Dow Falls More Than 400 Points as Fear & Greed Index Stays in 'Extreme Fear' Territory
Market Sentiment: The CNN Money Fear and Greed index indicates a slight easing in fear levels, remaining in the "Extreme Fear" zone with a reading of 23.0, compared to a previous reading of 18.6.
Stock Market Performance: U.S. stocks closed lower on Monday, with the Dow Jones dropping over 400 points, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq also experienced declines after a strong rally the previous week.
Economic Indicators: The S&P Global manufacturing PMI was revised up to 52.2 for November, but the ISM manufacturing PMI fell to 48.2, marking the lowest reading in four months and missing market expectations.
Sector Performance: Most sectors on the S&P 500 ended negatively, particularly utilities, industrials, and health care, while energy and information technology stocks showed gains amidst the overall market downturn.
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Bitcoin Market Faces Heightened Fear Sentiment
- Market Sentiment Decline: Despite stocks nearing highs, Bitcoin remains stuck around $80,000, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index consistently in the 'Fear' zone, indicating investor anxiety and caution regarding market conditions.
- Polymarket Trading Dynamics: Polymarket's 'What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?' market has drawn over $10 million in liquidity, with current pricing showing a 71% probability for a $100,000 target and a 41% probability for a $55,000 target, reflecting high uncertainty about Bitcoin's future trajectory.
- Company Risk Exposure: Strategy holds 712,647 BTC at an average purchase price of $76,037, and as Bitcoin approaches this level, questions arise about the sustainability of its capital structure, potentially putting pressure on its stock price.
- Volume Decline Impact: With the Crypto Fear & Greed Index dropping to 28, retail activity shifts from healthy 'two-way flow' to a period of 'dead chop', directly dragging on Coinbase's transaction fee income and potentially affecting quarterly revenue performance.

Bitcoin ETF Holders Face Losses as Prices Drop
- Holders' Losses: According to Bianco Research, Bitcoin ETF holders have an average purchase price of $90,200 while BTC trades at $84,000, resulting in an average loss of about $5,000 or roughly 7%, indicating market weakness and investor pressure.
- Strategy Company Performance: Strategy, the largest digital asset treasury, holds Bitcoin at an average price of $76,020, and while it has an approximate profit of $8,000 per coin, or a 12% gain, the overall market environment remains unfavorable, impacting future investment decisions.
- Key Support Level Analysis: Bianco Research highlights that the current average purchase price of Bitcoin is $84,500, with historical data showing this level as critical support; a sustained dip below this could lead to deeper drawdowns, affecting the overall bullish market structure.
- Technical Weakness Confirmation: Bitcoin is down 2.5% on the day and nearly 8% from recent highs, with technical setups indicating significant weakness as it broke below a rising wedge pattern, and current prices are below all key EMAs, suggesting a shift in market sentiment towards bearishness and potential further pressure in the short term.






