Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's the analysis for MDLZ's price prediction for next week:
Technical Analysis
The stock is currently trading at $57.42, showing signs of technical weakness with RSI at 40.44, indicating a bearish momentum. The stock is trading below both its 20-day moving average ($58.19) and 200-day moving average ($67.15), suggesting a downward trend.
News Impact Recent significant developments affecting MDLZ:
Jefferies downgraded MDLZ from Buy to Hold due to cocoa supply constraints, particularly impacting West African production. The severe weather patterns have destroyed up to 25% of cocoa trees in key regions.
Cocoa futures prices remain elevated, with potential risks to MDLZ's 2025-2026 earnings projections. Analysts now expect prices could reach $7,400 per ton, significantly higher than previous estimates of $5,000 per ton.
Multiple price target reductions:
Price Prediction for Next Week Based on Fibonacci levels:
Expected price movement: The stock is likely to trade between $56.19 and $58.31, with a bearish bias due to:
Trading Recommendation: SELL
The recommendation is based on the combination of negative technical indicators, fundamental headwinds from cocoa prices, and recent analyst downgrades suggesting continued pressure on the stock price in the near term.
The price of MDLZ is predicted to go up 20.14%, based on the high correlation periods with CENT. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 97.16%.
MDLZ
CENT
Mondelez's strategic shift to empower in-market leaders and fuel investments in its local jewels (which had historically been starved in favor of its global brands) stands to incite growth in emerging markets for some time.
We posit the firm is laser-focused on removing inefficiencies from its operations and will likely maintain an eye toward shedding noncore stock-keeping units to reduce complexity.
Management has emphatically suggested it won't sacrifice profit gains merely to inflate its near-term sales profile, which we view as prudent.
Stifel
Price Target
$82 → $70
Upside
+21.91%
Jefferies
Price Target
$75 → $62
Upside
+7.64%
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$84 → $70
Upside
+20.69%