Morgan Stanley's Bitcoin ETF Attracts $34M on First Day
Thursday's session picks up where Wednesday's ceasefire rally left off, with bitcoin(BTC-USD)trading near $71,641 and sitting roughly $360 below the $72,000 level that CoinGlass estimates would trigger $2.5B in cascading short liquidations. The derivatives coil arrives as Wall Street's institutional infrastructure build-out accelerates: Morgan Stanley's(MS)spot bitcoin ETF reported first-day results and Bitmine Immersion Technologies(BMNR)is making its debut on the NYSE main board. Stay up on the crypto news that matters with "Crypto Currents," daily from The Fly. Join us at 2 PM ET for your essential briefing on the fast-moving world of cryptocurrency on FlyCast radio.MSBT LOGS $34M IN DAY-ONE INFLOWS AS WALL STREET'S BITCOIN EMBRACE HOLDS:, making it the first such product from a major Wall Street bank and the cheapest in the market at a 0.14% expense ratio.The broader spot bitcoin ETF complex saw $124.5M leave incumbent funds simultaneously, meaning MSBT attracted fresh capital as the cohort faced net outflows.Bloomberg's April 9 newsletterframes the institutional picture more broadly, noting that Wall Street's structural embrace of bitcoin remains intact even as speculative retail enthusiasm has cooled. The newsletter's framing carries weight for equity investors tracking crypto-adjacent names: sustained institutional demand at the infrastructure layer, custody, settlement, and ETF distribution, can support revenue lines at firms like Coinbase even during periods of subdued retail activity.BITMINE UPLISTS TO NYSE MAIN BOARD AND EXPANDS BUYBACK TO $4B:Bitmine Immersion Technologies, the ether(ETH-USD)treasury company chaired by Fundstrat's Tom Lee, began trading on the NYSE main board Thursday after transferring from NYSE American.According to a company release, the company simultaneously expanded its share repurchase authorization from $1B to $4B, described as one of the ten largest buyback programs announced in 2026 per Fundstrat, while holding approximately 4.803M ether, representing roughly 3.98% of total ether supply, with total crypto and cash holdings of $11.4B. The NYSE uplisting is being closely watched as a benchmark for whether an ether treasury strategy can attract mainstream institutional capital at the same scale that Strategy'sbitcoin model has for BTC-denominated proxies.DERIVATIVES COIL TIGHTENS; HYPERLIQUID OIL VOLUME TOPS BITCOIN FOR FIRST TIME:, bitcoin futures open interest climbed 7.01% in 24 hours to $52.04B with Binance leading at $8.73B, signaling that leverage is re-accumulating rapidly in the aftermath of Wednesday's $427M short squeeze. Ether futures open interest surged 11.93% in the same window to $31.62B, creating a fragile leverage stack with an estimated $810M in long liquidations clustered below $1,952, directly relevant to spot ether ETF AUM mechanics and Coinbase's derivatives revenue line.On Hyperliquid, combined WTI and Brent crude perpetuals hit $2.45B in 24-hour volume on Thursday, surpassing bitcoin perpetuals at $2.29B on that platform for the first time, a result reflecting macro traders routing commodity exposure through on-chain perpetual DEXs on a day when oil crashed more than 16% following the U.S.-Iran ceasefire, and positioning Hyperliquid's HYPE(HYPE-USD)token as a live barometer of traditional finance crossover demand for on-chain derivatives infrastructure.BITMEX REPORTS 500%+ SURGE IN TOKENIZED COMMODITY AND EQUITY PERPETUALS:shows that BitMEX's Q1 2026 derivatives report found that tokenized commodity perpetuals surged more than 500% quarter-over-quarter while tokenized equity perpetuals grew 900% to $4.9B in weekly volume, driven by traditional finance crossover demand for on-chain exposure to conventional asset classes. The data provides a quantitative frame for the structural shift that Hyperliquid's oil volume milestone illustrates: traditional financial instruments are migrating to on-chain perpetual venues at an accelerating rate, with direct competitive implications for centralized exchange operators like Coinbase and Bullish(BLSH).BITCOIN DEPOT DISCLOSES $3.6M HACK; BITCOIN BANCORP LAUNCHES CALIFORNIA ATM ROLLOUT:Bitcoin Depot(BTM), operator of approximately 25,000 bitcoin ATMs across North America,disclosed that attackers breached its IT systems on March 23, stealing 50.9 BTC worth approximately $3.665Mby compromising digital asset settlement account credentials before being locked out, at least the company's second known security event following a 2023 user data breach affecting 58,000 customers. The disclosure arrives on the same day that Bitcoin Bancorpannounced an expansion into the space. Bitcoin Bancorp, one of only three publicly traded bitcoin ATM operators and holder of foundational bitcoin ATM patents, launched the initial Southern California deployment of its licensed ATM network as the next phase of its national expansion strategy.SOLUNA COMMISSIONS 48MW PROJECT KATI; BITGO POWERS ANDX U.S. LAUNCH:Soluna Holdings(SLNH)reported that its Project Kati 1 K1A Galaxy facility, a 48 MW bitcoin hosting and mining site, was fully commissioned ahead of schedule in March, while the company is in active hyperscaler negotiations for the AI and HPC-focused Project Kati 2, with its total development pipeline now surpassing 4.3 gigawatts.According to a press release, BitGo(BTGO)announced its OCC-regulated Crypto-as-a-Service platform now underpins the U.S. launch of AndX, an AI-native Web3 trading platform, providing custody, compliance, and settlement infrastructure with $250M insurance coverage across all 50 states.GREENLANE HOLDS 32% OF BERA SUPPLY AND AUTHORIZES $2M BUYBACK:, Greenlane Holdings(GNLN)reported holding 77.9M BERA tokens, representing approximately 32% of the circulating supply of the Berachain native asset as of April 7, with 50M tokens deployed to validators to generate staking yield, while its board simultaneously authorized a new $2M common stock buyback. Greenlane's concentrated BERA position makes it one of the most direct public-market proxies for the Berachain ecosystem, and the buyback authorization mirrors the capital return discipline shown by Empery Digital(EMPD)the prior session, contrasting with the equity issuance posture of most smaller crypto-adjacent names.BITWISE LISTS HYPERLIQUID STAKING ETP IN FRANKFURT; BLACKROCK ETF WALLETS MOVE $49M TO COINBASE:, Bitwise launched the Bitwise Hyperliquid Staking ETP under the ticker symbol 'BHYP' on Deutsche Börse Xetra in Frankfurt, offering regulated access to the HYPE token with an expected net staking yield of approximately 1% and a total expense ratio of 0.85%, marking Bitwise's seventh staking ETP; on-chain data also shows a purchase of 67,648 HYPE tokens for approximately $2.6M by large wallets flagged byLookonchainWednesday, confirming active accumulation. Separately,Arkham Intelligence data showedBlackRock'sIBIT and ETHA ETF wallets transferred 416.65 BTC and 8,513 ETH, a combined value of approximately $49M, to Coinbase Prime during Wednesday's session, confirming that Coinbase's custody and settlement operations are handling significant flow mechanics on volatile sessions and supporting the revenue case for Coinbase independent of spot trading volumes.PRICE ACTION:As of time of writing, bitcoin was trading at $71,490.96, while ether was trading at $2,190.08,.
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SpaceX's IPO Sets Record with $75 Billion Raised
- Record Fundraising: SpaceX's IPO raised an unprecedented $75 billion, which increased to $85.7 billion after underwriters exercised overallotment options, closing its first trading day with a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, marking it as the only company to debut at such a valuation.
- Strong Market Performance: As of June 18, SpaceX's market cap reached $2.5 trillion, briefly surpassing Amazon to become the fifth-most-valuable company globally, with shares hovering around $200, leaving investors eager to see how the stock performs as initial excitement wanes.
- Revenue Growth Potential: Last year, SpaceX reported $18.7 billion in revenue, a 33% increase, with projections suggesting it could double by 2026; Elon Musk anticipates at least $1 trillion in revenue by 2031, while Morgan Stanley forecasts $3.4 trillion by 2040.
- Valuation Risk Warning: Despite optimistic revenue forecasts, SpaceX's current price-to-sales ratio stands at approximately 134, indicating a high valuation risk; analysts caution that if expected growth is not realized in the coming year, the market cap could experience significant volatility, urging investors to proceed with caution.
SpaceX IPO Breaks Records with Over $2 Trillion Valuation
- Record Financing: SpaceX raised an unprecedented $75 billion in its IPO, which increased to $85.7 billion after underwriters exercised overallotment options, demonstrating strong market confidence in its growth potential and solidifying its leadership in the aerospace sector.
- Valuation Milestone: Closing its first trading day with a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, SpaceX became the only company to debut at such a valuation, reflecting high investor recognition of its long-term potential while also raising concerns about a possible valuation bubble.
- Future Growth Expectations: Projected revenues for SpaceX could reach $36 billion by 2026, and despite a current price-to-sales ratio of 134, indicating optimistic market expectations for its future performance, this also suggests potential volatility risks ahead.
- Market Competition Analysis: Compared to Facebook's debut in 2012, SpaceX is arguably a more mature business, and while it faces challenges from high valuations, its strong revenue growth and market position may offer better return opportunities for investors.
SpaceX Achieves Historic IPO Raising $75 Billion
- Record IPO: SpaceX successfully executed a historic initial public offering this month, raising $75 billion, making it the largest IPO ever, with a valuation of $2.66 trillion, reflecting strong market confidence in its growth prospects.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Last year, SpaceX generated $18.7 billion in revenue, a 33% increase, with Musk predicting annual revenue could reach $1 trillion by 2030, while Wall Street's conservative estimates are only $330 billion, indicating differing views on its growth potential.
- Growth Challenges: To meet Musk's revenue target, SpaceX must achieve a compound annual growth rate of 122% over the next five years, necessitating significant increases in rocket launches, competitiveness in the AI sector, and expansion of its Starlink satellite network.
- Market Competition: Despite SpaceX's ambitious goals, analysts suggest that Nvidia is more likely to reach $1 trillion in annual revenue by 2030, highlighting the strong demand in the AI chip market and Nvidia's dominant market position.
Musk Predicts SpaceX to Reach $1 Trillion Revenue by 2030
- Revenue Forecast: Musk predicts SpaceX will achieve $1 trillion in revenue by 2030, while Wall Street's conservative estimates range from $330 billion to $470 billion, indicating market skepticism about its growth potential.
- IPO Achievement: SpaceX successfully executed a record initial public offering (IPO) this month, raising $75 billion and achieving a valuation of $2.66 trillion, underscoring its leadership position in the aerospace industry.
- Growth Challenges: To meet Musk's ambitious revenue target, SpaceX must achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 122% over the next five years, necessitating significant improvements in rocket launches and the expansion of its Starlink network.
- Market Competition: Despite SpaceX's lofty goals, Nvidia is expected to be more likely to reach $1 trillion in revenue by 2030, highlighting the immense potential of the AI chip market and Nvidia's dominant position within it.
Market Volatility Leads to Divergent Stock Performances
- Overbought Stocks: This week, Applied Materials and Western Digital saw gains of nearly 9% and 33%, respectively, with relative strength indices (RSI) of 77 and 78 indicating overbought conditions, suggesting potential pullback risks that investors should consider.
- Rating Upgrade Impact: Citi reiterated its buy rating on Applied Materials and raised its price target to $710, implying a 15% upside from Thursday's closing price, reflecting market optimism about the stock's future performance.
- Earnings Miss Dragging Down: Accenture's stock fell nearly 25% this week, with an RSI of 23, after reporting third-quarter revenue of $18.72 billion, which was below market expectations, alongside a decline in new bookings, leading to diminished confidence in its growth prospects.
- Acquisition Financing Challenges: Fox Corporation announced its acquisition of Roku for $160 per share, totaling approximately $22 billion, and while securing a $12 billion loan, concerns over its financing strategy may impact stock performance moving forward.
Inflation Data Gains Importance After Fed Meeting
- Fed Policy Shift: New Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish signals during this week's FOMC meeting led to stock pullbacks and bond market pressure, with the 2-year Treasury yield spiking above 4.21%, indicating accelerated market expectations for an interest rate hike.
- Rising Inflation Expectations: The core PCE for May is projected to rise by 0.37%, up from 0.24% in April, putting additional pressure on the Fed's inflation forecast, which has been raised to 3.3% for 2026.
- Increased Market Risks: With core PCE potentially exceeding a monthly increase of 0.21%, the risk of tightening financial conditions rises, leading to further increases in the 2-year yield even if oil prices fall, posing potential downside risks for equities.
- Cautious Investor Sentiment: Following the SpaceX IPO, market sentiment has turned fragile, with SpaceX shares down about 4% for the second consecutive day despite gains in chip stocks, raising concerns about a potential market pullback amid upcoming large IPOs.
SpaceX's IPO Sets Record with $75 Billion Raised
- Record Fundraising: SpaceX's IPO raised an unprecedented $75 billion, which increased to $85.7 billion after underwriters exercised overallotment options, closing its first trading day with a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, marking it as the only company to debut at such a valuation.
- Strong Market Performance: As of June 18, SpaceX's market cap reached $2.5 trillion, briefly surpassing Amazon to become the fifth-most-valuable company globally, with shares hovering around $200, leaving investors eager to see how the stock performs as initial excitement wanes.
- Revenue Growth Potential: Last year, SpaceX reported $18.7 billion in revenue, a 33% increase, with projections suggesting it could double by 2026; Elon Musk anticipates at least $1 trillion in revenue by 2031, while Morgan Stanley forecasts $3.4 trillion by 2040.
- Valuation Risk Warning: Despite optimistic revenue forecasts, SpaceX's current price-to-sales ratio stands at approximately 134, indicating a high valuation risk; analysts caution that if expected growth is not realized in the coming year, the market cap could experience significant volatility, urging investors to proceed with caution.
SpaceX IPO Breaks Records with Over $2 Trillion Valuation
- Record Financing: SpaceX raised an unprecedented $75 billion in its IPO, which increased to $85.7 billion after underwriters exercised overallotment options, demonstrating strong market confidence in its growth potential and solidifying its leadership in the aerospace sector.
- Valuation Milestone: Closing its first trading day with a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, SpaceX became the only company to debut at such a valuation, reflecting high investor recognition of its long-term potential while also raising concerns about a possible valuation bubble.
- Future Growth Expectations: Projected revenues for SpaceX could reach $36 billion by 2026, and despite a current price-to-sales ratio of 134, indicating optimistic market expectations for its future performance, this also suggests potential volatility risks ahead.
- Market Competition Analysis: Compared to Facebook's debut in 2012, SpaceX is arguably a more mature business, and while it faces challenges from high valuations, its strong revenue growth and market position may offer better return opportunities for investors.
SpaceX Achieves Historic IPO Raising $75 Billion
- Record IPO: SpaceX successfully executed a historic initial public offering this month, raising $75 billion, making it the largest IPO ever, with a valuation of $2.66 trillion, reflecting strong market confidence in its growth prospects.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Last year, SpaceX generated $18.7 billion in revenue, a 33% increase, with Musk predicting annual revenue could reach $1 trillion by 2030, while Wall Street's conservative estimates are only $330 billion, indicating differing views on its growth potential.
- Growth Challenges: To meet Musk's revenue target, SpaceX must achieve a compound annual growth rate of 122% over the next five years, necessitating significant increases in rocket launches, competitiveness in the AI sector, and expansion of its Starlink satellite network.
- Market Competition: Despite SpaceX's ambitious goals, analysts suggest that Nvidia is more likely to reach $1 trillion in annual revenue by 2030, highlighting the strong demand in the AI chip market and Nvidia's dominant market position.
Musk Predicts SpaceX to Reach $1 Trillion Revenue by 2030
- Revenue Forecast: Musk predicts SpaceX will achieve $1 trillion in revenue by 2030, while Wall Street's conservative estimates range from $330 billion to $470 billion, indicating market skepticism about its growth potential.
- IPO Achievement: SpaceX successfully executed a record initial public offering (IPO) this month, raising $75 billion and achieving a valuation of $2.66 trillion, underscoring its leadership position in the aerospace industry.
- Growth Challenges: To meet Musk's ambitious revenue target, SpaceX must achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 122% over the next five years, necessitating significant improvements in rocket launches and the expansion of its Starlink network.
- Market Competition: Despite SpaceX's lofty goals, Nvidia is expected to be more likely to reach $1 trillion in revenue by 2030, highlighting the immense potential of the AI chip market and Nvidia's dominant position within it.
Market Volatility Leads to Divergent Stock Performances
- Overbought Stocks: This week, Applied Materials and Western Digital saw gains of nearly 9% and 33%, respectively, with relative strength indices (RSI) of 77 and 78 indicating overbought conditions, suggesting potential pullback risks that investors should consider.
- Rating Upgrade Impact: Citi reiterated its buy rating on Applied Materials and raised its price target to $710, implying a 15% upside from Thursday's closing price, reflecting market optimism about the stock's future performance.
- Earnings Miss Dragging Down: Accenture's stock fell nearly 25% this week, with an RSI of 23, after reporting third-quarter revenue of $18.72 billion, which was below market expectations, alongside a decline in new bookings, leading to diminished confidence in its growth prospects.
- Acquisition Financing Challenges: Fox Corporation announced its acquisition of Roku for $160 per share, totaling approximately $22 billion, and while securing a $12 billion loan, concerns over its financing strategy may impact stock performance moving forward.
Inflation Data Gains Importance After Fed Meeting
- Fed Policy Shift: New Chairman Kevin Warsh's hawkish signals during this week's FOMC meeting led to stock pullbacks and bond market pressure, with the 2-year Treasury yield spiking above 4.21%, indicating accelerated market expectations for an interest rate hike.
- Rising Inflation Expectations: The core PCE for May is projected to rise by 0.37%, up from 0.24% in April, putting additional pressure on the Fed's inflation forecast, which has been raised to 3.3% for 2026.
- Increased Market Risks: With core PCE potentially exceeding a monthly increase of 0.21%, the risk of tightening financial conditions rises, leading to further increases in the 2-year yield even if oil prices fall, posing potential downside risks for equities.
- Cautious Investor Sentiment: Following the SpaceX IPO, market sentiment has turned fragile, with SpaceX shares down about 4% for the second consecutive day despite gains in chip stocks, raising concerns about a potential market pullback amid upcoming large IPOs.
