Mondelez International Rated as Top Low-Risk Investment
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MDLZ?
Source: Yahoo Finance
- Rating Upgrade: On April 13, BTIG initiated coverage of Mondelez International (NASDAQ:MDLZ) with a Buy rating and a $70 price target, indicating strong market confidence in its future performance, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Valuation Justification: BTIG's valuation suggests an enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratio of approximately 15x, consistent with its historical average, indicating that the stock is reasonably priced despite its defensive characteristics, which helps stabilize investor confidence.
- Growth Potential: Mondelez's position in high-demand snack categories in emerging economies provides a long-term growth engine, with analysts anticipating higher earnings in 2027 due to lower cocoa prices, further enhancing the company's low-risk investment profile.
- Cash Flow Improvement: With improved margins and working capital efficiencies, free cash flow is expected to increase, potentially allowing the company to engage in more share repurchases or strategic acquisitions, thereby strengthening its competitive position in the market.
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Analyst Views on MDLZ
Wall Street analysts forecast MDLZ stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
5 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 61.310
Low
62.00
Averages
66.82
High
84.00
Current: 61.310
Low
62.00
Averages
66.82
High
84.00
About MDLZ
Mondelez International, Inc. is a snack company. The Company’s core business is making and selling chocolate, biscuits and baked snacks. The Company also has additional businesses in adjacent, locally relevant categories including gum and candy, cheese and grocery and powdered beverages. Its portfolio includes global and local brands such as Oreo, Ritz, LU, Clif Bar and Tate’s Bake Shop biscuits and baked snacks, as well as Cadbury Dairy Milk, Milka and Toblerone chocolate. The Company’s segments include Latin America, AMEA, Europe and North America. It sells its products in over 150 countries and has operations in approximately 80 countries, including 147 principal manufacturing and processing facilities across 46 countries. It sells its products to supermarket chains, wholesalers, supercenters, club stores, mass merchandisers, distributors, convenience stores, gasoline stations, drug stores, value stores and other retail food outlets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Consumer Awareness Rise: Social media influencers are urging consumers to read labels, leading brands like Dabur and Mondelez to reduce sugar content; Dabur has cut sugar by 21% in its juices by 2023 and aims for an additional 20% reduction, highlighting the strong demand for healthier products.
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- Mondelez's Growth Potential: Mondelez International (MDLZ) has risen 14% year-to-date with a dividend yield of approximately 3.3%, triple that of the S&P 500, and while facing low consumer confidence, it is projected to generate free cash flow equivalent to 13% of sales, supporting future dividend growth.
- Campbell's Risks and Opportunities: Campbell's (CPB) stock has fallen over 25% this year, yet its 7.5% dividend yield and 51 consecutive years of dividend payments make it appealing for risk-tolerant investors, although its high payout ratio of 85.3% raises concerns about future dividend sustainability.
See More
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- Dividend Growth: Domino's Pizza raised its dividend by 15% in February, marking its 14th consecutive year of increases, despite a 19% decline in stock price due to disappointing Q1 results, indicating stability in its dividend payments.
- Market Performance: Mondelez International has shown strong performance in 2026 with a 14% stock price increase and a 3.3% dividend yield, maintaining a competitive edge in the consumer staples sector, although it faces challenges from low consumer confidence.
- Investment Opportunity: Campbell Soup Company's stock has dropped over 25%, yet its current 7.5% dividend yield appeals to risk-tolerant value investors, as the company leverages technology to adapt to market changes, potentially laying the groundwork for future growth.
- Long-Term Outlook: Experts predict Mondelez will generate free cash flow equivalent to 13% of sales, supporting high single-digit dividend growth over the next decade, despite uncertainties in the short-term market environment.
See More
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- Price Range Analysis: The XLP ETF's 52-week low is $75.16 per share, with a high of $90.14, and a recent trading price of $83.67, indicating relative stability in the ETF that may attract investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the current share price to the 200-day moving average can provide valuable technical insights for investors, aiding in better market trend assessment and timing of investments.
- ETF Unit Trading Mechanism: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) trade like stocks, where investors buy and sell 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the ETF's liquidity and market performance.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs helps identify those experiencing significant inflows or outflows, which can affect the underlying stocks held within the ETFs and influence overall market dynamics.
See More
The Importance of Market Capitalization for Investors
- Market Capitalization Comparison: Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ) has a market cap of $78.78 billion compared to CRH plc (CRH) at $77.14 billion, illustrating their relative value in the market and aiding investors in making more informed decisions.
- Investor Misconceptions: Many beginners mistakenly believe that a higher stock price indicates greater value; however, market capitalization provides a more accurate comparison of company worth, thus enhancing the effectiveness of investment decisions.
- Size Impact: Market capitalization determines a company's tier among peers, directly influencing which mutual funds and ETFs are willing to hold the stock, particularly as large-cap funds tend to favor companies valued over $10 billion.
- Market Performance: At Monday's close, MDLZ was down about 0.3% while CRH fell approximately 4.5%, reflecting differing investor sentiment and performance between the two companies, further emphasizing the significance of market capitalization in investment analysis.
See More
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- Brand Ambassador: LUNA Bar has announced actress Jessica Alba as its first brand ambassador, deepening the emotional connection with consumers and potentially enhancing brand awareness and market influence.
- Campaign Launch: The newly launched 'Easy to Love' creative campaign aims to attract more consumer attention, leveraging celebrity influence to significantly boost product sales and enhance brand loyalty.
- Product Innovation: Accompanying the campaign is the first product innovation in years, with LUNA Bar planning to introduce new flavors to meet the growing consumer demand for healthy snacks, thereby strengthening its market competitiveness.
- Market Strategy: By collaborating with Jessica Alba, LUNA Bar not only elevates its brand image but also expands its target consumer base through celebrity influence, which is expected to drive further growth in the healthy snack market.
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