Morgan Stanley Cautions About Increasing Risks in Software Lending
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 10 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CRWV?
Source: Barron's
S&P Software Index Decline: The S&P Software Index has experienced a significant decline of 22% this year due to the impact of AI.
Software Loan Price Stability: Despite the drop in the software index, the price of software loans has only decreased by approximately 3%.
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Analyst Views on CRWV
Wall Street analysts forecast CRWV stock price to rise
25 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
13 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 117.430
Low
68.00
Averages
123.23
High
180.00
Current: 117.430
Low
68.00
Averages
123.23
High
180.00
About CRWV
CoreWeave, Inc. is a cloud infrastructure technology company. The Company offers the CoreWeave Cloud Platform, which consists of software and cloud services that deliver the automation and efficiency needed to manage complex artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Its CoreWeave Cloud Platform is an integrated solution that is purpose-built for running AI workloads such as model training and inference. Its solutions include infrastructure services, managed software services, and application software services. Its Infrastructure Services provide its customers with access to advanced graphics processing unit (GPU) and central processing unit (CPU) compute, highly performant networking, and storage. Its Managed Software Services include CKS, a flexible virtual private cloud and a bare metal service that runs kubernetes directly on high-performance servers. Its Application Software Services build on top of its infrastructure and managed software services, integrating additional tools.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Growth Potential: Nebius reported an astonishing annualized growth rate of 501% in its latest quarter, with projections of 523% growth in 2025 and 206% in 2026, indicating revenue could soar from $530 million to $10.1 billion, reflecting strong demand and future growth potential in AI infrastructure.
- Business Model Differences: Nebius offers a full-stack computing solution that meets clients' needs for training and running AI models, while CoreWeave focuses on providing versatile GPU computing power; although both have their strengths, Nebius appears more comprehensive in addressing market demands.
- Valuation Comparison: Despite Nebius's higher valuation, its massive growth potential is evident, while CoreWeave attracts investors with a lower valuation, expecting revenue to reach $23.5 billion by 2026, showcasing its competitiveness in the market.
- Investment Dilemma: While Nebius has the edge in growth speed, CoreWeave's scale and stability are also noteworthy, leading investors to choose based on personal preference, with both companies likely to deliver strong growth in the coming years.
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- Massive Investment: Meta Platforms has signed a $21 billion deal with CoreWeave and up to $27 billion with Nebius, indicating a substantial commitment to AI infrastructure aimed at ensuring ongoing growth in AI training and inference capabilities.
- Long-Term Contract Benefits: Both Nebius and CoreWeave are securing long-term contracts with major AI companies like Meta, guaranteeing payment regardless of usage, which allows them to obtain capital at relatively low interest rates, enhancing their financial stability.
- Significant Revenue Growth: CoreWeave's sales surged 168% last year to $5.1 billion, while Nebius grew 479% to $530 million, demonstrating strong execution capabilities amid skyrocketing demand for AI cloud capacity.
- Profitability Challenges: Despite rapid growth, both companies are currently loss-making, with Nebius losing $447 million last year and CoreWeave $1.2 billion, prompting investors to closely monitor the sustainability of their capital expenditure returns.
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- Industry Leadership: Fluor boasts over 100 years of experience in data center construction and was named the top construction company by Data Centre Magazine in 2025, highlighting its leadership in global data center megaprojects.
- Major Project Collaboration: Fluor signed an agreement with TeraWulf to build a 480-megawatt data center, with project estimates ranging from $3 billion to $4 billion, further solidifying its role in AI infrastructure development.
- Revenue Growth Potential: The data center business is part of Fluor's urban solutions segment, which accounted for over 59% of the company's revenue in 2025, indicating significant growth opportunities recognized by management.
- Market Investment Trends: Research indicates that global spending on data centers reached $1 trillion last year, projected to rise to $4 trillion by 2030, positioning Fluor to benefit as a key player in infrastructure development.
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- Market Growth Potential: Global data center spending is projected to reach $4 trillion by 2030, indicating robust market demand, and Fluor, as an industry leader, is actively engaging in this growth trend to enhance its market share.
- Major Project Collaboration: Fluor has signed an agreement with TeraWulf to build a 480-megawatt data center, with project estimates ranging from $3 billion to $4 billion, which not only strengthens Fluor's influence in the AI infrastructure sector but also lays the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Financial Performance Analysis: Despite facing a net loss of $51 million in 2025, Fluor's $25.5 billion backlog indicates strong future profitability potential, and management's focus on data center projects further boosts investor confidence.
- Industry Competitive Landscape: Fluor was named the top data center construction company in 2025, showcasing its expertise in sophisticated engineering and construction solutions, and despite competition from other tech firms, Fluor remains a focal point for investors.
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- Alphabet Investment Opportunity: Investing about $4,000 to buy 12 shares of Alphabet (GOOGL) positions investors in a leading AI company, with projected 2025 revenues of $403 billion reflecting a 15% annual growth rate and a net income of $132 billion, which is a 32% increase from last year, indicating strong market potential.
- AMD Growth Potential: Allocating approximately $4,100 to purchase 16 shares of Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) allows investors to tap into a company expected to generate $35 billion in revenue by 2025, a 34% increase, with net income rising to $4.3 billion, showcasing its competitive edge in the AI chip market and diversified business model.
- CoreWeave Risks and Opportunities: Investing $1,900 in CoreWeave (CRWV) presents a speculative opportunity, as the company faces $21.4 billion in debt but has a backlog of $66.8 billion, with analysts forecasting a 142% revenue growth in 2026, highlighting its potential in the AI cloud services market despite financial risks.
- Portfolio Allocation Strategy: The recommended investment strategy involves allocating $10,000 across three AI stocks, with 40% in a large established company (Alphabet), 40% in a rapidly growing company (AMD), and 20% in a promising speculative stock (CoreWeave), aiming to balance risk and return effectively.
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