Low-Beta ETFs Gain Attention as JPMorgan Highlights Overcrowded AI Investments
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 18 2025
0mins
Should l Buy AMD?
Source: Benzinga
Market Volatility and ETF Relevance: As the U.S. stock market experiences turbulence, low volatility ETFs are gaining attention as a strategy to mitigate risk, particularly in light of extreme crowding in speculative stocks.
JPMorgan's Stock Recommendations: JPMorgan has identified several stocks, including Broadcom and AMD, that may face significant reversals, suggesting a shift towards low-volatility, cash-producing stocks for investors.
Characteristics of Low-Volatility ETFs: Funds like the Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF and iShares MSCI USA Min Vol Factor ETF focus on stocks with lower historical price variability, favoring sectors such as healthcare and consumer staples.
Investor Selectivity in AI Stocks: The trend towards low-volatility ETFs does not indicate a complete withdrawal from AI investments but reflects a more selective approach among investors regarding which AI stocks to support.
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Analyst Views on AMD
Wall Street analysts forecast AMD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMD is 284.10 USD with a low forecast of 200.00 USD and a high forecast of 377.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
36 Analyst Rating
27 Buy
9 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 213.580
Low
200.00
Averages
284.10
High
377.00
Current: 213.580
Low
200.00
Averages
284.10
High
377.00
About AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. is a global semiconductor company. The Company is focused on high-performance computing, graphics and visualization technologies. Its segments include Data Center, Client and Gaming, and Embedded. Data Center segment includes artificial intelligence (AI) accelerators, microprocessors (CPUs) for servers, graphics processing units (GPUs), accelerated processing units (APUs), data processing units (DPUs), Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs), smart network interface Cards (SmartNICs) and Adaptive system-on-Chip (SoC) products for data centers. Client and Gaming segment includes CPUs, APUs, chipsets for desktops and notebooks, discrete GPUs, and semi-custom SoC products and development services. Embedded segment includes embedded CPUs, GPUs, APUs, FPGAs, system on modules (SOMs), and Adaptive SoC products. It markets and sells its products under the AMD trademark. Its products include AMD EPYC, AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Virtex UltraScale+, and others.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Earnings Beat Expectations: AMD's Q4 2025 earnings report revealed an adjusted EPS of $4.17, a 26% year-over-year increase, and despite a 17% drop in stock price post-release, the market remains optimistic about its future growth.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: AMD anticipates a 32% year-over-year revenue increase in the current quarter, and projects its addressable market opportunity in data centers to grow from $200 billion last year to $1 trillion by 2030, indicating strong market demand.
- Attractive Valuation: With a PEG ratio of 0.65, AMD's stock is considered undervalued, and analysts expect EPS to exceed $20 by 2030; combined with the Nasdaq-100's forward P/E ratio, AMD's stock could potentially surpass $500, making it a multibagger opportunity.
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- Improved Profitability: TSMC achieved a gross margin of 60% in 2025, expected to remain above 56% in the coming years, indicating robust pricing power and profitability amid soaring AI chip demand.
- Future Growth Expectations: TSMC anticipates nearly 30% revenue growth in 2026, with a projected CAGR approaching 25% from 2024 to 2029, reflecting its long-term growth potential in the AI market.
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- Tech Stock Pressure: Cisco Systems' stock fell more than 9% as it warned that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, limiting overall gains in tech stocks and reflecting cost pressures faced by the industry.
- Labor Market Data: U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, indicating a slightly weaker labor market than the expected 223,000, which may affect market expectations for future economic growth.
- Corporate Earnings Optimism: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 78% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, providing support for the market and demonstrating corporate resilience.
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- S&P 500 Forecast: Wall Street analysts predict an 18% increase in the S&P 500 to 8,200 over the next year, reflecting optimistic market sentiment about economic recovery, which may attract more investors into the market.
- Sector Performance: The information technology and consumer discretionary sectors are expected to grow by 33% and 22%, respectively, indicating that these industries will be focal points for investors, particularly through exposure via Vanguard ETFs.
- Vanguard Tech ETF Performance: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, equivalent to an annual growth of 24%, showcasing its strong performance in the tech sector, despite underperforming during market corrections.
- Concentration Risk Management: The top three stocks in the Vanguard Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary ETFs account for 44% and 43% of their performance, respectively, prompting investors to consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate concentration risk and enhance resilience.
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- Sector Outlook: Wall Street analysts forecast that the information technology and consumer discretionary sectors will outperform the S&P 500 over the next year, with expected gains of 33% and 22% respectively, indicating growing investor confidence in these areas.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain exposure to these sectors through the Vanguard Information Technology ETF and Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF, which heavily feature stocks like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, as well as Amazon, Tesla, and Home Depot, reflecting a strong focus on tech and consumer goods.
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- Optimistic Market Outlook: McKinsey estimates that global spending on data centers will reach $7 trillion by 2030, driving rapid development in AI infrastructure, positioning AMD as an emerging force in the AI chip market to capitalize on this trend.
- Earnings Beat Expectations: AMD's Q4 2025 earnings report revealed an adjusted EPS of $4.17, a 26% year-over-year increase, and despite a 17% drop in stock price post-release, the market remains optimistic about its future growth.
- Revenue Growth Forecast: AMD anticipates a 32% year-over-year revenue increase in the current quarter, and projects its addressable market opportunity in data centers to grow from $200 billion last year to $1 trillion by 2030, indicating strong market demand.
- Attractive Valuation: With a PEG ratio of 0.65, AMD's stock is considered undervalued, and analysts expect EPS to exceed $20 by 2030; combined with the Nasdaq-100's forward P/E ratio, AMD's stock could potentially surpass $500, making it a multibagger opportunity.
See More
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- Significant Revenue Growth: In 2025, TSMC's revenue increased by 36% in USD terms, with high-performance computing (HPC) revenue surging 48% and accounting for 58% of total revenue, highlighting its strong demand and market dominance in the AI chip sector.
- Improved Profitability: TSMC achieved a gross margin of 60% in 2025, expected to remain above 56% in the coming years, indicating robust pricing power and profitability amid soaring AI chip demand.
- Future Growth Expectations: TSMC anticipates nearly 30% revenue growth in 2026, with a projected CAGR approaching 25% from 2024 to 2029, reflecting its long-term growth potential in the AI market.
- Strategic Expansion Plans: TSMC plans to ramp up production of its 2nm chips in the second half of 2026 while expanding overseas plants in Japan, the U.S., and Europe to mitigate risks from potential Taiwan-China tensions, ensuring its competitive edge and supply chain security.
See More
Mixed U.S. Stock Market Performance with Tech Stocks Under Pressure
- Strong Chip Demand: Sandisk's stock surged over 8% following Kioxia's forecast of robust demand for NAND memory chips, indicating strong global demand for AI infrastructure, which boosts market confidence in tech stocks.
- Tech Stock Pressure: Cisco Systems' stock fell more than 9% as it warned that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, limiting overall gains in tech stocks and reflecting cost pressures faced by the industry.
- Labor Market Data: U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, indicating a slightly weaker labor market than the expected 223,000, which may affect market expectations for future economic growth.
- Corporate Earnings Optimism: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 78% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, providing support for the market and demonstrating corporate resilience.
See More
Nvidia Shares Climb as Attention Shifts to Earnings Report.
- Nvidia's Trading Activity: Nvidia is experiencing gains in early trading on Thursday, indicating positive market sentiment.
- Earnings Report Anticipation: Investors are optimistic as the company approaches its earnings report scheduled for later this month.
See More
Wall Street Analysts Forecast 18% Rise for S&P 500
- S&P 500 Forecast: Wall Street analysts predict an 18% increase in the S&P 500 to 8,200 over the next year, reflecting optimistic market sentiment about economic recovery, which may attract more investors into the market.
- Sector Performance: The information technology and consumer discretionary sectors are expected to grow by 33% and 22%, respectively, indicating that these industries will be focal points for investors, particularly through exposure via Vanguard ETFs.
- Vanguard Tech ETF Performance: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, equivalent to an annual growth of 24%, showcasing its strong performance in the tech sector, despite underperforming during market corrections.
- Concentration Risk Management: The top three stocks in the Vanguard Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary ETFs account for 44% and 43% of their performance, respectively, prompting investors to consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate concentration risk and enhance resilience.
See More
Wall Street Optimistic on Tech and Consumer Sectors
- Sector Outlook: Wall Street analysts forecast that the information technology and consumer discretionary sectors will outperform the S&P 500 over the next year, with expected gains of 33% and 22% respectively, indicating growing investor confidence in these areas.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain exposure to these sectors through the Vanguard Information Technology ETF and Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF, which heavily feature stocks like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, as well as Amazon, Tesla, and Home Depot, reflecting a strong focus on tech and consumer goods.
- Long-Term Return Potential: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, averaging 24% annually, while the Consumer Discretionary ETF delivered a total return of 311%, averaging 15% annually, highlighting the attractiveness of these sectors for long-term investment.
- Risk and Diversification Strategy: Despite underperformance during market corrections, investors should consider diversifying their portfolios by purchasing index funds tracking financials, industrials, or utilities to mitigate risks associated with economic fluctuations.
See More
