KALU Valuation

Kaiser Aluminum Corp

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75.600

-0.91(-1.189%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

KALU Relative Valuation

KALU's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, KALU is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 14.14 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 26.69. The fair price of Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) is between 67.01 to 185.56 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

67.01-185.56

Current Price：75.49

Fair

14.14

Trailing

Forward

8.03

EV/EBITDA

Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU) has a current EV/EBITDA of 8.03. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.64. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 6.71, Undervalued between 6.71 and 8.18, Fairly Valued between 11.10 and 8.18, Overvalued between 11.10 and 12.56, and Strongly Overvalued above 12.56. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 8.03 falls within the Undervalued range.

13.96

EV/EBIT

Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU) has a current EV/EBIT of 13.96. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 18.50. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.15, Undervalued between 7.15 and 12.82, Fairly Valued between 24.17 and 12.82, Overvalued between 24.17 and 29.85, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.85. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 13.96 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.34

Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU) has a current PS of 0.34. The 5-year average PS is 0.47. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.10, Undervalued between 0.10 and 0.29, Fairly Valued between 0.65 and 0.29, Overvalued between 0.65 and 0.84, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.84. The current Forward PS of 0.34 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

6.16

P/OCF

Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU) has a current P/OCF of 6.16. The 5-year average P/OCF is 8.60. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -8.10, Undervalued between -8.10 and 0.25, Fairly Valued between 16.95 and 0.25, Overvalued between 16.95 and 25.31, and Strongly Overvalued above 25.31. The current Forward P/OCF of 6.16 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

10.44

P/FCF

Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU) has a current P/FCF of 10.44. The 5-year average P/FCF is 19.89. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -69.03, Undervalued between -69.03 and -24.57, Fairly Valued between 64.35 and -24.57, Overvalued between 64.35 and 108.81, and Strongly Overvalued above 108.81. The current Forward P/FCF of 10.44 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.58. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.80 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -11.98% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.95, the current P/B ratio is about -18.94% higher. Kaiser Aluminum Corp (KALU) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -3.08%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -3.51%, the current FCF yield is approximately -12.13% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 0.16% , the current FCF yield is about -2008.54% lower.

1.58

P/B

Median3y

1.80

Median5y

1.95

-3.14

FCF Yield

Median3y

-3.51

Median5y

0.16

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for KALU's competitors is 0.46, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Kaiser Aluminum Corp Corp (KALU) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.34, which is -25.45% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 6.43%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of KALU increased by 9.20% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 2.44 to 2.82.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 6.43%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of KALU in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

6.43%

773.40M → 823.10M

Revenue Growth

15.57%

2.44 → 2.82

Margin Expansion

-12.80%

26.36 → 22.98

P/E Change

9.20%