Market Leadership Shift and Small-Cap Surge
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy FISV?
Source: Benzinga
- Market Leadership Change: As investor focus shifts from the 'Magnificent Seven' tech stocks to previously lagging sectors like healthcare, energy, and financials, opportunities arise for investors to uncover quality stocks in the current market environment.
- Small-Cap Performance Rebound: In the final quarter of 2025, the Russell 2000 index, which tracks small-cap stocks, began to significantly outperform the S&P 500 after a mere 4.5% gain in the first 11 months, indicating a strong rebound reminiscent of the late 1990s tech boom.
- Opportunities in Quality Large Caps: In the context of broadening market leadership, high-quality companies like Fiserv, which faced stock price declines due to earnings misses, still maintain solid fundamentals and may return to historical valuation levels, presenting investment opportunities.
- Defense Spending and Infrastructure Growth: Oshkosh benefits from sustained U.S. defense spending and infrastructure buildout, trading at a significant discount compared to large industrial peers like Caterpillar and Deere, highlighting its attractiveness and growth potential in the current market.
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Analyst Views on FISV
Wall Street analysts forecast FISV stock price to rise
28 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
20 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 63.450
Low
62.00
Averages
95.61
High
180.00
Current: 63.450
Low
62.00
Averages
95.61
High
180.00
About FISV
Fiserv, Inc. is a global provider of payments and financial services technology solutions. Its segments include Merchant Solutions (Merchant) and Financial Solutions (Financial). The businesses in its Merchant segment provide commerce-enabling products and services to companies of all sizes around the world. These products and services include merchant acquiring and digital commerce services; mobile payment services; security and fraud protection solutions; stored-value solutions; software-as-a-service; POS devices; and pay-by-bank solutions. The business lines in its Merchant segment consist of small business, enterprise, and processing. The businesses in its Financial segment provide products and services to financial institutions, corporate and public sector clients across the world, enabling the processing of customer loan and deposit accounts, digital payments and card transactions. The business lines in its Financial segment consist of digital payments, issuing, and banking.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Fiserv's Q4 Report Shows Stability Amid Market Challenges
- Market Share Loss: Fiserv's stock has plummeted 74% over the past year, indicating significant gaps in competitive and client service areas that have eroded market confidence, prompting management to initiate a restructuring plan to reverse this trend.
- Financial Performance: The fourth-quarter report showed a 1% year-over-year revenue increase, but earnings per share (EPS) fell by 8%, aligning with management's expectations set in October, reflecting the company's efforts towards stability while still needing to meet future guidance.
- Strategic Transformation Plan: The company is developing relationships with AI and technology partners to enhance efficiency and regain market share, recently announcing a deal with ServiceNow and launching a digital currency settlement platform called INDX, aimed at bolstering its competitive edge.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates organic revenue growth of 1% to 3% and adjusted EPS between $8.00 and $8.30 for 2026, down from $8.64 in 2025, but the market remains cautious about whether these targets will be met.
See More
Baupost Group's Investment Moves in Q4
- New Investment Position: Baupost Group established a new stake in Amazon during Q4, making it the fund's second-largest holding at 9.3% of assets, reflecting confidence in the e-commerce and cloud giant despite differing views from Buffett.
- Portfolio Adjustments: The fund completely exited its position in PagSeguro Digital in Q4, indicating a strategic portfolio adjustment likely based on market performance and future expectations.
- Top Holdings: As of December 31, Restaurant Brands International remains Baupost's largest holding, indicating sustained confidence in the restaurant sector, and it was also the top holding in Q3, showcasing stability.
- Market Performance Comparison: Amazon was the worst-performing stock among the Magnificent Seven in 2025, and Baupost's investment decision may be based on optimism regarding its cloud segment growth, which will test the effectiveness of Klarman's strategy against Buffett's reduction in exposure.
See More
Fiserv Stock Plummets 74% but Shows Signs of Recovery
- Performance Decline: Fiserv's stock has plummeted 74% over the past year, primarily due to missing expectations in its third-quarter earnings report, where management identified 'competitive and client service gaps' and initiated a restructuring plan to address market challenges.
- Stable Revenue: Although fourth-quarter revenue increased by only 1% year-over-year and earnings per share (EPS) fell by 8%, management indicated that these results were in line with expectations, projecting organic revenue growth of 1% to 3% for 2026, reflecting a degree of stability.
- Strategic Transformation: The company plans to develop relationships with artificial intelligence and technology partners to enhance efficiency and regain market share, recently announcing a partnership with ServiceNow and launching a digital currency settlement platform called INDX to strengthen its competitive position.
- Market Caution: Despite beating EPS expectations in the fourth quarter, the market remains cautious about Fiserv's future, with investors keenly watching whether the company can meet guidance and market expectations over the next three quarters.
See More
Fiserv Stock Plummets 74%, Future Outlook Uncertain
- Performance Decline: Fiserv's stock has plummeted 74% over the past year after missing revenue and earnings expectations in Q3, revealing significant gaps in competition and client service, prompting management to initiate a restructuring plan to restore market confidence.
- Slight Revenue Increase: Although Q4 revenue increased by 1% year-over-year, earnings per share (EPS) fell by 8%, aligning with management's expectations set in October, indicating ongoing challenges as the company strives to stabilize its business.
- Long-Term Investment Strategy: The company plans to enhance efficiency and regain market share by developing relationships with AI and technology partners, as evidenced by its recent deal with ServiceNow and the launch of the INDX digital currency settlement platform, showcasing its proactive approach to technological innovation.
- Market Caution: Despite beating EPS expectations in Q4, the market remains cautious about Fiserv's future trajectory, with investors keenly watching whether the company can meet its projected revenue growth and profitability in the upcoming quarters.
See More
Global Payments Shares Surge: Here's the Reason.
- Stock Performance: Shares of Global Payments experienced their largest same-day percentage increase in nearly a year on Wednesday.
- Earnings Context: The significant stock movement is attributed to factors beyond just quarterly earnings.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Mixed, Apple Shares Rise on Product Launch News
- Market Performance Fluctuates: On Tuesday, the S&P 500 rose by 0.10%, the Dow Jones increased by 0.07%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.13%, indicating a mixed market recovery from early losses, with the Nasdaq 100 hitting a 2.75-month low, reflecting investor caution towards tech stocks.
- Apple Product Launch Boost: Apple shares surged over 3% after announcing a product launch on March 4, with several new devices expected in the coming weeks, which not only boosted Apple's market performance but also generated positive sentiment across the tech sector.
- Airline Stocks Rally: Airline stocks showed strong performance on Tuesday, led by a 6% increase in Southwest Airlines after UBS upgraded its rating from neutral to buy with a price target of $73, which not only enhanced the overall performance of airline stocks but also contributed to a more optimistic market outlook.
- Mixed Economic Data: The U.S. February NAHB housing market index unexpectedly fell to a 5-month low of 36, below the expected 38, while the February Empire manufacturing survey slightly declined to 7.1, indicating uncertainty in economic recovery, as the market remains focused on upcoming corporate earnings and economic news.
See More
Fiserv's Q4 Report Shows Stability Amid Market Challenges
- Market Share Loss: Fiserv's stock has plummeted 74% over the past year, indicating significant gaps in competitive and client service areas that have eroded market confidence, prompting management to initiate a restructuring plan to reverse this trend.
- Financial Performance: The fourth-quarter report showed a 1% year-over-year revenue increase, but earnings per share (EPS) fell by 8%, aligning with management's expectations set in October, reflecting the company's efforts towards stability while still needing to meet future guidance.
- Strategic Transformation Plan: The company is developing relationships with AI and technology partners to enhance efficiency and regain market share, recently announcing a deal with ServiceNow and launching a digital currency settlement platform called INDX, aimed at bolstering its competitive edge.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates organic revenue growth of 1% to 3% and adjusted EPS between $8.00 and $8.30 for 2026, down from $8.64 in 2025, but the market remains cautious about whether these targets will be met.
See More
Baupost Group's Investment Moves in Q4
- New Investment Position: Baupost Group established a new stake in Amazon during Q4, making it the fund's second-largest holding at 9.3% of assets, reflecting confidence in the e-commerce and cloud giant despite differing views from Buffett.
- Portfolio Adjustments: The fund completely exited its position in PagSeguro Digital in Q4, indicating a strategic portfolio adjustment likely based on market performance and future expectations.
- Top Holdings: As of December 31, Restaurant Brands International remains Baupost's largest holding, indicating sustained confidence in the restaurant sector, and it was also the top holding in Q3, showcasing stability.
- Market Performance Comparison: Amazon was the worst-performing stock among the Magnificent Seven in 2025, and Baupost's investment decision may be based on optimism regarding its cloud segment growth, which will test the effectiveness of Klarman's strategy against Buffett's reduction in exposure.
See More
Fiserv Stock Plummets 74% but Shows Signs of Recovery
- Performance Decline: Fiserv's stock has plummeted 74% over the past year, primarily due to missing expectations in its third-quarter earnings report, where management identified 'competitive and client service gaps' and initiated a restructuring plan to address market challenges.
- Stable Revenue: Although fourth-quarter revenue increased by only 1% year-over-year and earnings per share (EPS) fell by 8%, management indicated that these results were in line with expectations, projecting organic revenue growth of 1% to 3% for 2026, reflecting a degree of stability.
- Strategic Transformation: The company plans to develop relationships with artificial intelligence and technology partners to enhance efficiency and regain market share, recently announcing a partnership with ServiceNow and launching a digital currency settlement platform called INDX to strengthen its competitive position.
- Market Caution: Despite beating EPS expectations in the fourth quarter, the market remains cautious about Fiserv's future, with investors keenly watching whether the company can meet guidance and market expectations over the next three quarters.
See More
Fiserv Stock Plummets 74%, Future Outlook Uncertain
- Performance Decline: Fiserv's stock has plummeted 74% over the past year after missing revenue and earnings expectations in Q3, revealing significant gaps in competition and client service, prompting management to initiate a restructuring plan to restore market confidence.
- Slight Revenue Increase: Although Q4 revenue increased by 1% year-over-year, earnings per share (EPS) fell by 8%, aligning with management's expectations set in October, indicating ongoing challenges as the company strives to stabilize its business.
- Long-Term Investment Strategy: The company plans to enhance efficiency and regain market share by developing relationships with AI and technology partners, as evidenced by its recent deal with ServiceNow and the launch of the INDX digital currency settlement platform, showcasing its proactive approach to technological innovation.
- Market Caution: Despite beating EPS expectations in Q4, the market remains cautious about Fiserv's future trajectory, with investors keenly watching whether the company can meet its projected revenue growth and profitability in the upcoming quarters.
See More
Global Payments Shares Surge: Here's the Reason.
- Stock Performance: Shares of Global Payments experienced their largest same-day percentage increase in nearly a year on Wednesday.
- Earnings Context: The significant stock movement is attributed to factors beyond just quarterly earnings.
See More
U.S. Stocks Close Mixed, Apple Shares Rise on Product Launch News
- Market Performance Fluctuates: On Tuesday, the S&P 500 rose by 0.10%, the Dow Jones increased by 0.07%, while the Nasdaq 100 fell by 0.13%, indicating a mixed market recovery from early losses, with the Nasdaq 100 hitting a 2.75-month low, reflecting investor caution towards tech stocks.
- Apple Product Launch Boost: Apple shares surged over 3% after announcing a product launch on March 4, with several new devices expected in the coming weeks, which not only boosted Apple's market performance but also generated positive sentiment across the tech sector.
- Airline Stocks Rally: Airline stocks showed strong performance on Tuesday, led by a 6% increase in Southwest Airlines after UBS upgraded its rating from neutral to buy with a price target of $73, which not only enhanced the overall performance of airline stocks but also contributed to a more optimistic market outlook.
- Mixed Economic Data: The U.S. February NAHB housing market index unexpectedly fell to a 5-month low of 36, below the expected 38, while the February Empire manufacturing survey slightly declined to 7.1, indicating uncertainty in economic recovery, as the market remains focused on upcoming corporate earnings and economic news.
See More
