Oppenheimer Lowers Target Price for Roblox Corporation to $82 from $130
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
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Should l Buy RBLX?
Source: moomoo
- Target Price Adjustment: Oppenheimer has reduced the target price for Roblox Corporation from $130 to $82.
- Market Impact: This significant cut reflects changing market conditions and expectations for the company's future performance.
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Analyst Views on RBLX
Wall Street analysts forecast RBLX stock price to rise
22 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
8 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 55.260
Low
70.00
Averages
133.89
High
180.00
Current: 55.260
Low
70.00
Averages
133.89
High
180.00
About RBLX
Roblox Corporation operates a platform for connection and communication (Roblox Platform), where every day, people come to create, play, work, learn, and connect with each other in experiences built by its global community of creators. The Company’s platform consists of the Roblox Client, the Roblox Studio, and the Roblox Cloud. Roblox Client is an application that allows users to seamlessly explore 3D immersive experiences. Roblox Studio is the free toolset that allows developers and creators to build, publish, and operate three-dimensional (3D) immersive experiences and other content accessed with the Roblox Client. Roblox Cloud includes the services and infrastructure that power its Platform. The Company operates the Roblox Platform as a live service that allows users to play and socialize with others for free. The Company offers developers and creators the ability to build engaging, immersive experiences and marketplace items that they can easily share with the Roblox community.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Revenue and Bookings Data: Roblox reported Q1 revenue of $1.4 billion and bookings of $1.7 billion, with strong cash flow metrics of $629 million in operating cash flow and $596 million in free cash flow, yet user growth challenges led to a downward revision of full-year expectations.
- Decline in User Engagement: The global rollout of age checks has impacted user acquisition and engagement, resulting in weaker-than-expected DAUs, with management anticipating continued pressure into Q2 but expecting a return to growth in Q3, highlighting the profound effects of safety measures on user behavior.
- Adjusted Growth Expectations: CFO Naveen Chopra revised full-year revenue growth guidance to 20%-25% and bookings growth to 8%-12%, primarily due to safety-related friction and communication changes, indicating significant short-term challenges for the company.
- Shift in Strategic Priorities: Management emphasized a shift from platform innovation to addressing safety-driven friction, including the rollout of age-based accounts in June and optimizing communication features, aiming to enhance long-term user retention and expand the 18+ user base.
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- Apple's Positive Outlook: Bank of America reiterates a buy rating on Apple, forecasting that iPhone revenues will exceed expectations in 2026 due to record upgraders and strong gross margins despite commodity pressures, indicating sustained competitiveness in the smartphone market.
- Roblox Demand Slowdown: Bank of America downgrades Roblox to neutral, citing a significant decline in platform demand; while acknowledging its ability to compress development costs, the uncertainty around the timeline for demand recovery may impact its market performance.
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- Hershey's Positive Outlook: TD Cowen upgrades Hershey to buy, expressing confidence that the company will raise its 2026 guidance and return to volume growth in 2027, reflecting strong recovery potential in the confectionery market.
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- Target Price Adjustment: Oppenheimer has reduced the target price for Roblox Corporation from $130 to $82.
- Market Impact: This significant cut reflects changing market conditions and expectations for the company's future performance.
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- Cloud Transition: CFO James Chuong cautioned that the shift of customers to cloud services would result in a more muted level of data center expansion, with expectations for moderated revenue growth in Q4, which could impact future market performance.
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- Bookings Forecast Cut: Roblox has lowered its full-year bookings forecast to $7.33 billion to $7.6 billion from the previous $8.28 billion to $8.55 billion, indicating a pessimistic outlook on future revenues that may erode investor confidence.
- User Growth Constraints: The newly implemented safety measures, including age-based accounts and content monitoring, have restricted user communication and slowed new user acquisition, potentially causing continued short-term friction in user growth over the next few quarters, impacting the platform's long-term development.
- Market Valuation Loss: If current losses persist, Roblox could lose over $9 billion from its market valuation of $39.55 billion, reflecting market concerns about its future growth potential, especially amid increasing competition.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: Analysts have noted that the forecast cut likely reflects competitive pressures from Fortnite and the upcoming release of Take-Two Interactive's Grand Theft Auto VI, which is expected to drive billions in revenue and could further weaken Roblox's bookings growth.
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