Key Focus This Week: Inflation and Labor Reports, Oracle, Hewlett Packard, Adobe, and More
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Should l Buy CASY?
Source: Barron's
Market Concerns: Wall Street is apprehensive about stagflation due to a surprising decline in nonfarm payrolls and rising oil prices.
Upcoming Data: Investors are anticipating significant data releases that will provide insights into price growth trends.
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Analyst Views on CASY
Wall Street analysts forecast CASY stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 664.600
Low
530.00
Averages
609.33
High
700.00
Current: 664.600
Low
530.00
Averages
609.33
High
700.00
About CASY
Casey’s General Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries operate approximately 2,900 convenience stores in 19 states. It offers self-service fuel, a wide selection of grocery items and an array of freshly prepared food items. All convenience stores carry a selection of food items (which at most stores include freshly prepared foods, such as regular and breakfast pizza, donuts, hot breakfast items, and hot and cold sandwiches), beverages, tobacco and nicotine products, groceries, health and beauty aids, automotive products, and other non-food items. It offers a range of fuels, including E-10 gasoline, High Octane gasoline, Biodiesel, Winterized diesel, and Ethanol-free gasoline. It sells a range of tobacco products in-store, including e-cigarettes and vapor, chewing tobacco, nicotine pouches, and rolling papers and accessories. Its card services include Casey's Gift Cards, Casey's Visa Signature Card, and Casey's Business Mastercard & Casey's Business Advantage Card.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Release Date: Casey’s General Stores is set to release its Q3 earnings after the market closes on March 9, with expectations that the results will impact its stock price.
- Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast earnings per share of $2.97, representing a 27.5% increase from $2.33 in the same quarter last year, indicating a significant improvement in the company's profitability.
- Revenue Forecast: The anticipated revenue for Q3 is $4.04 billion, up 3.6% from $3.9 billion a year earlier, reflecting the company's robust growth in the market.
- Stock Price Movement: Despite a 0.9% decline in Casey’s stock price to $664.60 on Friday ahead of the earnings report, analysts remain optimistic about its future performance, potentially attracting more investor interest.
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- Earnings Beat: Casey's reported a Q3 GAAP EPS of $3.49, exceeding expectations by $0.52, indicating strong profitability despite revenue challenges.
- Slight Revenue Growth: Revenue reached $3.92 billion, a 0.5% year-over-year increase, but fell short of market expectations by $120 million, reflecting intensified market competition and slowing consumer spending.
- Same-Store Sales Increase: Same-store sales rose 4.0% year-over-year and 7.9% on a two-year stack basis, demonstrating effective customer experience enhancements and sales strategies that bolster market position.
- Fuel Profit Surge: Same-store fuel gallons increased by 0.4% year-over-year with a fuel margin of 41.0 cents per gallon, leading to a 15.3% increase in total fuel gross profit to $348.2 million, showcasing sustained profitability in the fuel segment.
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- Profit Growth: Casey’s General Stores reported a profit of $130.07 million for Q3, translating to earnings per share of $3.49, which is a significant increase from last year's $87.09 million and $2.33 per share, indicating enhanced profitability.
- Revenue Increase: The company’s revenue rose to $3.91 billion in Q3, up 0.3% from $3.90 billion last year, demonstrating its ability to maintain stable revenue levels in a competitive market environment.
- Market Performance: The growth in both profit and revenue suggests that Casey’s is strengthening its competitive position in the retail market, potentially attracting more investor interest and enhancing its market valuation.
- Future Outlook: With ongoing operational optimizations and improvements in customer experience, the company is expected to continue its profit growth in upcoming quarters, further solidifying its position in the industry.
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- Earnings Season Dynamics: This week’s earnings season is strong, with retailers, tech giants, and AI winners taking center stage, as investors closely monitor how guidance and AI-driven demand will shape market direction.
- Oracle Cloud Infrastructure: Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) saw a 68% surge last quarter, and investors are keen to see if its massive $523 billion contract backlog is beginning to translate into realized revenue, particularly as capital expenditures soar.
- UiPath Earnings Expectations: UiPath is set to report after Wednesday’s close, with analysts expecting earnings of 26 cents per share on revenue of $464.49 million, as investors will focus on the durability of growth and profitability stabilization and the impact of AI on net new ARR.
- Adobe Earnings Outlook: Adobe anticipates earnings of $5.87 per share and revenue of approximately $6.28 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of about 10%, with investors watching how generative AI features drive upside in net new ARR and Digital Media growth.
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- Market Impact of Oil Prices: Oil prices retreated from approximately $119 per barrel late Sunday to about $100 at market open on Monday, sliding further to around $95, which eased selling pressure in equities and highlighted the significance of crude during the Iran conflict.
- Government Response Measures: The Trump administration is reviewing options to stabilize the market, including potential strategic oil reserve releases in coordination with G7 countries; while these steps are positive, their effectiveness in offsetting supply disruptions from Gulf States remains uncertain.
- Pressure on Sensitive Sectors: Financials, consumer discretionary, and materials were the worst-performing sectors in the S&P 500, as rising oil prices typically lead to higher gasoline costs, reducing disposable income for consumers and putting pressure on economic growth.
- Tech Stocks Lead Recovery: Despite oil price volatility, technology and AI-related stocks are leading the market's recovery on Monday, indicating confidence in this investment cycle; Broadcom is up over 4%, reflecting strong post-earnings performance.
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Consumer Behavior During Snowstorms: Consumers are not only stocking up on traditional items like bread and milk before snowstorms but are also purchasing chocolate and breakfast sandwiches afterward.
Convenience Store Traffic: Last month, convenience stores experienced a significant increase in traffic, rebounding quickly after the snow and ice events in January.
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