Polestar Automotive options imply 16.8% move in share price post-earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 03 2025
0mins
Should l Buy PSNY?
Options Volume: Pre-earnings options volume for Polestar Automotive is normal, with call options outpacing put options at a ratio of 17:1.
Market Expectations: The implied volatility indicates that the market expects a price movement of approximately 16.8% after earnings results, compared to a median move of 5.4% over the last eight quarters.
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Analyst Views on PSNY
About PSNY
POLESTAR AUTOMOTIVE HOLDING UK PLC (Polestar) is a Swedish-based electric vehicle manufacturer. Company's portfolio includes Polestar 1, Polestar 2, Polestar 3, Polestar 4 and Polestar 5. Polestar products are currently available on markets across Europe, North America, China and Asia Pacific. Polestar cars are currently manufactured in two facilities in China. Polestar produces electric cars to reduce gas emmisions and develop new technologies to further minimize the carbon footprint.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Unusual Trading Activity: In the last hour before U.S. markets closed, a significant volume of Polestar stock was purchased, causing the price to surge from $18.71 to $23.38, a nearly 20% increase, but it quickly retraced, indicating market instability.
- Lack of Fundamental Support: The recent price fluctuations are not driven by the company's fundamentals, leading investors to focus on the upcoming full-year 2025 results report for future guidance.
- Future Uncertainty: With no clear news driving the volatility, Polestar shareholders may need to remain patient in the coming weeks as they await further insights from the company's performance.
See More
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- Stock Volatility: Polestar's American depositary shares plummeted by 29.2% last week, despite the absence of any news driving this decline, highlighting the extreme volatility characteristic of electric vehicle stocks.
- Unusual Trading Activity: On February 27, the stock surged from $18.71 to $23.38 in the last hour of trading, marking a nearly 20% increase, but this gain was quickly reversed, indicating fragile market sentiment.
- Fundamentals Unaffected: The recent price fluctuations are not influenced by Polestar's fundamentals, suggesting that shareholders may need to hold on until the company reports its full-year 2025 results later this month.
- Investor Caution: Despite heightened interest in Polestar, analysts have noted that the company is not included in the current list of the top 10 recommended stocks, advising investors to proceed with caution.
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- BYD's Overseas Performance: Despite Geely's strong domestic performance, BYD maintained robust overseas sales in February, exporting over 100,600 units, showcasing its ongoing appeal in international markets.
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- Capital Injection for Growth: Earlier this month, Polestar announced a $400 million equity investment from Feathertop Funding Limited, which will provide financial support for expanding manufacturing capabilities and marketing efforts, aiding the company in achieving its profitability growth targets.
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See More
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- Flagship Model Release: By 2028, Polestar plans to introduce the flagship Polestar 5, built on a lightweight aluminum platform, with deliveries expected in summer 2026, aimed at enhancing the brand's performance and luxury image.
- New Polestar 2: The original Polestar 2 will be replaced by a 'completely new' successor in early 2027, leveraging an existing base of over 190,000 cars to further solidify its market position.
- Market Expansion Expectations: Polestar anticipates low double-digit retail volume growth in 2026 and plans to expand its retail network by 30%, particularly driven by sales growth of the Polestar 4 crossover.
See More
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- Stock Price Plunge: Polestar's American depositary shares fell 29.2% over the week, highlighting extreme volatility in electric vehicle stocks, prompting investors to be cautious of market sentiment shifts.
- Unusual Trading Activity: In the last hour before U.S. markets closed, a significant volume of Polestar stock was purchased, causing the price to surge from $18.71 to $23.38, a nearly 20% increase, but it quickly retraced, indicating market instability.
- Lack of Fundamental Support: The recent price fluctuations are not driven by the company's fundamentals, leading investors to focus on the upcoming full-year 2025 results report for future guidance.
- Future Uncertainty: With no clear news driving the volatility, Polestar shareholders may need to remain patient in the coming weeks as they await further insights from the company's performance.
See More
Polestar Stock Plummets 29% Amid Volatility
- Stock Volatility: Polestar's American depositary shares plummeted by 29.2% last week, despite the absence of any news driving this decline, highlighting the extreme volatility characteristic of electric vehicle stocks.
- Unusual Trading Activity: On February 27, the stock surged from $18.71 to $23.38 in the last hour of trading, marking a nearly 20% increase, but this gain was quickly reversed, indicating fragile market sentiment.
- Fundamentals Unaffected: The recent price fluctuations are not influenced by Polestar's fundamentals, suggesting that shareholders may need to hold on until the company reports its full-year 2025 results later this month.
- Investor Caution: Despite heightened interest in Polestar, analysts have noted that the company is not included in the current list of the top 10 recommended stocks, advising investors to proceed with caution.
See More
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- Sales Leadership: In January, Geely sold 270,000 units, surpassing BYD's 210,051 units, indicating a steady increase in Geely's market share amid fierce competition in the Chinese automotive market.
- Export Surge: Geely's exports soared by 138% to 60,879 units, demonstrating the effectiveness of its international market expansion strategy and enhancing the company's competitiveness on a global scale.
- BYD's Overseas Performance: Despite Geely's strong domestic performance, BYD maintained robust overseas sales in February, exporting over 100,600 units, showcasing its ongoing appeal in international markets.
- Intensifying Market Competition: As competition between Geely and BYD heats up, the coming months will have profound implications for both companies in terms of market share and brand influence, potentially prompting increased innovation and marketing efforts from both sides.
See More
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- Significant Sales Growth: In 2025, Polestar recorded retail sales of 60,119 cars, representing a 34% increase compared to 2024, marking the company's best performance ever and highlighting strong demand and brand appeal in the EV market.
- New Model Plans: Polestar is set to launch four new vehicles over the next three years, including the Polestar 5 four-door grand tourer and the Polestar 7 compact SUV, which are expected to enhance market competitiveness and meet diverse consumer needs.
- Capital Injection for Growth: Earlier this month, Polestar announced a $400 million equity investment from Feathertop Funding Limited, which will provide financial support for expanding manufacturing capabilities and marketing efforts, aiding the company in achieving its profitability growth targets.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Following the announcement of new models, Polestar's stock surged 20% on Friday, with market sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'extremely bullish', indicating a significant increase in investor confidence regarding the company's future prospects.
See More
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- New Model Launch Plan: Polestar announced plans to introduce four new electric vehicles between 2026 and 2028, aiming to broaden its product portfolio and enhance operational performance in response to the rapidly growing EV market.
- Record Sales Performance: Despite a challenging geopolitical and economic environment, Polestar achieved its best-ever retail sales in Q4 2025, with approximately 15,608 cars sold, a 27% year-over-year increase, and total sales of about 60,119 cars for the year, reflecting a 34% growth and strong market demand.
- Funding Support and Strategic Expansion: In February, Polestar secured over $400 million in funding through a Special Purpose Vehicle, planning to increase retail channel expansion by 30% to further enhance market share and brand influence.
- Stock Performance and Analyst Outlook: Polestar's stock surged 13.03% to $19.00 in premarket trading on Wednesday, although it has decreased 49.97% over the past 12 months; technical indicators suggest potential for a rebound in the short term, while analysts maintain a neutral outlook on the upcoming financial report.
See More
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- Product Offensive Plan: Polestar is set to launch four new electric models over the next three years, targeting the core of the global EV market and driving profitable growth, showcasing its ambition in the electric vehicle sector.
- Flagship Model Release: By 2028, Polestar plans to introduce the flagship Polestar 5, built on a lightweight aluminum platform, with deliveries expected in summer 2026, aimed at enhancing the brand's performance and luxury image.
- New Polestar 2: The original Polestar 2 will be replaced by a 'completely new' successor in early 2027, leveraging an existing base of over 190,000 cars to further solidify its market position.
- Market Expansion Expectations: Polestar anticipates low double-digit retail volume growth in 2026 and plans to expand its retail network by 30%, particularly driven by sales growth of the Polestar 4 crossover.
See More
