Kaiser Aluminum backs FY25 conversion revenue growth view 5%-10%
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jul 23 2025
0mins
Should l Buy KALU?
Company Outlook for 2025: The company projects a 5% to 10% increase in Conversion Revenue year-over-year for the full year 2025.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement: The outlook for Adjusted EBITDA has been raised, expecting an improvement of 10% to 15% year-over-year.
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Analyst Views on KALU
Wall Street analysts forecast KALU stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 139.380
Low
105.00
Averages
106.50
High
108.00
Current: 139.380
Low
105.00
Averages
106.50
High
108.00
About KALU
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation is a producer of semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products. The Company's fabricated aluminum mill products include flat-rolled (plate, sheet, and coil), extruded (rod, bar, hollows, and shapes), drawn (rod, bar, pipe, tube and wire) and certain cast aluminum products. Its business focuses on producing rolled, extruded, and drawn aluminum products used principally for aerospace and defense, aluminum beverage and food packaging, general engineering that includes consumer durables, electronics and products for electrical and machinery and equipment applications, and automotive products. It provides its products for a range of market applications, including aerospace and high strength (Aero/HS products); beverage and food packaging products (Packaging); general engineering (GE products); automotive (Automotive Extrusions); and other products. Its Automotive Extrusions consist of extruded aluminum products for many North American automotive applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Kaiser Aluminum Reports Q4 Net Income of $28 Million
- Company Overview: Kaiser Aluminum reported a net income of USD 28 million for the fourth quarter.
- Financial Performance: The financial results indicate a positive performance for the company in the specified quarter.
See More
Kaiser Aluminum Set to Release Q4 Earnings on February 18
- Earnings Announcement: Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 18, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.56, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 372.7%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Strong Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q4 stands at $910 million, representing a 19.0% year-over-year growth, which highlights robust demand in the aluminum market and may further solidify the company's market position.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Kaiser Aluminum has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, demonstrating a level of reliability in financial performance that enhances investor confidence.
- Recent Forecast Revisions: In the last three months, there have been two upward revisions for both EPS and revenue estimates, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, which may attract more investor interest in Kaiser Aluminum's stock.
See More
Kaiser Aluminum Q4 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Kaiser Aluminum reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.53, missing expectations by $0.03, indicating some pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Sales Growth: The company achieved net sales of $929 million, a 21.4% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $19 million, demonstrating strong sales performance amid robust aluminum market demand.
- Market Reaction: Despite the EPS miss, the sales growth may attract investor attention, especially given the overall strong performance in the aluminum sector, potentially providing support for the stock price.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Kaiser Aluminum continues to be rated as a buy among analysts, reflecting optimism about its future growth potential despite the earnings pressure, indicating market confidence in its long-term strategy.
See More
Kaiser Aluminum Anticipates 5% to 10% Increase in Conversion Revenue for Full Year 2026
- Company Overview: Kaiser Aluminum is focused on improving its conversion revenue.
- Financial Expectations: The company anticipates a revenue increase of 5% to 10% for the fully year 2026.
See More
Brightline Capital Management Acquires Kaiser Aluminum Shares
- New Investment Position: On February 13, 2026, Brightline Capital Management disclosed a new position by acquiring 168,000 shares of Kaiser Aluminum for approximately $19.30 million, indicating strong conviction in the stock's potential.
- Portfolio Impact: This acquisition positions Kaiser Aluminum to represent 7.8% of Brightline's reportable U.S. equity assets, highlighting its significance in the portfolio and potentially influencing future investment strategies.
- Performance Highlights: Kaiser Aluminum reported net sales of $844 million and operating income of $49 million in Q3 2025, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $81 million and a 23.2% margin, showcasing robust profitability.
- Market Outlook: Despite a dip in shipments, Kaiser Aluminum's profitability has improved due to favorable pricing and metal dynamics, suggesting that if margins normalize at higher levels, future earnings power could exceed expectations.
See More
Brightline Capital Increases Stake in Kaiser Aluminum
- New Investment Position: Brightline Capital Management established a new position in Kaiser Aluminum by acquiring 168,000 shares valued at $19.30 million, indicating strong conviction in the stock despite it not being among the top five holdings of the fund.
- Improved Financial Performance: Kaiser Aluminum reported third-quarter net sales of $844 million, operating income of $49 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $81 million with a 23.2% margin, while management raised the full-year 2025 EBITDA outlook to a 20% to 25% year-over-year increase.
- Competitive Industry Advantage: As a leading supplier of specialty aluminum products, Kaiser Aluminum leverages a broad portfolio and an integrated manufacturing and distribution network, maintaining a competitive edge in high-value markets such as aerospace and automotive, thereby strengthening its position in cyclical manufacturing.
- Clear Investment Signal: With nearly 8% of its portfolio allocated to Kaiser Aluminum, Brightline Capital signals confidence in the company's future earnings potential; although the stock has doubled in the past year, the focus remains on operational leverage that could lead to unexpected earnings growth.
See More
Kaiser Aluminum Reports Q4 Net Income of $28 Million
- Company Overview: Kaiser Aluminum reported a net income of USD 28 million for the fourth quarter.
- Financial Performance: The financial results indicate a positive performance for the company in the specified quarter.
See More
Kaiser Aluminum Set to Release Q4 Earnings on February 18
- Earnings Announcement: Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 18, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.56, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 372.7%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Strong Revenue Expectations: The revenue estimate for Q4 stands at $910 million, representing a 19.0% year-over-year growth, which highlights robust demand in the aluminum market and may further solidify the company's market position.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Kaiser Aluminum has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, demonstrating a level of reliability in financial performance that enhances investor confidence.
- Recent Forecast Revisions: In the last three months, there have been two upward revisions for both EPS and revenue estimates, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance, which may attract more investor interest in Kaiser Aluminum's stock.
See More
Kaiser Aluminum Q4 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Kaiser Aluminum reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.53, missing expectations by $0.03, indicating some pressure on profitability that could affect investor confidence.
- Sales Growth: The company achieved net sales of $929 million, a 21.4% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $19 million, demonstrating strong sales performance amid robust aluminum market demand.
- Market Reaction: Despite the EPS miss, the sales growth may attract investor attention, especially given the overall strong performance in the aluminum sector, potentially providing support for the stock price.
- Analyst Rating Changes: Kaiser Aluminum continues to be rated as a buy among analysts, reflecting optimism about its future growth potential despite the earnings pressure, indicating market confidence in its long-term strategy.
See More
Kaiser Aluminum Anticipates 5% to 10% Increase in Conversion Revenue for Full Year 2026
- Company Overview: Kaiser Aluminum is focused on improving its conversion revenue.
- Financial Expectations: The company anticipates a revenue increase of 5% to 10% for the fully year 2026.
See More
Brightline Capital Management Acquires Kaiser Aluminum Shares
- New Investment Position: On February 13, 2026, Brightline Capital Management disclosed a new position by acquiring 168,000 shares of Kaiser Aluminum for approximately $19.30 million, indicating strong conviction in the stock's potential.
- Portfolio Impact: This acquisition positions Kaiser Aluminum to represent 7.8% of Brightline's reportable U.S. equity assets, highlighting its significance in the portfolio and potentially influencing future investment strategies.
- Performance Highlights: Kaiser Aluminum reported net sales of $844 million and operating income of $49 million in Q3 2025, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $81 million and a 23.2% margin, showcasing robust profitability.
- Market Outlook: Despite a dip in shipments, Kaiser Aluminum's profitability has improved due to favorable pricing and metal dynamics, suggesting that if margins normalize at higher levels, future earnings power could exceed expectations.
See More
Brightline Capital Increases Stake in Kaiser Aluminum
- New Investment Position: Brightline Capital Management established a new position in Kaiser Aluminum by acquiring 168,000 shares valued at $19.30 million, indicating strong conviction in the stock despite it not being among the top five holdings of the fund.
- Improved Financial Performance: Kaiser Aluminum reported third-quarter net sales of $844 million, operating income of $49 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $81 million with a 23.2% margin, while management raised the full-year 2025 EBITDA outlook to a 20% to 25% year-over-year increase.
- Competitive Industry Advantage: As a leading supplier of specialty aluminum products, Kaiser Aluminum leverages a broad portfolio and an integrated manufacturing and distribution network, maintaining a competitive edge in high-value markets such as aerospace and automotive, thereby strengthening its position in cyclical manufacturing.
- Clear Investment Signal: With nearly 8% of its portfolio allocated to Kaiser Aluminum, Brightline Capital signals confidence in the company's future earnings potential; although the stock has doubled in the past year, the focus remains on operational leverage that could lead to unexpected earnings growth.
See More
