RTX Awarded $773.5M Contract Modification
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy RTX?
RTX was awarded a $773.5M noncompetitive contract modification to a previously awarded indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity radar development contract. The total ceiling value of this contract is increased from $1.47B to $2.25B and the ordering period is extended from Oct. 30, 2027, to Oct. 31, 2030. Under this modification, the contractor will provide research and development support for the Army Navy Transportable Radar Surveillance Control Model-2 Radar. The Missile Defense Agency is the contracting activity.
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Analyst Views on RTX
Wall Street analysts forecast RTX stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 189.710
Low
168.00
Averages
195.77
High
215.00
Current: 189.710
Low
168.00
Averages
195.77
High
215.00
About RTX
RTX Corporation is an aerospace and defense company, which provides advanced systems and services for commercial, military, and government customers worldwide. The Company operates through three segments: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. Collins Aerospace segment provides technologically advanced aerospace and defense products and aftermarket service solutions for civil and military aircraft manufacturers, commercial airlines, and regional, business and general aviation, as well as for defense and commercial space operations. The Pratt & Whitney segment supplies aircraft engines for commercial, military, business jet, and general aviation customers. The Raytheon segment provides defensive and offensive threat detection, tracking and mitigation capabilities for the United States and foreign government and commercial customers. The Raytheon designs, develops, and provides advanced capabilities in integrated air and missile defense, smart weapons, missiles and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Diverse Funding Sources: The funding for this contract includes $220 million from FY24 Navy, $210 million from Air Force, $800 million from FY25 Navy, $730 million from Air Force, $380 million from F-35 partner funds, and $1.47 billion from FMS funds, ensuring financial stability for the project.
- Contracting Authority: The Naval Air Systems Command is the contracting activity, reflecting the U.S. government's trust in RTX for defense projects, which also provides a stable revenue stream for the company.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: With increasing global defense spending, RTX's role in missile production and the F-35 program is becoming increasingly critical, expected to drive future growth potential and shareholder returns.
See More
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- Significant Stock Decline: Palantir (PLTR) shares have cumulatively dropped 12.6% over recent sessions, reaching their lowest level since March 2, indicating a waning investor confidence in defense stocks that could impact the company's future financing capabilities.
- Shift in Market Sentiment: Since mid-March, sentiment on Stocktwits for PLTR has turned ‘bearish’, reflecting growing investor concerns about the company's outlook, which may lead to increased selling pressure and exacerbate the stock's downward trajectory.
- P/E Ratio Hits Five-Month Low: Palantir's 12-month forward P/E ratio has plummeted from 270.3x last November to 104x, signaling a lack of confidence in its future profitability despite remaining above the software sector average, which could hinder its ability to attract new investors.
- Business Expansion and Partnerships: Despite stock price pressures, Palantir has renewed a five-year partnership with automaker Stellantis to enhance the use of its data management software across various business units, indicating ongoing market share expansion that may lay the groundwork for future growth.
See More
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- Investment Rumors Surface: According to the Financial Times, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's broker sought to make a large investment in major defense companies ahead of the Iran war, although the Pentagon denied the report, labeling it as 'entirely false.'
- ETF Investment Plan: Hegseth's broker contacted BlackRock to discuss a multimillion-dollar investment in its iShares Defense Industrials Active ETF, which has approximately $3.1 billion in assets and includes stocks from major defense firms like Lockheed Martin.
- Poor Market Performance: The Defense ETF has lost 12.4% in the past month since the onset of the Iran war, reflecting cautious sentiment in the defense investment landscape, despite Hegseth's investment plans not materializing.
- Conflict Escalation: With U.S. Marines arriving in the region, the Pentagon is preparing for weeks of ground operations in Iran, indicating a potential escalation of the conflict that could further impact defense industry investment sentiment.
See More
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- Significant Contract Value: RTX's BBN Technologies has secured a $125 million contract to provide simulation and optimization tools for joint deployment and distribution analysis, showcasing the company's strong capabilities in defense technology.
- Defined Performance Period: The contract spans from April 1, 2026, to March 31, 2031, ensuring a long-term revenue stream and laying the groundwork for future projects.
- Clear Funding Source: Working capital for FY2026 will be allocated for individual task orders, indicating efficient resource allocation and reflecting a close partnership with the U.S. Transportation Command.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: As U.S. defense spending continues to rise, RTX's success in securing defense contracts will further enhance its market position and potentially drive future business growth.
See More
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- Data-Driven Success Model: Swarmer CEO Alex Fink emphasizes that data collection and AI model improvement are the company's core competitive advantages, which are expected to drive long-term success in the market, especially against large defense firms.
- Market Position and Backlog: With a current market capitalization of under $500 million and a contracted backlog of $16.3 million, Swarmer's rapid growth potential has garnered market attention despite the vast valuation gap with Lockheed Martin and RTX.
- Software Interoperability Advantage: Fink highlights that Swarmer's software is designed to work across multiple hardware platforms, allowing for a vendor-agnostic model that distinguishes it from traditional defense models that often lock customers into a single ecosystem.
- Drone Control Technology: Swarmer focuses on developing software that enables a single operator to control dozens or hundreds of drones simultaneously, and despite facing structural advantages from established defense contractors, it has successfully executed over 100,000 missions since its first combat deployment in Ukraine.
See More
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Increased Military Spending
- Increased Military Spending: Heightened geopolitical tensions are prompting governments to boost investments in military development, with global defense spending projected to reach a record $2 trillion in 2026, indicating a rising priority on national security.
- Market Response: As of the afternoon of March 27, 2026, stock prices of defense-related companies have generally risen, reflecting investor optimism regarding defense spending, which could drive long-term growth for these firms.
- Policy Shifts: Governments are reassessing their defense strategies and increasing budgets to address potential threats, a policy shift that not only affects military procurement but could also have profound implications for related supply chains.
- Strengthened International Cooperation: With rising military expenditures, there is an acceleration of military cooperation and technology sharing among nations, particularly in high-tech weaponry and cybersecurity, potentially reshaping the global military landscape.
See More
