Musk's $1 billion wager, OpenAI's lavish expenditures, Swatch's tariff maneuver, and additional updates in Morning Squawk
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 15 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: CNBC
Tesla Stock Surge: Tesla shares rose 6% in premarket trading after CEO Elon Musk purchased over 2.5 million shares, valued at around $1 billion, marking his first open market buy in over five years.
Nvidia Investigation: China's market regulator is investigating Nvidia for potential anti-monopoly violations related to its 2020 acquisition of Mellanox, causing Nvidia shares to drop about 2%.
Oracle's Growth: Oracle's stock surged over 25% last week due to strong cloud growth projections driven by expected spending from OpenAI, contributing to a significant increase in market caps for several tech companies linked to AI.
Breakfast Business Trends: Convenience stores are experiencing a faster increase in breakfast traffic compared to fast-food chains, as regional chains enhance their food-service offerings amidst declining sales in other areas.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 381.260
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 381.260
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
SpaceX Files for IPO Targeting Over $1.75 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Overview: Billionaire Elon Musk's SpaceX has filed for an IPO with the U.S. SEC, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and aiming to raise up to $75 billion, potentially making it one of the largest public offerings in history if successful by June 2026.
- Tesla's Indirect Investment: Tesla has received government approval to convert its investment in Musk's xAI into a small stake in SpaceX, meaning Tesla shareholders will benefit indirectly from SpaceX's growth, with its value set to be publicly reflected in Tesla's assets post-IPO.
- Retail Investor Opportunities: SpaceX plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors, tripling the typical IPO norm, allowing Tesla's loyal retail investor base direct access from day one, enhancing their investment opportunities.
- Potential Merger Outlook: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives predicts a possible merger between Tesla and SpaceX as early as 2027, referring to this combination as the “holy grail” that could connect both disruptive tech companies within a single AI-driven ecosystem, showcasing significant strategic potential.
See More
SpaceX Files for IPO with $2 Trillion Valuation Target
- IPO Filing: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on April 1, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which would surpass both Tesla and Meta, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Merger and Valuation: The merger with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, valued at $250 billion, boosts SpaceX's overall valuation to $1.25 trillion, further solidifying its position in the tech sector.
- Revenue and Profitability: For 2025, SpaceX reported revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while its profitability remains unclear, the majority of its revenue is derived from Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%.
- Market Competition and Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, the justification for its valuation is questioned, especially when compared to rapidly growing companies like Palantir, leading investors to approach its high price-to-sales ratio of 130 with caution.
See More
SpaceX Confidentially Files for IPO Targeting $2 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Potential: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on Wednesday, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which, if successful, would surpass Saudi Aramco's $75 billion fundraising record, reflecting high market expectations for its future growth.
- Financial Overview: As of 2025, SpaceX's revenue is projected between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while GAAP profitability remains unconfirmed, its revenue heavily relies on Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%, indicating a lack of diversification in its revenue streams.
- Merger Supports IPO: In 2026, SpaceX acquired Elon Musk's AI startup xAI for a valuation of $1.25 trillion, a move that not only provides funding support for xAI but also paves the way for SpaceX's IPO, showcasing Musk's strategic vision in technology integration.
- Market Competition Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, its valuation appears less robust compared to the
See More
SpaceX Confidentially Files for IPO Targeting $2 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Filing: SpaceX confidentially filed for its IPO on Wednesday, aiming for a staggering $2 trillion valuation, which, if successful, would make it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Saudi Aramco's fundraising record.
- Financial Performance: According to Reuters, SpaceX is projected to generate between $15 billion and $16 billion in revenue for 2025, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion, although it remains unclear if the company is profitable on a GAAP basis, with most revenue stemming from Starlink.
- Market Competition: While SpaceX dominates the rocket launch market, its valuation appears weak compared to the
See More
SpaceX IPO Set to Become Largest in History
- Historic IPO: SpaceX's acquisition of xAI for $1.25 trillion sets the stage for an IPO valued at $1.75 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history, although only $40 billion to $80 billion in shares may be available for public sale.
- Market Impact Analysis: While SpaceX's IPO valuation is projected at $1.75 trillion, the actual shares available for public purchase will be significantly lower compared to Saudi Aramco's $25.6 billion IPO in 2019, potentially affecting investor expectations.
- IPO Process Overview: The IPO will involve months of planning, starting with the confidential submission of an initial prospectus to the SEC, a process expected to take about three months before entering the “Roadshow” phase to disclose financials.
- Investor Preparation Time: Investors will have ample time to assess whether to buy SpaceX shares on the IPO date, and the scale of the IPO ensures it will be a major news event even before its official launch.
See More
SpaceX Set for IPO Valued at $1.75 Trillion
- Historic IPO: SpaceX is expected to launch its IPO with a valuation of $1.75 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history, surpassing the $25.6 billion record set by Saudi Aramco in 2019, reflecting immense market confidence in the aerospace sector.
- Merger Impact: The acquisition of xAI for $1.25 trillion enhances SpaceX's market position, and the anticipated IPO is likely to attract significant investor interest, particularly from Musk's supporters and Tesla shareholders, providing a new investment avenue.
- Share Supply Expectations: Despite SpaceX's valuation reaching $1.75 trillion, only $40 billion to $80 billion in shares are expected to be available for public sale, indicating that while the IPO is massive, the actual tradable shares will be limited, potentially leading to heightened demand.
- Complex Listing Process: The IPO process for SpaceX involves submitting a preliminary prospectus to the SEC, which may take about three months, followed by a “Roadshow” that will provide investors with the first real insight into the company's financials, ensuring a smooth IPO execution.
See More
SpaceX Files for IPO Targeting Over $1.75 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Overview: Billionaire Elon Musk's SpaceX has filed for an IPO with the U.S. SEC, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and aiming to raise up to $75 billion, potentially making it one of the largest public offerings in history if successful by June 2026.
- Tesla's Indirect Investment: Tesla has received government approval to convert its investment in Musk's xAI into a small stake in SpaceX, meaning Tesla shareholders will benefit indirectly from SpaceX's growth, with its value set to be publicly reflected in Tesla's assets post-IPO.
- Retail Investor Opportunities: SpaceX plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors, tripling the typical IPO norm, allowing Tesla's loyal retail investor base direct access from day one, enhancing their investment opportunities.
- Potential Merger Outlook: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives predicts a possible merger between Tesla and SpaceX as early as 2027, referring to this combination as the “holy grail” that could connect both disruptive tech companies within a single AI-driven ecosystem, showcasing significant strategic potential.
See More
SpaceX Files for IPO with $2 Trillion Valuation Target
- IPO Filing: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on April 1, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which would surpass both Tesla and Meta, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Merger and Valuation: The merger with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, valued at $250 billion, boosts SpaceX's overall valuation to $1.25 trillion, further solidifying its position in the tech sector.
- Revenue and Profitability: For 2025, SpaceX reported revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while its profitability remains unclear, the majority of its revenue is derived from Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%.
- Market Competition and Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, the justification for its valuation is questioned, especially when compared to rapidly growing companies like Palantir, leading investors to approach its high price-to-sales ratio of 130 with caution.
See More
SpaceX Confidentially Files for IPO Targeting $2 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Potential: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on Wednesday, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which, if successful, would surpass Saudi Aramco's $75 billion fundraising record, reflecting high market expectations for its future growth.
- Financial Overview: As of 2025, SpaceX's revenue is projected between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while GAAP profitability remains unconfirmed, its revenue heavily relies on Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%, indicating a lack of diversification in its revenue streams.
- Merger Supports IPO: In 2026, SpaceX acquired Elon Musk's AI startup xAI for a valuation of $1.25 trillion, a move that not only provides funding support for xAI but also paves the way for SpaceX's IPO, showcasing Musk's strategic vision in technology integration.
- Market Competition Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, its valuation appears less robust compared to the
See More
SpaceX Confidentially Files for IPO Targeting $2 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Filing: SpaceX confidentially filed for its IPO on Wednesday, aiming for a staggering $2 trillion valuation, which, if successful, would make it the largest IPO in history, surpassing Saudi Aramco's fundraising record.
- Financial Performance: According to Reuters, SpaceX is projected to generate between $15 billion and $16 billion in revenue for 2025, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion, although it remains unclear if the company is profitable on a GAAP basis, with most revenue stemming from Starlink.
- Market Competition: While SpaceX dominates the rocket launch market, its valuation appears weak compared to the
See More
SpaceX IPO Set to Become Largest in History
- Historic IPO: SpaceX's acquisition of xAI for $1.25 trillion sets the stage for an IPO valued at $1.75 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history, although only $40 billion to $80 billion in shares may be available for public sale.
- Market Impact Analysis: While SpaceX's IPO valuation is projected at $1.75 trillion, the actual shares available for public purchase will be significantly lower compared to Saudi Aramco's $25.6 billion IPO in 2019, potentially affecting investor expectations.
- IPO Process Overview: The IPO will involve months of planning, starting with the confidential submission of an initial prospectus to the SEC, a process expected to take about three months before entering the “Roadshow” phase to disclose financials.
- Investor Preparation Time: Investors will have ample time to assess whether to buy SpaceX shares on the IPO date, and the scale of the IPO ensures it will be a major news event even before its official launch.
See More
SpaceX Set for IPO Valued at $1.75 Trillion
- Historic IPO: SpaceX is expected to launch its IPO with a valuation of $1.75 trillion, making it the largest IPO in history, surpassing the $25.6 billion record set by Saudi Aramco in 2019, reflecting immense market confidence in the aerospace sector.
- Merger Impact: The acquisition of xAI for $1.25 trillion enhances SpaceX's market position, and the anticipated IPO is likely to attract significant investor interest, particularly from Musk's supporters and Tesla shareholders, providing a new investment avenue.
- Share Supply Expectations: Despite SpaceX's valuation reaching $1.75 trillion, only $40 billion to $80 billion in shares are expected to be available for public sale, indicating that while the IPO is massive, the actual tradable shares will be limited, potentially leading to heightened demand.
- Complex Listing Process: The IPO process for SpaceX involves submitting a preliminary prospectus to the SEC, which may take about three months, followed by a “Roadshow” that will provide investors with the first real insight into the company's financials, ensuring a smooth IPO execution.
See More
