sold

Bought

Congress Trading

Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.

Sold

Bought

Insider

Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 3427.23% over the last month.

Sold

Bought

ALRM News & Events

Events Timeline

No data

News

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3.0

2025-12-19NASDAQ.COM

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM) stock price today?

The current price of ALRM is 51.93 USD — it has decreased -0.02 % in the last trading day.

What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s business?

Alarm.com Holdings, Inc. provides a platform for intelligently connected property. Its cloud-based platform offers a suite of Internet of Things (IoT) solutions addressing global opportunities in the residential, multi-family, small business and enterprise commercial markets. The Company's segments include Alarm.com and Other. Its Alarm.com segment represents its cloud-based and Software platforms for intelligently connected property and related solutions. Its Other segment is focused on researching, developing and offering residential and commercial automation solutions and energy management products and services in adjacent markets. This segment also includes advanced grid services and virtual power plant (VPP) solutions for utilities. Its solution suite includes security, video and video analytics, energy management, access control, electric utility grid management, indoor gunshot detection, water management, health and wellness, personal safety and data-rich emergency response.

What is the price predicton of ALRM Stock?

What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s revenue for the last quarter?

Alarm.com Holdings Inc revenue for the last quarter amounts to 256.40M USD, increased 6.61 % YoY.

What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s earnings per share (EPS) for the last quarter?

Alarm.com Holdings Inc. EPS for the last quarter amounts to 0.65 USD, decreased -2.99 % YoY.

What changes have occurred in the market's expectations for Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM)'s fundamentals?

How many employees does Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM). have?

Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM) has 2010 emplpoyees as of January 10 2026.

What is Alarm.com Holdings Inc (ALRM) market cap?

Today ALRM has the market capitalization of 2.59B USD.