MDLZ Should I Buy
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Mondelez International Inc (MDLZ) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. The stock's technical indicators suggest it is overbought, and recent financial performance shows significant declines in net income, EPS, and gross margin. Additionally, Congress trading data reveals a cautious sentiment with more selling activity. While analysts maintain mostly positive ratings, near-term headwinds and cautious guidance for 2026 make it prudent to hold off on investing until clearer growth trends emerge.
The MACD histogram is positive at 0.248, indicating bullish momentum. However, the RSI is at 83.217, signaling the stock is overbought. Moving averages are converging, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation. Key resistance levels are at 62.01 and 63.323, while support levels are at 59.884 and 57.758.
The company has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share, reflecting shareholder returns. Analysts have raised price targets slightly, with some firms maintaining a Buy or Overweight rating, citing potential long-term growth and relief from falling cocoa prices.
Technical indicators suggest the stock is overbought, and historical patterns indicate a high probability of short-term declines.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 9.29% YoY to $10.496 billion. However, net income dropped by 61.89% YoY to $665 million, EPS fell by 60.77% YoY to $0.51, and gross margin declined by 27.22% YoY to 27.83%. These results indicate significant profitability challenges despite revenue growth.
Analysts have mixed views. Most firms maintain Buy or Overweight ratings, with price targets ranging from $61 to $68. However, they highlight near-term challenges, including cautious guidance for 2026, EU disruptions, and declining organic growth. Some analysts expect improvement in the second half of 2026, but the outlook remains uncertain in the short term.
