Nvidia's Upcoming Earnings Create Uncertainty for More Than 700 ETFs
Nvidia's Quarterly Results: Nvidia is set to release its quarterly results on Wednesday, which could significantly impact the market, either revitalizing it or exacerbating the current pullback in November.
Influence on the Technology Sector: The results are expected to have broader implications for the technology sector and the exchange-traded fund (ETF) ecosystem, given Nvidia's status as a key player in both semiconductors and mega-cap tech.
Significant ETF Holdings: Nvidia is included in 717 funds, with over 3.5 billion shares held, indicating its substantial influence on various portfolios across Wall Street.
Top ETFs with Nvidia Allocations: The article lists the top 10 ETFs with the largest allocations to Nvidia, highlighting their significant percentage holdings, which could be affected by the company's upcoming results.
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- Strong Earnings Report: Nvidia's fiscal Q1 2027 revenue surged 85% year-over-year to $81.6 billion, with data center revenue climbing 92% to $75.2 billion, reflecting robust market demand and significant growth potential.
- Dividend and Buyback: Management raised the quarterly dividend from $0.01 to $0.25 per share and authorized an additional $80 billion in share repurchases, indicating strong confidence in future growth and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Customer Concentration Risk: The top three customers accounted for 64% of accounts receivable, up from 56% in the previous quarter, which raises concerns about potential risks if demand from these key clients fluctuates.
- Stagnation in China: Nvidia recorded no data center compute revenue from China this quarter, compared to $4.6 billion in the same period last year, highlighting the impact of international market uncertainties on the company's performance.
- Accelerating Revenue Growth: Nvidia reported a record $81.6 billion in total revenue for Q1 FY2027, marking an 85% year-over-year increase, with the data center segment alone generating $75.2 billion, reflecting a remarkable 92% growth rate, underscoring the robust sales momentum for GPUs and AI hardware.
- Promising New Platform: The upcoming Vera Rubin platform is expected to surpass the Blackwell architecture, enabling AI model training with 75% fewer GPUs and reducing inference costs by 90%, which could catalyze broader AI adoption among businesses and consumers.
- Attractive Market Valuation: Nvidia's current P/E ratio stands at 33, nearly 50% below its 10-year average of 61.7, indicating potential undervaluation; however, the stock would need to rise by 37% over the next 12 months to maintain this P/E ratio.
- Emerging Risk Factors: While Vera Rubin is poised to lower inference costs, AI companies are raising prices due to increased capital expenditures, which may blunt the platform's market impact, prompting investors to remain cautious about the uncertainties in the AI landscape.
- Massive IPO Potential: SpaceX is set to launch its IPO on June 12, potentially raising up to $75 billion, which could value the company between $1.75 trillion and $2 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history and drawing significant investor interest.
- Declining ARPU Trend: According to SpaceX's S-1 filing, the average revenue per user (ARPU) for Starlink is projected to drop from $99 in 2023 to $66 by 2026, a 33% decline, which may impact overall revenue growth for the company.
- Significant Customer Growth: Despite the declining ARPU, Starlink's customer base surged by 347%, increasing from 2.3 million in 2023 to 10.3 million currently, showcasing SpaceX's strong ability to attract new customers, with a total addressable market estimated at $1.6 trillion.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: SpaceX's connectivity segment saw a 120% increase in operating income to $4.4 billion in 2025, with adjusted EBITDA rising 86% to $7.1 billion, indicating substantial progress in operational efficiency despite the ARPU decline.
- Custom CPU Development: ByteDance is developing its own central processing units (CPUs) to meet the growing demands of its AI infrastructure, aiming to enhance internal operational efficiency by reducing reliance on external suppliers.
- Intensifying Market Competition: As AI models increasingly demand higher CPU performance, ByteDance's initiative aligns it with tech giants like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft, who are also developing custom CPUs to cut costs and optimize performance.
- Dual Architecture Strategy: ByteDance is exploring two chip architectures based on Arm and the open-source RISC-V instruction set to determine which design best suits its long-term data center needs, thereby mitigating future manufacturing risks.
- Price Pressure: With CPU prices from Intel and AMD rising by 10% to 35% in recent months, ByteDance is accelerating its in-house chip development to address challenges posed by supply shortages and escalating costs.
- Proprietary CPU Development: ByteDance is developing its own central processing units (CPUs) to support its growing AI infrastructure needs, aiming to mitigate reliance on external suppliers amid soaring chip prices and supply shortages.
- Intensifying Market Competition: As global hyperscalers like Google, Amazon, and Microsoft also develop custom CPUs, ByteDance's initiative signifies a rapid industry shift towards inference computing, which could impact its competitive position in the AI sector.
- Dual Architecture Strategy: ByteDance is pursuing two chip architecture tracks based on Arm and the open-source RISC-V instruction set architecture, allowing it to evaluate which design best suits its long-term data center requirements and maintain flexibility in technology choices.
- Supply Chain Challenges: With CPU prices from Intel and AMD rising by 10% to 35% in recent months, ByteDance is accelerating the development of in-house alternatives to reduce costs and ensure operational efficiency for future growth.
- Market Volatility: The escalation of U.S. military strikes against Iran has led to significant volatility in Asian stocks and oil prices, reflecting the market's heightened sensitivity to Middle Eastern tensions, which could destabilize investor sentiment and impact global economic recovery.
- Rising Oil Prices: U.S. military actions have driven oil prices higher, raising concerns over the safety of commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which may further increase global energy costs and affect national economies.
- Fed Officials' Insights: Federal Reserve officials have indicated that while the labor market remains strong, the energy inflation stemming from the Middle East conflict could create a











