Musk's $1 billion wager, OpenAI's lavish expenditures, Swatch's tariff maneuver, and additional updates in Morning Squawk
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 15 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TSLA?
Source: CNBC
Tesla Stock Surge: Tesla shares rose 6% in premarket trading after CEO Elon Musk purchased over 2.5 million shares, valued at around $1 billion, marking his first open market buy in over five years.
Nvidia Investigation: China's market regulator is investigating Nvidia for potential anti-monopoly violations related to its 2020 acquisition of Mellanox, causing Nvidia shares to drop about 2%.
Oracle's Growth: Oracle's stock surged over 25% last week due to strong cloud growth projections driven by expected spending from OpenAI, contributing to a significant increase in market caps for several tech companies linked to AI.
Breakfast Business Trends: Convenience stores are experiencing a faster increase in breakfast traffic compared to fast-food chains, as regional chains enhance their food-service offerings amidst declining sales in other areas.
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Analyst Views on TSLA
Wall Street analysts forecast TSLA stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
11 Hold
7 Sell
Hold
Current: 381.260
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
Current: 381.260
Low
25.28
Averages
401.93
High
600.00
About TSLA
Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, sells and leases high-performance fully electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems, and offers services related to its products. Its segments include automotive, and energy generation and storage. The automotive segment includes the design, development, manufacturing, sales and leasing of high-performance fully electric vehicles, and sales of automotive regulatory credits. It also includes sales of used vehicles, non-warranty maintenance services and collisions, part sales, paid supercharging, insurance services revenue and retail merchandise sales. The energy generation and storage segment include the design, manufacture, installation, sales and leasing of solar energy generation and energy storage products and related services and sales of solar energy systems incentives. Its consumer vehicles include the Model 3, Y, S, X and Cybertruck. Its lithium-ion battery energy storage products include Powerwall and Megapack.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
SpaceX Files for IPO Targeting Over $1.75 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Overview: Billionaire Elon Musk's SpaceX has filed for an IPO with the U.S. SEC, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and aiming to raise up to $75 billion, potentially making it one of the largest public offerings in history if successful by June 2026.
- Tesla's Indirect Investment: Tesla has received government approval to convert its investment in Musk's xAI into a small stake in SpaceX, meaning Tesla shareholders will benefit indirectly from SpaceX's growth, with its value set to be publicly reflected in Tesla's assets post-IPO.
- Retail Investor Opportunities: SpaceX plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors, tripling the typical IPO norm, allowing Tesla's loyal retail investor base direct access from day one, enhancing their investment opportunities.
- Potential Merger Outlook: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives predicts a possible merger between Tesla and SpaceX as early as 2027, referring to this combination as the “holy grail” that could connect both disruptive tech companies within a single AI-driven ecosystem, showcasing significant strategic potential.
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Iran Threatens Attacks on U.S. Tech Firms Including Oracle
- Incident Overview: Oracle's building in Dubai sustained minor damage from debris due to an aerial interception, with no injuries reported; however, this incident highlights escalating tensions in the Middle East that could impact Oracle's operational safety in the region.
- Threats to Tech Companies: Iran's Revolutionary Guard has designated 18 U.S. tech firms, including Oracle, as 'legitimate targets' in retaliation for U.S. and Israeli strikes, which raises the operational risks for these companies in the Middle East.
- Rising Cybersecurity Risks: As threats against tech companies escalate, risk management expert James Henderson notes that tech assets are now viewed as integral to the conflict, suggesting future attacks may target data centers and cloud platforms, increasing security vulnerabilities in the industry.
- Historical Context: Iran previously attacked Amazon Web Services data centers in early March, causing outages in various apps and digital services in the UAE, and a repeat of such incidents could severely impact Oracle and other tech firms' operations.
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- TSMC's AI Potential: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), a global leader in chip manufacturing, holds a market cap of $1.8 trillion and is poised to benefit from broad market demand in AI chip production, particularly in smartphones and personal computers over the coming years.
- Broadcom's Custom Chip Advantage: Broadcom (AVGO) forecasts over $100 billion in AI chip revenue by 2027, successfully carving out a niche in the AI market with its custom chips designed for specific tasks, reflecting strong customer demand and market potential.
- Nebius Group's Rapid Growth: Nebius Group (NBIS) focuses on AI workloads, achieving annual recurring revenue of $1.25 billion in the recent year, with expectations to rise to $7 billion to $9 billion this year, showcasing its strong growth potential in the cloud computing sector.
- Market Environment Challenges: Despite concerns about the economy and geopolitical factors affecting the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, emerging companies like TSMC, Broadcom, and Nebius Group demonstrate robust growth potential, positioning themselves as future market leaders.
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Future Outlook for the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tech Stock Performance Review: The remarkable growth of the S&P 500 over the past few years is partly attributed to the 'Magnificent Seven' tech stocks—Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla—which have become household names due to their impressive growth.
- AI Market Concerns: Despite their strong past performance, these tech giants have recently faced stagnation or declines in stock prices amid concerns about the artificial intelligence (AI) revenue opportunities and uncertainties in the economic and geopolitical landscape, reflecting market caution regarding future growth.
- Potential Replacement Stocks: In light of the challenges facing the 'Magnificent Seven', Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Broadcom, and Nebius Group are seen as potential replacements, with TSMC playing a crucial role in AI chip manufacturing and Nebius focusing on AI workloads, indicating strong growth potential.
- Nebius Group Growth Expectations: Nebius Group's annual recurring revenue reached $1.25 billion in the recent year, with expectations to grow to between $7 billion and $9 billion in the coming year, highlighting its strong demand and growth prospects in the AI market.
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- IPO Filing: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on April 1, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which would surpass both Tesla and Meta, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Merger and Valuation: The merger with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, valued at $250 billion, boosts SpaceX's overall valuation to $1.25 trillion, further solidifying its position in the tech sector.
- Revenue and Profitability: For 2025, SpaceX reported revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while its profitability remains unclear, the majority of its revenue is derived from Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%.
- Market Competition and Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, the justification for its valuation is questioned, especially when compared to rapidly growing companies like Palantir, leading investors to approach its high price-to-sales ratio of 130 with caution.
See More
SpaceX Confidentially Files for IPO Targeting $2 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Potential: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on Wednesday, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which, if successful, would surpass Saudi Aramco's $75 billion fundraising record, reflecting high market expectations for its future growth.
- Financial Overview: As of 2025, SpaceX's revenue is projected between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while GAAP profitability remains unconfirmed, its revenue heavily relies on Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%, indicating a lack of diversification in its revenue streams.
- Merger Supports IPO: In 2026, SpaceX acquired Elon Musk's AI startup xAI for a valuation of $1.25 trillion, a move that not only provides funding support for xAI but also paves the way for SpaceX's IPO, showcasing Musk's strategic vision in technology integration.
- Market Competition Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, its valuation appears less robust compared to the
See More
SpaceX Files for IPO Targeting Over $1.75 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Overview: Billionaire Elon Musk's SpaceX has filed for an IPO with the U.S. SEC, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and aiming to raise up to $75 billion, potentially making it one of the largest public offerings in history if successful by June 2026.
- Tesla's Indirect Investment: Tesla has received government approval to convert its investment in Musk's xAI into a small stake in SpaceX, meaning Tesla shareholders will benefit indirectly from SpaceX's growth, with its value set to be publicly reflected in Tesla's assets post-IPO.
- Retail Investor Opportunities: SpaceX plans to allocate up to 30% of shares to retail investors, tripling the typical IPO norm, allowing Tesla's loyal retail investor base direct access from day one, enhancing their investment opportunities.
- Potential Merger Outlook: Wedbush analyst Dan Ives predicts a possible merger between Tesla and SpaceX as early as 2027, referring to this combination as the “holy grail” that could connect both disruptive tech companies within a single AI-driven ecosystem, showcasing significant strategic potential.
See More
Iran Threatens Attacks on U.S. Tech Firms Including Oracle
- Incident Overview: Oracle's building in Dubai sustained minor damage from debris due to an aerial interception, with no injuries reported; however, this incident highlights escalating tensions in the Middle East that could impact Oracle's operational safety in the region.
- Threats to Tech Companies: Iran's Revolutionary Guard has designated 18 U.S. tech firms, including Oracle, as 'legitimate targets' in retaliation for U.S. and Israeli strikes, which raises the operational risks for these companies in the Middle East.
- Rising Cybersecurity Risks: As threats against tech companies escalate, risk management expert James Henderson notes that tech assets are now viewed as integral to the conflict, suggesting future attacks may target data centers and cloud platforms, increasing security vulnerabilities in the industry.
- Historical Context: Iran previously attacked Amazon Web Services data centers in early March, causing outages in various apps and digital services in the UAE, and a repeat of such incidents could severely impact Oracle and other tech firms' operations.
See More
Emerging Tech Stars in the Market
- TSMC's AI Potential: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), a global leader in chip manufacturing, holds a market cap of $1.8 trillion and is poised to benefit from broad market demand in AI chip production, particularly in smartphones and personal computers over the coming years.
- Broadcom's Custom Chip Advantage: Broadcom (AVGO) forecasts over $100 billion in AI chip revenue by 2027, successfully carving out a niche in the AI market with its custom chips designed for specific tasks, reflecting strong customer demand and market potential.
- Nebius Group's Rapid Growth: Nebius Group (NBIS) focuses on AI workloads, achieving annual recurring revenue of $1.25 billion in the recent year, with expectations to rise to $7 billion to $9 billion this year, showcasing its strong growth potential in the cloud computing sector.
- Market Environment Challenges: Despite concerns about the economy and geopolitical factors affecting the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, emerging companies like TSMC, Broadcom, and Nebius Group demonstrate robust growth potential, positioning themselves as future market leaders.
See More
Future Outlook for the Magnificent Seven Tech Stocks
- Tech Stock Performance Review: The remarkable growth of the S&P 500 over the past few years is partly attributed to the 'Magnificent Seven' tech stocks—Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Tesla—which have become household names due to their impressive growth.
- AI Market Concerns: Despite their strong past performance, these tech giants have recently faced stagnation or declines in stock prices amid concerns about the artificial intelligence (AI) revenue opportunities and uncertainties in the economic and geopolitical landscape, reflecting market caution regarding future growth.
- Potential Replacement Stocks: In light of the challenges facing the 'Magnificent Seven', Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, Broadcom, and Nebius Group are seen as potential replacements, with TSMC playing a crucial role in AI chip manufacturing and Nebius focusing on AI workloads, indicating strong growth potential.
- Nebius Group Growth Expectations: Nebius Group's annual recurring revenue reached $1.25 billion in the recent year, with expectations to grow to between $7 billion and $9 billion in the coming year, highlighting its strong demand and growth prospects in the AI market.
See More
SpaceX Files for IPO with $2 Trillion Valuation Target
- IPO Filing: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on April 1, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which would surpass both Tesla and Meta, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth potential.
- Merger and Valuation: The merger with Elon Musk's AI startup xAI, valued at $250 billion, boosts SpaceX's overall valuation to $1.25 trillion, further solidifying its position in the tech sector.
- Revenue and Profitability: For 2025, SpaceX reported revenues between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while its profitability remains unclear, the majority of its revenue is derived from Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%.
- Market Competition and Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, the justification for its valuation is questioned, especially when compared to rapidly growing companies like Palantir, leading investors to approach its high price-to-sales ratio of 130 with caution.
See More
SpaceX Confidentially Files for IPO Targeting $2 Trillion Valuation
- IPO Potential: SpaceX confidentially filed for an IPO on Wednesday, aiming for a historic valuation of $2 trillion, which, if successful, would surpass Saudi Aramco's $75 billion fundraising record, reflecting high market expectations for its future growth.
- Financial Overview: As of 2025, SpaceX's revenue is projected between $15 billion and $16 billion, with an EBITDA of around $8 billion; while GAAP profitability remains unconfirmed, its revenue heavily relies on Starlink, with NASA contributing only 5%, indicating a lack of diversification in its revenue streams.
- Merger Supports IPO: In 2026, SpaceX acquired Elon Musk's AI startup xAI for a valuation of $1.25 trillion, a move that not only provides funding support for xAI but also paves the way for SpaceX's IPO, showcasing Musk's strategic vision in technology integration.
- Market Competition Risks: Despite SpaceX's dominance in the rocket launch market, its valuation appears less robust compared to the
See More
