Renewed Trade Tensions Cause Market Decline
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 23 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Market Reaction: On Monday, all three major indexes fell over 1%, with the S&P 500 down 1.2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.7%, reflecting investor concerns about the future economic outlook amidst rising trade tensions.
- Tariff Policy Changes: Following the Supreme Court's ruling against his tariffs, Trump announced a global tariff increase from 10% to 15%, raising doubts about the sustainability of government budget and tariff revenue, which could impact future fiscal policies.
- EU Response: The European Union has paused its plans to implement last year's trade agreement, which included a 15% tariff rate, with the chair of the European Parliament's International Trade Committee labeling the situation as
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Analyst Views on AXP
Wall Street analysts forecast AXP stock price to rise
21 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 301.450
Low
280.00
Averages
379.06
High
425.00
Current: 301.450
Low
280.00
Averages
379.06
High
425.00
About AXP
American Express Company is a global payments and premium lifestyle brand powered by technology. Its card-issuing, merchant-acquiring and card network businesses offer products and services to a broad range of customers, including consumers, small businesses, mid-sized companies and large corporations around the world. Its range of products and services includes credit and charge cards and complementary products and services, including travel, dining, lifestyle and expense management products and services; banking and other payment and financing products and services, including deposits and non-card lending; merchant acquisition and processing, servicing and settlement, fraud prevention, and point-of-sale marketing and information products and services, and network services. These products and services are offered through various channels, including mobile and online applications, affiliate marketing, customer referral programs, third-party service providers, and business partners.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Strong Earnings Performance: In 2025, the company reported a 10% revenue increase to $72.2 billion, with earnings per share reaching $15.38, a 15% year-over-year growth, demonstrating robust profitability amid resilient consumer spending.
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- Dividend Growth and Buybacks: The board approved a 16% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.95 per share, with an annualized payout of $3.80 reflecting a low payout ratio under 25%, indicating room for future increases, while $5.3 billion was spent on share repurchases in 2025, reducing the share count by 2% and enhancing per-share earnings.
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- Dividend Increase: American Express has raised its quarterly dividend by 16%, bringing the payout to $0.95 per share, reflecting strong cash flow and a payout ratio below 25%, providing ample room for future dividend hikes.
- Strong Earnings Performance: In 2025, the company reported a 10% revenue increase to $72.2 billion, with earnings per share reaching $15.38, a 15% year-over-year growth, demonstrating robust profitability amid resilient consumer spending.
- Share Buyback Program: In 2025, American Express returned $7.6 billion to shareholders, with approximately $5.3 billion allocated for share repurchases, reducing the share count by about 2%, which directly boosts earnings per share and enhances shareholder returns.
- Market Appeal: Despite a 20% decline in share price since the start of 2026, trading around $300 with a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 17, the stock presents an attractive valuation for long-term investors in a high-quality lending institution.
See More
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- Strong Earnings Performance: American Express reported a 10% revenue increase for 2025, reaching $72.2 billion, with adjusted earnings per share at $15.38, a 15% year-over-year growth, demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainties and boosting investor confidence.
- Dividend Growth and Buybacks: The board approved a 16% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.95 per share, with an annualized payout of $3.80 reflecting a low payout ratio under 25%, indicating room for future increases, while $5.3 billion was spent on share repurchases in 2025, reducing the share count by 2% and enhancing per-share earnings.
- Enhanced Pricing Power: By raising the annual fee of its flagship Platinum Card by nearly 30% to $895 and adding various lifestyle perks, American Express successfully attracted younger consumers, particularly Millennials and Gen Z, thereby strengthening customer loyalty and laying the groundwork for future growth.
- Attractive Valuation: With shares trading around $300, the stock is valued at approximately 17 times the midpoint of management's 2026 earnings guidance, presenting an appealing price-to-earnings ratio for a high-quality lender, offering investors a solid entry point despite potential economic downturn risks.
See More
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- Strong Earnings Growth: American Express reported a 10% revenue increase for 2025, reaching $72.2 billion, with adjusted earnings per share at $15.38, reflecting resilience and profitability amid macroeconomic pressures.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The board approved a 16% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.95 per share in March, resulting in a 1.3% dividend yield, indicating strong cash flow that supports future dividend growth.
- Aggressive Buyback Program: In 2025, American Express returned $7.6 billion to shareholders, with approximately $5.3 billion allocated for share repurchases, reducing the share count by about 2%, which directly boosts per-share earnings.
- Strong Pricing Power: By raising the annual fee of its flagship Platinum Card by nearly 30% and enhancing lifestyle benefits, the company successfully attracts younger consumers, demonstrating its pricing power and potential for future growth.
See More
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- Price Range Analysis: The XLF ETF has a 52-week low of $42.21 and a high of $56.515, with the last trade at $49.09, indicating volatility and shifts in investor sentiment within the current market.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average provides valuable insights for investors, aiding in the assessment of market trends and potential buy or sell opportunities.
- ETF Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding helps identify ETFs experiencing significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), assessing their impact on underlying assets and market dynamics.
See More
American Express Partners with Chef's Table for Culinary Experiences
- Diverse Partnership Launch: American Express, Resy, and Chef's Table are kicking off a multi-year collaboration in June, introducing a narrative-driven dinner series aimed at providing immersive experiences for food enthusiasts and cardholders, thereby enhancing brand influence.
- Dinner Series Schedule: The first dinner will take place on June 2 in New York, featuring local celebrity chefs and incorporating a live podcast recording to share personal stories and creative philosophies, enhancing guests' understanding and connection to the stories behind their meals.
- Culinary Festival and Awards Ceremony: This summer, the Chef's Table Festival will be held in Park City, Utah, gathering renowned chefs for interactive culinary demonstrations, while the Chef's Table Honors awards ceremony will take place in Las Vegas in the fall, further elevating the brand's status in the culinary world.
- Strategic Market Implications: This partnership not only showcases American Express's commitment to food culture but also enhances its market competitiveness through collaborations with renowned chefs, attracting more high-end customers and driving business growth.
See More
Analyst Blog Stock Updates from Zacks
- American Express Outperformance: American Express shares have risen 11.1% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Financial sector's -17.2%, driven by strong spending growth from Millennials and Gen Z, particularly in travel and dining, enhancing customer engagement and transaction volumes.
- Intuitive Surgical Strong Results: Intuitive Surgical exceeded revenue and EPS estimates in Q4, with 303 placements of the da Vinci 5 system, raising its installed base to 1,232, while global procedures grew 19% year-over-year, indicating robust market demand despite rising costs and budget constraints.
- Shopify's Continued Growth: Shopify shares gained 17.9% over the past year, although below the Internet Services sector's 72.6% growth, as new merchant-friendly tools and AI-driven solutions are helping merchants enhance customer engagement and support international expansion.
- Utah Medical Products Steady Performance: Utah Medical Products' shares rose 13.5% over the past year, with a market cap of $197.44 million and a strong cash position with no debt, providing flexibility for dividends and acquisitions, despite near-term risks from OEM/China exits impacting revenue replacement.
See More
