Should I Buy KALU? KALU 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Buy

Latest Price

126.920

1 Day change

2.93%

52 Week Range

135.480

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/30

Buy KALU now (impatient-entry friendly). The setup is neutral-to-improving technically (MACD bearish but fading, RSI neutral), options positioning is skewed bullish (low put/call OI), and fundamentals in 2025/Q3 showed strong YoY acceleration in revenue, margins, and earnings. With price sitting just under the 127.62 pivot, a near-term push toward 133.60–137.30 is plausible, aligning with the pattern-based projection of ~+2.79% (1 week) and ~+10.72% (1 month). **Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals** - [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today. - [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.

Technical Analysis

Trend/structure: Price (~126.85) is just below the pivot at 127.62, implying a near-term inflection zone. Moving averages are converging, consistent with consolidation rather than a strong trend. Momentum: MACD histogram is -1.199 (below zero) but negatively contracting—bearish momentum is weakening. RSI(6) at ~54.6 is neutral, not overbought. Levels: Support S1 121.64 (then S2 117.94). Resistance R1 133.60 (then R2 137.30). A reclaim/hold above 127.62 improves odds of a move to 133.60; failure keeps it range-bound with 121.64 as the key buy-defense level.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Sentiment: Open interest put/call ratio of 0.42 is call-heavy (generally bullish positioning). Volatility: 30D IV ~31.48 with IV percentile 12.4 and IV rank 2.88 suggests implied volatility is relatively low versus its own history (options priced cheaply vs prior ranges). Caveat on signal strength: Actual options volume is extremely light today (total volume ~1), so the put/call *volume* signal is not very informative despite the OI skew.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

1) Strong latest quarter performance (2025/Q3) with sharp YoY improvement in net income, EPS, and gross margin.
2) Options open-interest skew (0.42 put/call) indicates bullish positioning.
3) Event catalyst ahead: next earnings on 2026-02-23 (after hours) could re-rate the stock if momentum continues.
4) Pattern-based forward drift is positive: ~+2.79% (1 week) and ~+10.72% (1 month) based on similar candlestick setups.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

1) Technicals are not in a clean uptrend yet: MACD is still below zero and price is slightly under the 127.62 pivot.
2) No supportive near-term news flow in the past week (no fresh narrative catalyst).
3) Options volume is very thin, limiting the strength of any options-derived sentiment read.

Financial Performance

Latest reported quarter: 2025/Q3. Revenue rose to $843.5M (+12.81% YoY). Net income increased to $39.5M (+229.17% YoY). EPS increased to $2.38 (+226.03% YoY). Gross margin improved to 9.8 (+56.30% YoY). Overall, the quarter shows clear acceleration in profitability and margin expansion alongside solid top-line growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No analyst rating/price target change data was provided, so a recent Wall Street trend read cannot be confirmed from this dataset. Pros typically supported by the data here: accelerating earnings/margins and improving profitability. Cons: technicals still in consolidation and limited near-term catalyst/news flow until the next earnings date. Influential/political flows: no recent congress trading data available; hedge funds and insiders are reported as neutral with no significant recent trend.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast KALU stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for KALU is 106.5 USD with a low forecast of 105 USD and a high forecast of 108 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 123.310

Low

105

Averages

106.5

High

108

Current: 123.310

Low

105

Averages

106.5

High

108

JPMorgan

Neutral

maintain

$82 -> $105

AI Analysis

2025-10-28

Reason

JPMorgan

Price Target

$82 -> $105

AI Analysis

2025-10-28

maintain

Neutral

Reason

JPMorgan raised the firm's price target on Kaiser Aluminum to $105 from $82 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm updated the company's' model post the Q3 report.

Benchmark

Josh Sullivan

Strong Buy

Maintains

$100 → $74

2025-04-21

Reason

Benchmark

Josh Sullivan

Price Target

$100 → $74

2025-04-21

Maintains

Strong Buy

Reason

Benchmark lowered the firm's price target on Kaiser Aluminum to $74 from $100 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Aerospace OEM-exposed names such as Kaiser are broadly expected to deliver solid Q1 results, with the second half expected to be driven by ramping OEM production rates, the analyst tells investors in a preview. Tariffs are driving near-term uncertainty and consumer softness is raising recessions concerns, but the long-term aerospace replacement cycle remains, the analyst added.

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KALU Should I Buy

KALU Should I Buy

Should You Buy Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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