RBC Capital Reaffirms Outperform Rating for Ollie's Bargain Outlet and Increases Price Target to $144
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 18 2025
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Source: Benzinga
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Analyst Views on OLLI
Wall Street analysts forecast OLLI stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
10 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 82.540
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
Current: 82.540
Low
120.00
Averages
144.46
High
162.00
About OLLI
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. operates as a retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory. The Company and its subsidiaries principally buys overproduced, overstocked, and closeout merchandise from manufacturers, wholesalers, distributors, brokers, and other retailers. In addition, it augments its name-brand closeout deals with private label products. It offers customers a selection of brand name products, including housewares, bed and bath, food, floor coverings, health and beauty aids, books and stationery, toys, and electronics. The Company operates over 575 stores in 31 states. The Company's retail locations are located in Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, and West Virginia.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Warns of Low Q2 Sales Growth
- Sales Growth Warning: Ollie's Bargain Outlet management may indicate that Q2 comparable sales growth could be lower than expected, which could negatively impact investor confidence and lead to stock price volatility.
- Market Reaction Anticipation: Due to management's warning, the market may express concerns about Ollie's future performance, potentially affecting its competitive position in the retail sector, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty.
- Financial Health Impact: Lower-than-expected sales growth could affect the company's overall financial performance, particularly in terms of margins and cash flow, which may lead to adjustments in future investment and expansion plans.
- Strategic Adjustment Necessity: In light of the challenges posed by slowing sales growth, Ollie's may need to reassess its market strategies and product offerings to adapt to changing consumer demands and enhance competitiveness.
See More
Ollie's to Report Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results on June 3
- Earnings Announcement: Ollie's Bargain Outlet will report its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 before the market opens on June 3, 2026, providing investors with insights into the company's financial health and operational performance.
- Executive Conference Call: CEO Eric van der Valk and CFO Robert Helm will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on the same day to discuss the financial results and answer investor questions, enhancing transparency and investor confidence.
- Company Background: Since its founding in 1982, Ollie's has focused on selling brand-name household products at prices up to 70% below traditional retailers through a flexible buying model, attracting a broad consumer base with its commitment to providing quality goods.
- Store Expansion: As of January 31, 2026, Ollie's operates 645 stores across 34 states, indicating the company's growth potential and responsiveness to consumer demand through its ongoing expansion strategy.
See More
US Stocks Rise Slightly, Led by Tech Gains
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices both reached all-time highs, rising 0.19% and 0.29% respectively, reflecting strong corporate earnings and optimism around artificial intelligence, although gains were limited by rising oil prices and bond yields.
- Middle East Impact: The failure of the US and Iran to reach a peace agreement led to an increase in global bond yields, with the 10-year T-note yield rising 5 basis points to 4.41%, raising concerns that sustained high energy prices could force central banks to tighten monetary policy.
- Chinese Trade Data: China's April exports rose 14.1% year-on-year, significantly exceeding expectations of 8.4%, while imports increased by 25.3%, indicating positive signals for global economic recovery that could benefit global markets.
- Earnings Reports: As of Monday, 83% of the 450 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to grow 12% year-on-year, but only 3% when excluding the technology sector, highlighting disparities in profitability across industries.
See More
Jim Cramer's Insights on Various Stocks
- Automation Company Outlook: Symbiotic is characterized as an automation and robotics firm, and despite competition from Elon Musk, it is seen as having market space; Cramer suggests investors consider buying a few shares for potential gains.
- Planet Labs Price Assessment: Cramer notes that Planet Labs' stock has risen too much, indicating that its current price is unattractive, and advises investors to be cautious and avoid buying at high levels.
- Ollie's Bargain Outlet Concerns: Cramer expresses concern over Ollie's Bargain Outlet's performance, marking its first decline; he plans to conduct further research to understand its future trajectory, demonstrating a commitment to the company.
- Bitcoin Investment Strategy: Cramer mentions that Strategy no longer needs to rely on its products but should invest directly in Bitcoin for more direct exposure, reflecting a keen interest in the cryptocurrency market.
See More
Retail Market Dynamics: Performance of Ollie's, National Vision, and Grocery Outlet
- Ollie's Expansion Momentum: Ollie's Bargain Outlet opened a record 86 new stores in fiscal 2025, with net sales increasing by 16.6%, and is projected to open another 75 stores in fiscal 2026, aiming for nearly $3 billion in net sales, indicating strong market demand and expansion potential.
- National Vision's Sustained Growth: National Vision Holdings has achieved positive comparable store sales growth for 12 consecutive quarters, with a 9% revenue increase and a 56% surge in adjusted operating income for fiscal 2025, demonstrating the success of its shift towards higher-value customer segments.
- Grocery Outlet's Strategic Adjustment: Despite closing 36 underperforming stores in 2026, Grocery Outlet still reported a 7.3% increase in net sales for fiscal 2025 and plans to reallocate resources, indicating its attractiveness in a challenging market environment.
- Market Environment Impact: The success of Ollie's and Grocery Outlet is closely tied to current tariffs and supply chain disruptions, with the former attracting customers through discounted closeout merchandise and the latter leveraging its flexible purchasing model to navigate market challenges, showcasing the retail sector's adaptability.
See More
Retailers Thrive Amid Consumer Spending Shifts
- Ollie's Expansion Momentum: Ollie's Bargain Outlet opened a record 86 new stores in fiscal 2025, achieving a 16.6% increase in net sales, and is projected to open another 75 stores in fiscal 2026 with expected net sales nearing $3 billion, indicating significant growth potential in the U.S. market.
- National Vision Growth Strategy: National Vision Holdings has posted 12 consecutive quarters of positive comparable store sales growth, with a 9% revenue increase and a 56% surge in adjusted operating income in fiscal 2025, successfully enhancing margins by focusing on higher-value customer segments.
- Grocery Outlet Strategic Adjustment: Despite closing 36 underperforming stores in 2026, Grocery Outlet still grew net sales by 7.3% and opened 42 new stores in 2025, demonstrating its attractiveness in a volatile supply chain environment while reallocating resources effectively.
- Market Environment Impact: Overall consumer spending has been uneven, yet retailers are adapting to consumers' more cautious spending behavior through precise product mixes and market positioning, showcasing their potential for growth even amid economic fluctuations.
See More
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Warns of Low Q2 Sales Growth
- Sales Growth Warning: Ollie's Bargain Outlet management may indicate that Q2 comparable sales growth could be lower than expected, which could negatively impact investor confidence and lead to stock price volatility.
- Market Reaction Anticipation: Due to management's warning, the market may express concerns about Ollie's future performance, potentially affecting its competitive position in the retail sector, especially amid increasing economic uncertainty.
- Financial Health Impact: Lower-than-expected sales growth could affect the company's overall financial performance, particularly in terms of margins and cash flow, which may lead to adjustments in future investment and expansion plans.
- Strategic Adjustment Necessity: In light of the challenges posed by slowing sales growth, Ollie's may need to reassess its market strategies and product offerings to adapt to changing consumer demands and enhance competitiveness.
See More
Ollie's to Report Q1 Fiscal 2026 Results on June 3
- Earnings Announcement: Ollie's Bargain Outlet will report its financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 before the market opens on June 3, 2026, providing investors with insights into the company's financial health and operational performance.
- Executive Conference Call: CEO Eric van der Valk and CFO Robert Helm will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time on the same day to discuss the financial results and answer investor questions, enhancing transparency and investor confidence.
- Company Background: Since its founding in 1982, Ollie's has focused on selling brand-name household products at prices up to 70% below traditional retailers through a flexible buying model, attracting a broad consumer base with its commitment to providing quality goods.
- Store Expansion: As of January 31, 2026, Ollie's operates 645 stores across 34 states, indicating the company's growth potential and responsiveness to consumer demand through its ongoing expansion strategy.
See More
US Stocks Rise Slightly, Led by Tech Gains
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indices both reached all-time highs, rising 0.19% and 0.29% respectively, reflecting strong corporate earnings and optimism around artificial intelligence, although gains were limited by rising oil prices and bond yields.
- Middle East Impact: The failure of the US and Iran to reach a peace agreement led to an increase in global bond yields, with the 10-year T-note yield rising 5 basis points to 4.41%, raising concerns that sustained high energy prices could force central banks to tighten monetary policy.
- Chinese Trade Data: China's April exports rose 14.1% year-on-year, significantly exceeding expectations of 8.4%, while imports increased by 25.3%, indicating positive signals for global economic recovery that could benefit global markets.
- Earnings Reports: As of Monday, 83% of the 450 S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to grow 12% year-on-year, but only 3% when excluding the technology sector, highlighting disparities in profitability across industries.
See More
Jim Cramer's Insights on Various Stocks
- Automation Company Outlook: Symbiotic is characterized as an automation and robotics firm, and despite competition from Elon Musk, it is seen as having market space; Cramer suggests investors consider buying a few shares for potential gains.
- Planet Labs Price Assessment: Cramer notes that Planet Labs' stock has risen too much, indicating that its current price is unattractive, and advises investors to be cautious and avoid buying at high levels.
- Ollie's Bargain Outlet Concerns: Cramer expresses concern over Ollie's Bargain Outlet's performance, marking its first decline; he plans to conduct further research to understand its future trajectory, demonstrating a commitment to the company.
- Bitcoin Investment Strategy: Cramer mentions that Strategy no longer needs to rely on its products but should invest directly in Bitcoin for more direct exposure, reflecting a keen interest in the cryptocurrency market.
See More
Retail Market Dynamics: Performance of Ollie's, National Vision, and Grocery Outlet
- Ollie's Expansion Momentum: Ollie's Bargain Outlet opened a record 86 new stores in fiscal 2025, with net sales increasing by 16.6%, and is projected to open another 75 stores in fiscal 2026, aiming for nearly $3 billion in net sales, indicating strong market demand and expansion potential.
- National Vision's Sustained Growth: National Vision Holdings has achieved positive comparable store sales growth for 12 consecutive quarters, with a 9% revenue increase and a 56% surge in adjusted operating income for fiscal 2025, demonstrating the success of its shift towards higher-value customer segments.
- Grocery Outlet's Strategic Adjustment: Despite closing 36 underperforming stores in 2026, Grocery Outlet still reported a 7.3% increase in net sales for fiscal 2025 and plans to reallocate resources, indicating its attractiveness in a challenging market environment.
- Market Environment Impact: The success of Ollie's and Grocery Outlet is closely tied to current tariffs and supply chain disruptions, with the former attracting customers through discounted closeout merchandise and the latter leveraging its flexible purchasing model to navigate market challenges, showcasing the retail sector's adaptability.
See More
Retailers Thrive Amid Consumer Spending Shifts
- Ollie's Expansion Momentum: Ollie's Bargain Outlet opened a record 86 new stores in fiscal 2025, achieving a 16.6% increase in net sales, and is projected to open another 75 stores in fiscal 2026 with expected net sales nearing $3 billion, indicating significant growth potential in the U.S. market.
- National Vision Growth Strategy: National Vision Holdings has posted 12 consecutive quarters of positive comparable store sales growth, with a 9% revenue increase and a 56% surge in adjusted operating income in fiscal 2025, successfully enhancing margins by focusing on higher-value customer segments.
- Grocery Outlet Strategic Adjustment: Despite closing 36 underperforming stores in 2026, Grocery Outlet still grew net sales by 7.3% and opened 42 new stores in 2025, demonstrating its attractiveness in a volatile supply chain environment while reallocating resources effectively.
- Market Environment Impact: Overall consumer spending has been uneven, yet retailers are adapting to consumers' more cautious spending behavior through precise product mixes and market positioning, showcasing their potential for growth even amid economic fluctuations.
See More
