Oil Price Drop Fuels Stock Market Rally
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 7 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy GS?
Source: CNBC
- Oil Price Impact: U.S. oil prices fell below $100 per barrel, leading the S&P 500 to rise over 1%, indicating a positive market reaction to the drop, which may encourage investors to start buying stocks.
- Nvidia Stock Surge: Ahead of CEO Jensen Huang's keynote at the GTC conference, Nvidia shares gained more than 2%, with expectations that a new inference chip will enhance competitiveness, potentially driving further stock price increases.
- Meta Layoff Plans: Meta Platforms' stock rose over 2% following reports of a potential 20% workforce reduction, which could save $5 billion to $6 billion, although this is a small fraction of its projected expenses of $162 billion to $169 billion.
- Investor Reactions: Jim Cramer believes investors have overreacted to Meta's AI spending plans, suggesting that expenditures over the coming years could ultimately yield greater cash flow and enhance the company's long-term value.
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Analyst Views on GS
Wall Street analysts forecast GS stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 782.210
Low
604.00
Averages
951.45
High
1100
Current: 782.210
Low
604.00
Averages
951.45
High
1100
About GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. is a global financial institution that delivers a range of financial services to a large and diversified client base that includes corporations, financial institutions, governments and individuals. Its segments include Global Banking & Markets, Asset & Wealth Management and Platform Solutions. The Global Banking & Markets segment offers a range of services, including financing, advisory services, risk distribution, and hedging for its institutional and corporate clients. It facilitates client transactions and makes markets in fixed income, equity, currency and commodity products. The Asset & Wealth Management segment manages assets and offers investment products across all asset classes to a diverse set of clients. It also provides investing and wealth advisory solutions. The Platform Solutions segment includes consumer platforms, such as partnerships offering credit cards and point-of-sale financing, and transaction banking and other platform businesses.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Fluor's Outlook: Fluor's business backlog stands at $25.5 billion, with projected revenue growth of 5% this year and accelerating to over 7% next year, which will restore profit growth, particularly against the backdrop of rising electricity demand driven by AI data centers.
- WM's Stability: As a waste collection company, WM's slow revenue growth is offset by enhanced pricing power amid increasing environmental regulations, and its medical waste business is expected to grow from $14 billion to $28 billion, showcasing significant market potential.
- USA Rare Earth's Production Launch: USA Rare Earth is nearing the completion of its rare earth magnet manufacturing facility in Oklahoma, with initial annual output expected at 5,000 metric tons, potentially reaching 10,000 metric tons, addressing the U.S. demand for permanent magnets with substantial market potential.
- Strategic Value of Rare Earth Resources: USA Rare Earth also owns a rare earth mine in Texas, projected to yield over 300,000 metric tons of rare earth metals, which could generate over $100 million in annual output at current prices, highlighting its long-term growth potential.
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- Fluor Performance Review: Fluor's revenue fell by 5% to $15.5 billion last year, impacting adjusted net earnings; however, the company's backlog stands at $25.5 billion, with projected revenue growth of 5% this year and over 7% next year, restoring profit growth.
- Rising Power Demand: Goldman Sachs predicts that AI technology will consume 50% more power by 2027 compared to 2024, driving Fluor's business in natural gas, infrastructure, and power production facilities, particularly in nuclear power plant construction.
- WM's Steady Growth: WM, as a waste collection company, shows strong pricing power and market competitiveness with its 105 recycling facilities and medical waste business, despite slow single-digit revenue growth amid increasing environmental regulations.
- USA Rare Earth's Potential: USA Rare Earth is nearing completion of its rare earth magnet manufacturing facility in Oklahoma, expecting initial annual output of 5,000 metric tons, potentially reaching 10,000 metric tons, entering a market projected to exceed $74 billion by 2031, with significant revenue potential from its Texas rare earth mine.
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- Oil Price Impact: U.S. oil prices fell below $100 per barrel, leading the S&P 500 to rise over 1%, indicating a positive market reaction to the drop, which may encourage investors to start buying stocks.
- Nvidia Stock Surge: Ahead of CEO Jensen Huang's keynote at the GTC conference, Nvidia shares gained more than 2%, with expectations that a new inference chip will enhance competitiveness, potentially driving further stock price increases.
- Meta Layoff Plans: Meta Platforms' stock rose over 2% following reports of a potential 20% workforce reduction, which could save $5 billion to $6 billion, although this is a small fraction of its projected expenses of $162 billion to $169 billion.
- Investor Reactions: Jim Cramer believes investors have overreacted to Meta's AI spending plans, suggesting that expenditures over the coming years could ultimately yield greater cash flow and enhance the company's long-term value.
See More
- Boeing Increase: Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust purchased 25 shares of Boeing at approximately $214.02, raising its total holdings to 560 shares and increasing portfolio weight to 3.10%, indicating confidence in the recovery of the aviation sector.
- Goldman Sachs Increase: The Trust also bought 10 shares of Goldman Sachs at about $797.42, bringing total holdings to 195 shares with a portfolio weight of around 4.05%, reflecting ongoing optimism in the financial services industry.
- Market Dynamics: As U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude fell below $100 a barrel, the market rebounded at the start of the week; despite the risk of oil prices reversing, Cramer opted to make small purchases in high-quality stocks given the oversold market conditions.
- Analyst Outlook: Boeing's CFO will speak at the Bank of America Global Industrials Conference, and if the company lowers its first-quarter free cash flow outlook while reiterating full-year guidance, it could create a 'tactical bottom' for the stock, attracting investor interest.
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- Oil Price Forecast: Analysts suggest that oil prices could rise to $200 per barrel as the Middle East crisis continues, particularly with Iran's ongoing blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, where approximately 20% of global oil and gas transit, effectively halting shipping traffic.
- Market Reaction: The Brent crude benchmark has reached $150 per barrel, with analyst Greg Newman noting that the current supply shock could lead to further price increases, as Brent crude futures have surged over 50% in the past month, hitting their highest levels since 2022.
- Economic Impact: The global economy faces serious risks, with Longview Economics' chief market strategist Chris Watling warning that if supply shortages persist, oil prices could soar to $200 or even $250, significantly damaging the global economy and necessitating rapid adjustments to investment risk positions.
- Short-term vs Mid-term Outlook: While some analysts believe the energy market was well-supplied before the conflict, UBS expects Brent crude prices to reach $90 by the end of June, while Goldman Sachs predicts an average price above $100 this month, despite potential for major price spikes in the coming weeks.
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- AI Infrastructure Investment: At the GTC conference in San Jose, Nvidia anticipates over $600 billion in AI infrastructure spending by 2026, which is expected to drive vertical integration from chips to full AI systems, further solidifying its leadership in the AI market.
- Meta Layoff Plans: Meta is planning to cut 20% of its workforce to offset substantial AI infrastructure costs, aiming to achieve savings through increased use of AI agents and assistance for human workers, thereby enhancing operational efficiency and profitability.
- Tesla Semiconductor Manufacturing: CEO Elon Musk announced the imminent launch of Tesla's in-house semiconductor manufacturing, which is expected to boost production capacity and reduce reliance on external suppliers, enhancing the company's technological autonomy.
- Market Volatility Impact: The S&P 500 fell 1.6% last week due to turmoil from the Middle East conflict, but Goldman Sachs predicts a potential rebound to 7,600 points by the end of 2026 driven by rising corporate earnings, indicating the market's underlying recovery potential.
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