Radian Group Q4 Earnings: Inigo Acquisition Drives Strategic Transformation
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy RDN?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Financial Performance: Radian Group reported a net income of $159 million or $1.15 per share for Q4, and $618 million or $4.39 per share for the full year, demonstrating robust financial growth that is expected to lay the groundwork for future capital returns.
- Strategic Significance of Inigo Acquisition: The acquisition of Inigo, funded entirely with available liquidity and excess capital, is anticipated to double annual revenues and enhance EPS, marking a transformative shift towards becoming a global multiline specialty insurer and strengthening market competitiveness.
- Shareholder Return Plans: Management expects to receive at least $600 million in dividends from Radian Guaranty in 2026, including a $140 million dividend in Q1, which will aid in repaying a $200 million draw from the credit facility while maintaining sufficient liquidity to ensure financial stability.
- Progress on Non-Core Business Divestiture: Radian is advancing its divestiture of the Mortgage Conduit, Title, and Real Estate Services businesses, with completion expected by Q3 this year, further focusing on core operations and enhancing operational efficiency.
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Analyst Views on RDN
Wall Street analysts forecast RDN stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 32.320
Low
35.00
Averages
39.60
High
45.00
Current: 32.320
Low
35.00
Averages
39.60
High
45.00
About RDN
Radian Group Inc. is a diversified mortgage and real estate services company. The Company provides mortgage insurance and other products and services to the real estate and mortgage finance industries. The Company operates through one segment, Mortgage Insurance. The Company’s Mortgage Insurance segment aggregates, manages and distributes the United States mortgage credit risk on behalf of mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors, principally through private mortgage insurance on residential first-lien mortgage loans, and also provides other credit risk management, contract underwriting and fulfillment solutions. Its Mortgage Insurance products are Primary Mortgage Insurance and Other Mortgage Insurance Products. The Primary Mortgage Insurance provides protection against mortgage defaults at a specified coverage percentage. The Other Mortgage Insurance Products include Government-sponsored enterprises (GSE) Credit Risk Transfer and Pool Mortgage Insurance.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Net Income Growth: Radian Group's net income for Q4 reached $154.84 million, translating to $1.12 per share, an increase from last year's $148.29 million and $0.98 per share, indicating sustained profitability.
- Continued Operations Performance: The net income from continuing operations was $158.80 million, or $1.15 per share, slightly down from $163.76 million and $1.08 per share a year ago, reflecting the company's stability in the market.
- Total Revenue Increase: Total revenues grew to $300.51 million from $292.67 million last year, demonstrating positive progress in revenue diversification and market expansion, enhancing future growth potential.
- Improved Net Premiums Earned: Net premiums earned rose to $237.19 million from $235.28 million last year, showcasing the company's strengthened competitiveness in the insurance sector, contributing to overall financial health.
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- Strong Financial Performance: Radian Group reported a net income of $159 million or $1.15 per share for Q4, and $618 million or $4.39 per share for the full year, demonstrating robust financial growth that is expected to lay the groundwork for future capital returns.
- Strategic Significance of Inigo Acquisition: The acquisition of Inigo, funded entirely with available liquidity and excess capital, is anticipated to double annual revenues and enhance EPS, marking a transformative shift towards becoming a global multiline specialty insurer and strengthening market competitiveness.
- Shareholder Return Plans: Management expects to receive at least $600 million in dividends from Radian Guaranty in 2026, including a $140 million dividend in Q1, which will aid in repaying a $200 million draw from the credit facility while maintaining sufficient liquidity to ensure financial stability.
- Progress on Non-Core Business Divestiture: Radian is advancing its divestiture of the Mortgage Conduit, Title, and Real Estate Services businesses, with completion expected by Q3 this year, further focusing on core operations and enhancing operational efficiency.
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- Earnings Beat: Radian Group reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.16, exceeding expectations by $0.07, which highlights the company's strong profitability and boosts investor confidence in its financial health.
- Stable Revenue: The company’s revenue of $300.51 million, down 4.9% year-over-year, met market expectations, indicating resilience in maintaining revenue levels despite challenges, showcasing its adaptability in the market.
- Acquisition Approval: Radian Group has received regulatory approvals for its acquisition of Inigo, a strategic move expected to enhance its market position and drive future growth, demonstrating the company’s proactive approach to business expansion.
- Rating Upgrade: Following the progress of the Inigo acquisition, Radian Group's rating has been upgraded, reflecting analysts' optimism about the company's future prospects, which may attract increased investor interest.
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- Net Income Performance: Radian Group reported a net income from continuing operations of $159 million for Q4 2025, translating to $1.15 per diluted share, reflecting stability and profitability despite a slight decline from $164 million in Q4 2024.
- Annual Performance Review: For the full year 2025, net income from continuing operations was $618 million, or $4.39 per diluted share, indicating resilience in a challenging market, even though it decreased from $660 million in 2024.
- Adjusted Operating Income: The adjusted pretax operating income for Q4 2025 was $204 million, down from $220 million in Q4 2024, highlighting challenges in cost control and operational efficiency while providing a basis for future strategic adjustments.
- Enhanced Capital Liquidity: As of December 31, 2025, Radian's book value per share increased to $35.29, up 13% from $31.33 on December 31, 2024, demonstrating ongoing efforts in capital management and shareholder returns.
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- Earnings Announcement: Radian Group is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 18 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.09, indicating stable profitability year-over-year.
- Revenue Decline Expected: The anticipated revenue of $300.57 million represents a 4.9% year-over-year decline, reflecting challenges in the market environment that may impact the company's future growth outlook.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Radian Group has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 38% of the time, demonstrating reliability in its earnings forecasts.
- Estimate Revision Trends: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen two upward revisions and no downward revisions, while revenue estimates experienced one upward and one downward revision, indicating fluctuating analyst confidence in the company's future performance.
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- Executive Changes: Radian Group announced that CFO and President Sumita Pandit will resign effective February 12, leading to significant shifts in the company's leadership structure that may impact financial decision-making stability.
- New Appointments: The board appointed Daniel Kobell as Senior Executive Vice President and Interim CFO, reporting to CEO Richard Thornberry, indicating a strategic adjustment in the company's financial management leadership.
- Management Background: The appointments of Kobell, aged 46, and Robert J. Quigley, aged 54, reflect the company's emphasis on internal talent, as both bring extensive financial management experience that will help maintain operational stability during the transition.
- Strategic Implications: This executive transition could influence Radian Group's strategic direction, particularly during the ongoing Inigo acquisition process, where leadership stability is crucial for the success of the transaction.
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