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RDN Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Radian Group Inc (RDN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
35.200
1 Day change
-0.13%
52 Week Range
38.840
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/17
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Radian Group Inc (RDN) is not a strong buy for a long-term beginner investor at this moment. While the company has shown modest financial growth and analysts have mixed views, the lack of significant positive catalysts, hedge fund selling, and neutral insider activity suggest a cautious approach. The technical indicators and options data do not strongly support an immediate buy decision.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is positive at 0.138, indicating a bullish trend, but it is contracting. RSI is neutral at 64.906, and moving averages are converging, showing no strong directional trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 34.076, with resistance at 34.879 and support at 33.274. Overall, technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bullish trend.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a bullish sentiment, but the overall volume and open interest are not significant enough to drive strong conclusions.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • The stock has a 70% chance of gaining 4.84% in the next week and 7.2% in the next month based on historical patterns. Financial performance in Q4 2025 showed growth in revenue, net income, and EPS.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Hedge funds are aggressively selling, with a 5387.50% increase in selling activity last quarter. Analysts have mixed ratings, with some lowering price targets. No significant news or insider activity to support a strong buy.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 1.40% YoY, net income grew by 4.42% YoY, and EPS rose by 14.43% YoY. This indicates modest but steady financial growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed views: Keefe Bruyette raised the price target to $43 and maintains an Outperform rating, while Barclays lowered the price target to $37 and maintains an Equal Weight rating. UBS also lowered its price target to $39 and keeps a Neutral rating.

Wall Street analysts forecast RDN stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RDN stock price to rise
1 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 35.250
sliders
Low
35
Averages
39.6
High
45
Current: 35.250
sliders
Low
35
Averages
39.6
High
45
Keefe Bruyette
Bose George
maintain
$42 -> $43
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
Reason
Keefe Bruyette
Bose George
Price Target
$42 -> $43
AI Analysis
2026-04-10
maintain
Reason
Keefe Bruyette analyst Bose George raised the firm's price target on Radian Group to $43 from $42 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares.
Barclays
Terry Ma
Equal Weight
downgrade
$40 -> $37
2026-04-06
Reason
Barclays
Terry Ma
Price Target
$40 -> $37
2026-04-06
downgrade
Equal Weight
Reason
Barclays analyst Terry Ma lowered the firm's price target on Radian Group to $37 from $40 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted mortgage finance targets as part of a Q1 earnings preview, saying higher rates have reset valuations lower. Despite a 40 basis point increase off the February trough for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, it is only modestly higher than at the start of the year, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays sees positive risk/rewards at current valuations for the mortgage origination-levered stocks.
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