The chart below shows how MDLZ performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, MDLZ sees a -2.60% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.44% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.34%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Organic Revenue Growth: 1. Strong Revenue Growth: Mondelez reported organic net revenue growth of 5.4% in Q3 2024, driven by strong pricing execution and positive volume/mix growth across both developed and emerging markets.
EPS Growth Surge: 2. Significant EPS Increase: Adjusted EPS grew by 28.6% in Q3 2024, reflecting strong operational performance and effective cost management strategies.
Strong Cash Generation: 3. Robust Free Cash Flow: The company generated $2.5 billion in free cash flow year-to-date, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities and financial health.
Market Expansion Strategy: 4. Successful Market Expansion: Mondelez expanded its presence in the fast-growing cakes and pastries category by acquiring a majority stake in Evirth, enhancing its growth potential in China.
European Revenue Growth: 5. Strong Performance in Developed Markets: Revenue in Europe grew by 8.1% in Q3 2024, indicating a recovery in consumer demand and effective pricing strategies post-disruption.
Negative
Emerging Markets Volume Decline: 1. Volume Decline in Emerging Markets: Total revenue for emerging markets grew only 4.9% with a volume/mix decline of 1%, primarily due to Western brand boycotts in EMEA and lower volumes in Mexico.
Cocoa Cost Impact: 2. Cocoa Cost Headwinds: The company anticipates significant pressure on profit margins in Q4 due to cocoa costs, which are expected to be at peak levels, impacting overall profitability.
Latin America Operating Income Decline: 3. Weak Performance in Latin America: Latin America experienced a growth decline of 4.8% in operating income, primarily driven by lower volumes in Argentina and Mexico, with pricing capped at 26% in Argentina compared to over 18 points of growth in the previous year.
EPS Growth Concerns: 4. EPS Growth Challenges for 2025: The company indicated it is tough to see a path to earnings per share (EPS) growth in 2025 unless cocoa prices decline significantly or elasticities improve, suggesting potential stagnation in profitability.
Share Dilution Impact: 5. Dilution from JDE Peet's Shares: The sale of JDE Peet's shares is expected to result in a modest dilution in Q4, contributing to a full-year headwind of $0.08, which could further impact EPS growth projections.
Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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