Major US Indices Close Marginally Lower, Nasdaq Down 0.24%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 30 2025
0mins
Should l Buy META?
The major averages closed marginally lower on the penultimate trading day of the year as markets contend with light year-end volumes and a pullback in heavyweight tech and AI names that stalled last week's strong rally. In Fed news, minutes from the latest FOMC meeting show that "most" on the committee have judged that further rate cuts would likely be appropriate if inflation declines over time as expected. In addition, FOMC members have generally judged that upside risks to inflation remained elevated and that downside risks to employment were elevated and had increased since the middle of 2025.Looking to commodities, gold edged higher following yesterday's sharp losses, while oil was fractionally lower ahead of the API crude numbers set for release this afternoon.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with this Midday Fly By.1. STOCK NEWS:Meta PlatformsAI startup Manus, with the Wall Street Journal reporting that Meta is paying over $2B for the businessApplied Digitalits cloud computing business with Ekso BionicsOn24by Cvent for $8.10 per share in cashCiti'sboard approved a plan toAccording to, "most" on the FOMC have judged that further rate cuts would likely be appropriate if inflation declines over time as expected2. WALL STREET CALLS:ArgusBHP Groupto Buy on "firming" commodity pricesMereo BioPharmato Hold at JefferiesBenchmarkLindblad Expeditionswith a Buy on high growth visibilityStephensof Rubrik, Commvault, and AvePointwith Overweight ratings and Varonisat Equal Weight3. AROUND THE WEB:SMICintends to acquire the remaining 49% stake in unit SMNC for Y40.6B, or $5.79B, giving the company full control of the subsidiary,The U.S. government has granted Samsung Electronicsand SK Hynixan annual license to bring chip manufacturing equipment to their Chinese facilities for 2026,Power-hungry AI projects are benefiting Caterpillaras a range of customers looks to purchase the company's engines and generators,Softbankhas completed its $40B investment in OpenAI,Warner Bros. Discoveryplans to reject Paramount Skydance'sbid next week,4. MOVERS:Hycroft Miningincreases after filing aBoeinggains after being awarded afor the F-15 Israel Program and a ceiling $4.2B modification to a previously awarded Air Force contract for E-4B contractor logistic serviceEnergy Fuelsfalls after Roth Capital said shares of the companyTruth Medialower after Yorkville America launchedon the New York Stock Exchange5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Ree Automotivereported, with EPS higher year-over-yearEtoiles CapitalreportedCemtrexreported, with revenue higher year-over-yearAMTD IDEA Groupreported, with CFO Xavier Zee commenting, "We are proud to deliver another half year of strong performance"INDEXES:The Dow fell 94.87, or 0.20%, to 48,367.06, the Nasdaq lost 55.27, or 0.24%, to 23,419.08, and the S&P 500 declined 9.50, or 0.14%, to 6,896.24.
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Analyst Views on META
Wall Street analysts forecast META stock price to rise
44 Analyst Rating
37 Buy
6 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 525.720
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
Current: 525.720
Low
655.15
Averages
824.71
High
1117
About META
Meta Platforms, Inc. is building human connections, powered by artificial intelligence and immersive technologies. The Company's products enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, personal computers, virtual reality (VR) and mixed reality (MR) headsets, augmented reality (AR), and wearables. It also helps people discover and learn about what is going on in the world around them, enabling people to share their experiences, ideas, photos, videos, and other content with audiences ranging from their closest family members and friends to the public at large. The Company's segments include Family of Apps (FoA) and Reality Labs (RL). FoA segment includes Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp and Threads. RL segment includes its virtual, augmented, and mixed reality related consumer hardware, software and content. Its product offerings in VR include its Meta Quest devices, as well as software and content available through the Meta Horizon Store.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Meta Platforms Inc's Intrinsic Value Analysis
- Intrinsic Value Assessment: According to GuruFocus's Discounted Earnings model, Meta Platforms Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $730.56, while its current trading price is $536.38, indicating a 26.58% margin of safety, suggesting the company is modestly undervalued and may attract investor interest.
- Growth Stage Assumptions: In the growth stage, Meta's earnings per share (EPS) without non-recurring items is set at $23.38, with an expected growth rate of 22.70%, reflecting the company's strong growth potential over the next decade, which could drive stock price appreciation.
- Discount Rate Calculation: GuruFocus employs an 11% discount rate, which includes a 4.33% 10-year Treasury yield and a 6% risk premium; this choice of discount rate is crucial for assessing the present value of future earnings and impacts investor decision-making.
- Traditional Model Comparison: Using the traditional free cash flow model, Meta's intrinsic value is calculated at $560.10, showing a 4.23% margin of safety, indicating that under different valuation methods, Meta's market pricing holds a degree of reasonableness, prompting investors to consider multiple valuation models.
See More
Meta Tests Instagram Plus Subscription Service Offering Exclusive Features
- Subscription Service Testing: Meta is testing a premium subscription service called Instagram Plus on its Instagram app, allowing users to view Stories without notifying the poster, enhancing user privacy and potentially attracting more subscribers.
- New Feature Rollout: The subscription will offer unlimited audience list creation and the ability to see how many times a Story has been viewed, enhancing user engagement and content management capabilities, which may increase user retention.
- Market Testing Regions: The service is currently being tested in Mexico, Japan, and the Philippines, with pricing varying by country, demonstrating Meta's flexible pricing strategy aimed at maximizing user acceptance and market penetration.
- User Base Impact: With approximately 3 billion monthly active users, Instagram may account for about 40% of Meta's total revenue, and if successfully launched, this service could significantly boost the company's revenue and competitive position in the market.
See More
Unilever in Talks to Merge with McCormick
- Merger Talks Progress: Unilever has confirmed it is in talks to merge with McCormick, with the deal expected to involve an upfront cash component of approximately $15.7 billion and the majority of consideration in McCormick equity, indicating strong interest in consolidation within the food industry.
- Stock Price Surge: Following the announcement, McCormick's shares rose over 3%, reflecting positive market expectations regarding the potential merger, which could enhance the company's competitive position and resource integration capabilities.
- Rating Upgrade Impact: Deutsche Bank upgraded Diageo from hold to buy, resulting in a nearly 3% stock price increase, as analysts noted that structural and cyclical headwinds in alcohol sales are already priced into the stock, indicating market confidence in its future performance.
- Strong Order Growth: Jefferies upgraded Amphenol from hold to buy, leading to a more than 2% increase in its stock price, with analysts highlighting strong order growth and solid margins, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's performance and growth potential.
See More
Nebius to Establish Major Data Center in Finland
- Data Center Development: Nebius is set to establish a data center in Lappeenranta, Finland, with a capacity of up to 310 MW, expected to start serving customers by 2027, positioning it as one of the largest cloud infrastructures in Europe and solidifying its role in the AI infrastructure market.
- Investment and Partnerships: The company recently secured a $2 billion investment from Nvidia and struck multibillion-dollar cloud service deals with Microsoft and Meta, which not only enhance its market visibility but also provide a solid financial foundation for future expansions.
- Market Reaction: Despite shares of Nebius rising over 2% in early trading, the overall bearish sentiment on Stocktwits persists amid a broader market selloff, indicating cautious investor attitudes towards AI-related trades.
- Company Evolution: Since its emergence in 2024 following the spin-off from Yandex, Nebius has rapidly focused on AI infrastructure, recently acquiring AI search startup Tavily and announcing a significant $24 billion deal with Meta, marking crucial progress towards becoming a key AI hyperscaler in the industry.
See More
The 'Magnificent Seven' Stocks Struggle Amid AI Spending Concerns
- ETF Performance Decline: The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF has fallen over 9% this year, significantly underperforming the broader market, leading investors to potentially view it as a buying opportunity, though valuation considerations remain critical.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: The Magnificent Seven are projected to spend nearly $700 billion on capital expenditures in 2025, raising concerns among investors about the ability of these companies to deliver strong returns on such massive investments, which has contributed to declining valuations across the group.
- Lowest Valuation for Meta: Meta Platforms currently trades at less than 20 times forward earnings, with a projected 73% increase in capital expenditures for 2026 aimed at supporting AI infrastructure, although its advertising business could benefit from AI applications.
- Investor Confidence Wavers: Despite Meta's success in advertising revenue, investors are concerned about Zuckerberg's investment strategy in AI, particularly after significant losses in its metaverse division, highlighting the need for disciplined investment approaches.
See More
Investors at a Crossroads with AI: Concerns and Opportunities
- Investor Anxiety: While investors remain optimistic about AI's potential, there are concerns regarding the significant spending on AI infrastructure by the 'Magnificent Seven,' with projected capital expenditures nearing $700 billion in 2025, leading to a decline in overall valuations.
- Meta's Low Valuation: Meta Platforms is currently trading at a PE ratio of less than 20 times forward earnings, with projected capital expenditures for 2026 ranging from $115 billion to $135 billion, a 73% increase from last year, primarily aimed at supporting AI infrastructure, raising concerns about investment returns.
- Advertising Business Potential: Meta reported a 24% year-over-year increase in advertising revenue in 2025, highlighting AI's potential in enhancing ad targeting, although investors are wary of Zuckerberg's investment strategies, especially following his significant bet on the metaverse.
- Alphabet's Success: Alphabet's stock has risen over 75% in the past year, successfully overcoming a high-profile lawsuit from the U.S. Department of Justice, demonstrating the competitiveness of its AI models and positioning itself as a value investment choice within the 'Magnificent Seven,' attracting investor interest.
See More
Meta Platforms Inc's Intrinsic Value Analysis
- Intrinsic Value Assessment: According to GuruFocus's Discounted Earnings model, Meta Platforms Inc's intrinsic value is estimated at $730.56, while its current trading price is $536.38, indicating a 26.58% margin of safety, suggesting the company is modestly undervalued and may attract investor interest.
- Growth Stage Assumptions: In the growth stage, Meta's earnings per share (EPS) without non-recurring items is set at $23.38, with an expected growth rate of 22.70%, reflecting the company's strong growth potential over the next decade, which could drive stock price appreciation.
- Discount Rate Calculation: GuruFocus employs an 11% discount rate, which includes a 4.33% 10-year Treasury yield and a 6% risk premium; this choice of discount rate is crucial for assessing the present value of future earnings and impacts investor decision-making.
- Traditional Model Comparison: Using the traditional free cash flow model, Meta's intrinsic value is calculated at $560.10, showing a 4.23% margin of safety, indicating that under different valuation methods, Meta's market pricing holds a degree of reasonableness, prompting investors to consider multiple valuation models.
See More
Meta Tests Instagram Plus Subscription Service Offering Exclusive Features
- Subscription Service Testing: Meta is testing a premium subscription service called Instagram Plus on its Instagram app, allowing users to view Stories without notifying the poster, enhancing user privacy and potentially attracting more subscribers.
- New Feature Rollout: The subscription will offer unlimited audience list creation and the ability to see how many times a Story has been viewed, enhancing user engagement and content management capabilities, which may increase user retention.
- Market Testing Regions: The service is currently being tested in Mexico, Japan, and the Philippines, with pricing varying by country, demonstrating Meta's flexible pricing strategy aimed at maximizing user acceptance and market penetration.
- User Base Impact: With approximately 3 billion monthly active users, Instagram may account for about 40% of Meta's total revenue, and if successfully launched, this service could significantly boost the company's revenue and competitive position in the market.
See More
Unilever in Talks to Merge with McCormick
- Merger Talks Progress: Unilever has confirmed it is in talks to merge with McCormick, with the deal expected to involve an upfront cash component of approximately $15.7 billion and the majority of consideration in McCormick equity, indicating strong interest in consolidation within the food industry.
- Stock Price Surge: Following the announcement, McCormick's shares rose over 3%, reflecting positive market expectations regarding the potential merger, which could enhance the company's competitive position and resource integration capabilities.
- Rating Upgrade Impact: Deutsche Bank upgraded Diageo from hold to buy, resulting in a nearly 3% stock price increase, as analysts noted that structural and cyclical headwinds in alcohol sales are already priced into the stock, indicating market confidence in its future performance.
- Strong Order Growth: Jefferies upgraded Amphenol from hold to buy, leading to a more than 2% increase in its stock price, with analysts highlighting strong order growth and solid margins, suggesting a positive outlook for the company's performance and growth potential.
See More
Nebius to Establish Major Data Center in Finland
- Data Center Development: Nebius is set to establish a data center in Lappeenranta, Finland, with a capacity of up to 310 MW, expected to start serving customers by 2027, positioning it as one of the largest cloud infrastructures in Europe and solidifying its role in the AI infrastructure market.
- Investment and Partnerships: The company recently secured a $2 billion investment from Nvidia and struck multibillion-dollar cloud service deals with Microsoft and Meta, which not only enhance its market visibility but also provide a solid financial foundation for future expansions.
- Market Reaction: Despite shares of Nebius rising over 2% in early trading, the overall bearish sentiment on Stocktwits persists amid a broader market selloff, indicating cautious investor attitudes towards AI-related trades.
- Company Evolution: Since its emergence in 2024 following the spin-off from Yandex, Nebius has rapidly focused on AI infrastructure, recently acquiring AI search startup Tavily and announcing a significant $24 billion deal with Meta, marking crucial progress towards becoming a key AI hyperscaler in the industry.
See More
The 'Magnificent Seven' Stocks Struggle Amid AI Spending Concerns
- ETF Performance Decline: The Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF has fallen over 9% this year, significantly underperforming the broader market, leading investors to potentially view it as a buying opportunity, though valuation considerations remain critical.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: The Magnificent Seven are projected to spend nearly $700 billion on capital expenditures in 2025, raising concerns among investors about the ability of these companies to deliver strong returns on such massive investments, which has contributed to declining valuations across the group.
- Lowest Valuation for Meta: Meta Platforms currently trades at less than 20 times forward earnings, with a projected 73% increase in capital expenditures for 2026 aimed at supporting AI infrastructure, although its advertising business could benefit from AI applications.
- Investor Confidence Wavers: Despite Meta's success in advertising revenue, investors are concerned about Zuckerberg's investment strategy in AI, particularly after significant losses in its metaverse division, highlighting the need for disciplined investment approaches.
See More
Investors at a Crossroads with AI: Concerns and Opportunities
- Investor Anxiety: While investors remain optimistic about AI's potential, there are concerns regarding the significant spending on AI infrastructure by the 'Magnificent Seven,' with projected capital expenditures nearing $700 billion in 2025, leading to a decline in overall valuations.
- Meta's Low Valuation: Meta Platforms is currently trading at a PE ratio of less than 20 times forward earnings, with projected capital expenditures for 2026 ranging from $115 billion to $135 billion, a 73% increase from last year, primarily aimed at supporting AI infrastructure, raising concerns about investment returns.
- Advertising Business Potential: Meta reported a 24% year-over-year increase in advertising revenue in 2025, highlighting AI's potential in enhancing ad targeting, although investors are wary of Zuckerberg's investment strategies, especially following his significant bet on the metaverse.
- Alphabet's Success: Alphabet's stock has risen over 75% in the past year, successfully overcoming a high-profile lawsuit from the U.S. Department of Justice, demonstrating the competitiveness of its AI models and positioning itself as a value investment choice within the 'Magnificent Seven,' attracting investor interest.
See More
