Northland Downgrades AMD to Market Perform Ahead of Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 27 2026
0mins
Should l Buy AMD?
Source: stocktwits
- Rating Change Impact: Northland Capital downgraded AMD's stock from 'Outperform' to 'Market Perform' with a price target of $260, implying over a 25% downside from Friday's close, which led to a nearly 3% drop in shares on Monday morning, breaking its four-day winning streak.
- Increased Competitive Pressure: Analysts noted that Intel is catching up to AMD, and competition from NVIDIA through its partnership with TSMC in AI infrastructure and PCs will limit AMD's gross margin expansion while raising R&D spending, indicating intensifying market competition.
- Earnings Expectations: AMD is set to report its Q1 results on May 5, with consensus estimates for revenue at $9.88 billion and EPS at $1.28; failure to meet these expectations could further impact stock performance.
- Retail Investor Sentiment: Despite the downgrade, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains 'extremely bullish,' with users speculating that AMD's stock may dip to $300 before climbing to $400, reflecting confidence in AMD's future performance.
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Analyst Views on AMD
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to fall
33 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
8 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 341.540
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
Current: 341.540
Low
210.00
Averages
289.13
High
377.00
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is a global semiconductor company. The Company is focused on high-performance computing and artificial intelligence (AI). Its segments include Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Data Center segment includes AI accelerators, microprocessors (CPUs) for servers, graphics processing units (GPUs), accelerated processing units (APUs), data processing units (DPUs), Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), and Adaptive system-on-Chip (SoC) products for data centers. Client and Gaming segment includes CPUs, APUs, chipsets for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs, and semi-custom SoC products and development services. Embedded segment includes embedded CPUs, APUs, FPGAs, system on modules (SOMs), and Adaptive SoC products. It markets and sells its products under the AMD trademark. Its products include AMD EPYC, AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Virtex UltraScale+, among others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- MI 455 AI Accelerator Progress: Pu noted that AMD's upcoming MI 455 AI accelerator is expected to start shipping in Q3, with demand from multi-GW customers like OpenAI, Meta, and Anthropic anticipated to remain strong into 2027 and 2028.
- Competition with Nvidia: While the MI 455 has not yet shipped, there is significant anticipation regarding the upcoming MI 550's comparison to Nvidia's Rubin Ultra line, with Pu suggesting that the MI 500 remains in development for a 4-die packaging design, enhancing AMD's competitive edge.
- Potential Partnership Announcement: There may be an announcement regarding a partnership with Anthropic, as recent job listings indicate the company is seeking a research engineer with ROCm expertise, suggesting a deepening collaboration that could open new business opportunities for AMD.
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- Serverless Inference Service: The Zyphra Inference service, debuting with Zyphra Cloud, is a serverless inference service that supports frontier open-weight models such as DeepSeek V3.2, Kimi K2.6, and GLM 5.1, combining custom kernels and novel long-context inference algorithms to deliver high throughput and low latency performance.
- Expansion Capabilities: Zyphra Cloud is designed to expand into a broader integrated platform, with upcoming features including distributed post-training services, reinforcement learning, and fine-tuning, providing a unified environment for building, training, and deploying AI systems.
- Market Positioning: The launch of Zyphra Cloud signifies Zyphra's further development in the AI space, with CEO Krithik Puthalath stating that the platform will deliver the performance and efficiency required for real-world workloads, driving innovation in AI applications for enterprises.
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- Options Market Dynamics: AMD's weekly options pricing indicates a nearly 9% expected volatility following Tuesday's earnings report, reflecting market caution, particularly with aggressive upside participation at the 350, 360, and 400 strike prices.
- Trading Activity Analysis: The 350 call option saw 18,887 contracts traded, indicating strong bullish sentiment, while the 400 call had 13,769 contracts traded, suggesting significant interest in higher price levels.
- Market Expectations: According to Wedbush Securities, AMD could benefit from robust artificial intelligence-related spending, and despite a sharp stock run-up over the past year, the upcoming earnings call is expected to be crucial for future price movements.
- Risk Assessment: While bullish options are active, the put options at 300 and 340 also show high trading volumes of 13,180 and 9,193 contracts respectively, indicating market concerns about potential downside risks, especially following the earnings report.
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- Revenue Expectations: CFO Anat Ashkenazi indicated that the company will recognize a small percentage of revenue from TPU agreements in 2026, with most revenue expected next year, suggesting that TPU sales will provide a new revenue stream and enhance Alphabet's financial performance.
- Changing Competitive Landscape: While Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang believes Google's TPUs won't pose a significant threat to its GPU business, analyst Gil Luria predicts that if Google sells TPUs to other companies, it could capture around 20% of the market share, highlighting Alphabet's potential in the AI chip market.
- Technological Advantages: TPUs are often more cost-effective and energy-efficient for AI workloads, making them a preferred choice for AI developers, especially in scenarios where power resources are constrained, thereby intensifying competition for Nvidia in the market.
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- Increased Market Competition: Alphabet's decision to sell TPUs for the first time addresses the demand from AI labs and high-performance computing, potentially impacting Nvidia's market share, although Nvidia's CEO remains unconcerned.
- Revenue Expectations Rise: Alphabet anticipates recognizing a small percentage of revenue from TPU agreements in 2026, indicating an expanding market opportunity in AI infrastructure that boosts investor confidence.
- Technological Advantages: TPUs are more cost-effective and energy-efficient for AI workloads, particularly appealing to customers facing power constraints, thereby enhancing Alphabet's competitive position in the market.
- Optimistic Industry Outlook: Analysts predict that Alphabet's TPUs could capture around 20% of the market share, although this estimate may be overly optimistic, it still highlights Alphabet's potential in the AI chip market, prompting Nvidia to accelerate its technology development in response to competition.
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