Micron Technology's Earnings Preview: Revenue Expected to Double
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 08 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MU?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Revenue Surge Expected: Micron Technology is projected to report a record revenue of $18.7 billion on March 18, reflecting a staggering 132% year-over-year increase, indicating robust demand in the high-bandwidth memory market for data centers.
- Earnings Growth Acceleration: The company's earnings per share are expected to skyrocket by 480% to $8.19, showcasing significant improvement in profitability, which could further drive stock price increases following a 175% growth in the previous quarter.
- Strong Market Demand: Micron's high-bandwidth memory solutions are critical in AI hardware, with the market anticipated to reach $100 billion by 2028, growing at 40% annually, providing substantial growth opportunities for Micron amid surging GPU demand.
- Production Capacity Expansion: Micron plans to launch its HBM4E solution this year, offering 60% more capacity than HBM3E while consuming 20% less energy, positioning the company advantageously, especially in supplying Nvidia's next-generation chips.
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Analyst Views on MU
Wall Street analysts forecast MU stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
24 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 465.660
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
Current: 465.660
Low
235.00
Averages
336.12
High
500.00
About MU
Micron Technology, Inc. provides memory and storage solutions. The Company delivers a portfolio of high-performance dynamic random-access memory (DRAM), NAND, and NOR memory and storage products through its Micron and Crucial brands. The Company's products enable advancing in artificial intelligence (AI) and compute-intensive applications. Its segments include Cloud Memory Business Unit (CMBU), Core Data Center Business Unit (CDBU), Mobile and Client Business Unit (MCBU) and Automotive and Embedded Business Unit (AEBU). CMBU is focused on memory solutions for large hyperscale cloud customers, and high bandwidth memory (HBM) for all data center customers. CDBU is focused on memory solutions for mid-tier cloud, enterprise, and OEM data center customers and storage solutions for all data center customers. MCBU is focused on memory and storage solutions for mobile and client segments. AEBU is focused on memory and storage solutions for the automotive, industrial, and consumer segments.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Micron Technology's Resilience and Positive Outlook Amid AI Market Dynamics
- Strong Financial Performance: Micron Technology reported $13.6 billion in revenue for Q1 FY2026, a 57% year-over-year increase, and $23.9 billion for Q2, a staggering 196% increase, exceeding the $18.7 billion guidance, indicating robust demand in the AI hardware market.
- Future Revenue Expectations: The company anticipates $33.5 billion in revenue for Q3 FY2026, more than tripling the revenue from Q3 FY2025, reflecting its sustained growth potential in the memory market.
- Expansion Investment Plans: Micron is investing $100 billion to build the largest semiconductor factory in upstate New York, aimed at addressing memory shortages and driving long-term business growth over the coming years.
- Market Competitive Advantage: Despite Alphabet's new algorithm slightly alleviating memory shortages, Micron's market share and strong 41.5% net profit margin maintain its competitive edge, with a PEG ratio of 0.39 indicating that its stock remains attractive.
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- Memory Shortage Theme: The Roundhill Memory ETF aims to capitalize on the memory shortage investment opportunity, having attracted $245 million in assets under management since its April 2 debut, indicating strong market demand and investor interest.
- High Market Concentration: This ETF holds only nine stocks, with SK Hynix, Micron Technology, and Samsung Electronics comprising 73% of its portfolio, highlighting a significant concentration that may increase investment risk.
- Investor Access Convenience: The Roundhill ETF provides an easy entry point for investors looking to participate in the memory trade without picking individual stocks, addressing the lack of direct investment options for SK Hynix and Samsung in traditional semiconductor ETFs.
- Fee Structure Consideration: With an annual fee of 0.65%, this ETF is more expensive than many low-cost ETFs that investors are accustomed to, prompting careful evaluation of its long-term performance against its costs.
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- ASML Earnings Impact: The decline in Micron's stock is closely tied to ASML's quarterly results, as ASML, the leading supplier of EUV and DUV equipment, reported earnings that fell short of investor expectations, raising doubts about Micron's outlook.
- Overreaction in Market: Although ASML reported a Q1 profit of €7.15 per share, exceeding the analyst estimate of €6.61, the market's reaction to its guidance may be overly pessimistic, especially given ASML's raised full-year revenue target to between €36 billion and €40 billion.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: Micron's high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips rely on ASML's EUV machines, and while ASML's outlook is significant for Micron, concerns about export restrictions could further pressure Micron's valuation.
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- Micron Share Decline: Despite a strong overall market, Micron's stock fell 3.5% on Wednesday, indicating valuation pressure, particularly following ASML's quarterly results that raised investor concerns about future expectations.
- ASML Earnings Impact: ASML reported a Q1 profit of €7.15 per share and revenue of $8.77 billion, surpassing analyst expectations; however, concerns over export restrictions to China dampened market reactions, putting pressure on Micron's stock.
- Future Concerns: Although ASML raised its 2026 sales forecast, Micron's valuation remains contingent on market confidence in its future growth, and current stock fluctuations may reflect investor unease about the semiconductor industry's overall outlook.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Following ASML's earnings release, Micron's stock briefly dropped 5.7%, highlighting a cautious market attitude towards its future performance, as the broader tech sector enjoyed gains that Micron failed to capitalize on.
See More
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- Caterpillar Acquisition News: Caterpillar's stock dropped approximately 5% following reports of its acquisition of Monarch Tractor, a self-driving electric tractor company, which, while pressuring short-term stock performance, may enhance its competitive edge in the automated agricultural equipment market.
- Nike Insider Transactions: Nike shares advanced over 3% after CEO Elliott Hill and director Tim Cook disclosed purchases of over 23,000 and 25,000 shares, respectively, totaling around $2.1 million, indicating strong executive confidence in the company's future and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- DoorDash's Technological Outlook: DoorDash shares surged 8% after Barclays analysts highlighted its leadership in autonomous food delivery technology, which is expected to further drive market share growth and strengthen its competitive position in the industry.
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- Market Performance: The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.36%, reaching a two-month high, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.63%, marking a 2.5-month high, reflecting investor optimism surrounding potential peace talks in the Middle East.
- Economic Data: The April Empire Manufacturing Survey reported a rise of 11.2 in the general business conditions index to 11.0, surpassing expectations, indicating a robust manufacturing recovery; however, the April NAHB housing market index fell to 34, signaling weakness in the housing sector that could dampen investor confidence.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: WTI crude oil prices increased by over 1% due to the U.S. naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, which could exacerbate global oil and fuel shortages, impacting profitability in related sectors.
- Earnings Season: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to grow by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the technology sector, growth is only expected to be around 3%, indicating a slowdown in overall earnings growth that may affect market sentiment.
See More
Micron Technology's Resilience and Positive Outlook Amid AI Market Dynamics
- Strong Financial Performance: Micron Technology reported $13.6 billion in revenue for Q1 FY2026, a 57% year-over-year increase, and $23.9 billion for Q2, a staggering 196% increase, exceeding the $18.7 billion guidance, indicating robust demand in the AI hardware market.
- Future Revenue Expectations: The company anticipates $33.5 billion in revenue for Q3 FY2026, more than tripling the revenue from Q3 FY2025, reflecting its sustained growth potential in the memory market.
- Expansion Investment Plans: Micron is investing $100 billion to build the largest semiconductor factory in upstate New York, aimed at addressing memory shortages and driving long-term business growth over the coming years.
- Market Competitive Advantage: Despite Alphabet's new algorithm slightly alleviating memory shortages, Micron's market share and strong 41.5% net profit margin maintain its competitive edge, with a PEG ratio of 0.39 indicating that its stock remains attractive.
See More
New ETF Focuses on Memory Shortage
- Memory Shortage Theme: The Roundhill Memory ETF aims to capitalize on the memory shortage investment opportunity, having attracted $245 million in assets under management since its April 2 debut, indicating strong market demand and investor interest.
- High Market Concentration: This ETF holds only nine stocks, with SK Hynix, Micron Technology, and Samsung Electronics comprising 73% of its portfolio, highlighting a significant concentration that may increase investment risk.
- Investor Access Convenience: The Roundhill ETF provides an easy entry point for investors looking to participate in the memory trade without picking individual stocks, addressing the lack of direct investment options for SK Hynix and Samsung in traditional semiconductor ETFs.
- Fee Structure Consideration: With an annual fee of 0.65%, this ETF is more expensive than many low-cost ETFs that investors are accustomed to, prompting careful evaluation of its long-term performance against its costs.
See More
Micron Stock Declines Amid ASML Earnings Impact
- Stock Decline: Micron's stock fell 3.5% on Wednesday despite a bullish broader market, with the S&P 500 up 0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite up 1.1%, indicating pressure on Micron's valuation and reflecting market concerns about its future performance.
- ASML Earnings Impact: The decline in Micron's stock is closely tied to ASML's quarterly results, as ASML, the leading supplier of EUV and DUV equipment, reported earnings that fell short of investor expectations, raising doubts about Micron's outlook.
- Overreaction in Market: Although ASML reported a Q1 profit of €7.15 per share, exceeding the analyst estimate of €6.61, the market's reaction to its guidance may be overly pessimistic, especially given ASML's raised full-year revenue target to between €36 billion and €40 billion.
- Uncertain Industry Outlook: Micron's high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips rely on ASML's EUV machines, and while ASML's outlook is significant for Micron, concerns about export restrictions could further pressure Micron's valuation.
See More
Tech Stocks Rally, Yet Micron Shares Decline Amid ASML Earnings
- Micron Share Decline: Despite a strong overall market, Micron's stock fell 3.5% on Wednesday, indicating valuation pressure, particularly following ASML's quarterly results that raised investor concerns about future expectations.
- ASML Earnings Impact: ASML reported a Q1 profit of €7.15 per share and revenue of $8.77 billion, surpassing analyst expectations; however, concerns over export restrictions to China dampened market reactions, putting pressure on Micron's stock.
- Future Concerns: Although ASML raised its 2026 sales forecast, Micron's valuation remains contingent on market confidence in its future growth, and current stock fluctuations may reflect investor unease about the semiconductor industry's overall outlook.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Following ASML's earnings release, Micron's stock briefly dropped 5.7%, highlighting a cautious market attitude towards its future performance, as the broader tech sector enjoyed gains that Micron failed to capitalize on.
See More
Tech Stocks Rebound, Nvidia on 11-Day Winning Streak
- Nvidia's Strong Performance: Nvidia shares rose about 1% as investors returned to tech stocks, positioning the company for an 11th consecutive winning session, marking the longest streak on record and reflecting renewed market confidence in the tech sector.
- Caterpillar Acquisition News: Caterpillar's stock dropped approximately 5% following reports of its acquisition of Monarch Tractor, a self-driving electric tractor company, which, while pressuring short-term stock performance, may enhance its competitive edge in the automated agricultural equipment market.
- Nike Insider Transactions: Nike shares advanced over 3% after CEO Elliott Hill and director Tim Cook disclosed purchases of over 23,000 and 25,000 shares, respectively, totaling around $2.1 million, indicating strong executive confidence in the company's future and potentially attracting more investor interest.
- DoorDash's Technological Outlook: DoorDash shares surged 8% after Barclays analysts highlighted its leadership in autonomous food delivery technology, which is expected to further drive market share growth and strengthen its competitive position in the industry.
See More
US Stocks Show Mixed Movement Amid Optimism Over Middle East Peace Talks
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.36%, reaching a two-month high, while the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.63%, marking a 2.5-month high, reflecting investor optimism surrounding potential peace talks in the Middle East.
- Economic Data: The April Empire Manufacturing Survey reported a rise of 11.2 in the general business conditions index to 11.0, surpassing expectations, indicating a robust manufacturing recovery; however, the April NAHB housing market index fell to 34, signaling weakness in the housing sector that could dampen investor confidence.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: WTI crude oil prices increased by over 1% due to the U.S. naval blockade in the Strait of Hormuz, which could exacerbate global oil and fuel shortages, impacting profitability in related sectors.
- Earnings Season: Q1 earnings for the S&P 500 are projected to grow by 12% year-over-year, but excluding the technology sector, growth is only expected to be around 3%, indicating a slowdown in overall earnings growth that may affect market sentiment.
See More
