MDLZ Price Prediction Next Week
Technical Analysis: MDLZ shows strong bullish momentum with RSI-14 at 73.99 indicating overbought conditions. The stock is trading above all major moving averages (5,10,20,60,200,250 SMAs), suggesting a robust uptrend. The MACD (1.06) and positive MACD histogram (0.69) confirm bullish momentum.
Price Action & Volume Analysis:
- Current price: $64.61 (as of Feb 21, 2025)
- Recent trading range: $61.76 - $64.85
- Volume has increased significantly to 16.29M shares, showing strong institutional interest
- Stock closed +4.02% higher in regular trading session
News Impact:
- Recent analyst actions have been mixed:
- DZ Bank downgraded to Hold with $57 target
- RBC Capital lowered target to $69 but maintains Outperform rating
- Primary concern is unprecedented cocoa cost inflation impacting margins
Next Week Price Projection: Based on technical indicators and Fibonacci levels:
- Support levels: $61.12 (pivot), $58.31 (S1)
- Resistance levels: $63.93 (R1), $65.66 (R2)
Target price range for next week:
- Bullish scenario (60% probability): $65.50-$66.50
- Bearish scenario (40% probability): $62.50-$63.50
Trading Recommendation: SELL
- Current overbought conditions (RSI>70)
- Multiple analyst downgrades citing cocoa cost pressures
- Company guidance indicates 10% EPS decline for 2025
- Recommended to take profits at current levels and wait for pullback to $61-62 range for new entry
The stock is likely to face resistance around $65.66 (Fibonacci R2) next week. While long-term fundamentals remain solid, short-term headwinds from cocoa prices and overbought technical conditions suggest limited upside potential.
MDLZ Similar Chart Price Prediction
The price of MDLZ is predicted to go up -7.01%, based on the high correlation periods with STRM. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.05%.
MDLZ
STRM
Down: -7.01%Similarity: 97.05%
MDLZ Revenue Forecast
MDLZ EPS Forecast
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MDLZ VS S&P500
Mondelez's strategic shift to empower in-market leaders and fuel investments in its local jewels (which had historically been starved in favor of its global brands) stands to incite growth in emerging markets for some time.
We posit the firm is laser-focused on removing inefficiencies from its operations and will likely maintain an eye toward shedding noncore stock-keeping units to reduce complexity.
Management has emphatically suggested it won't sacrifice profit gains merely to inflate its near-term sales profile, which we view as prudent.
MDLZ Analyst's Forecast
Michael Lavery
Piper Sandler
Hold
2025-02-05
Price Target
$63 → $56
Downside
-2.49%
Piper Sandler analyst Michael Lavery downgraded Mondelez to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $63, down from $70. The firm believes recently elevated cocoa costs will last longer than initially anticipated, adding incremental pressure on Mondelez's earnings, especially in 2026. Piper's updated estimates for 2026 still reflect moderation in futures costs that has yet to materialize. The analyst cites incremental uncertainty on Mondelez's outlook for the downgrade.
Michael Lavery
Piper Sandler
Buy → Hold
2025-01-31
Price Target
$70 → $63
Upside
+8.64%
Matthew Smith
Stifel
Strong Buy
2025-01-24
Price Target
$82 → $70
Upside
+21.91%
