Japan's Rapidus Aims to Challenge Taiwan Semiconductor's Dominance with Affordable AI Chips
Rapidus' Innovations: Japan's Rapidus is developing cost-effective AI chips with a prototype interposer made from a large glass substrate, aiming for mass production by 2028 and challenging Taiwan Semiconductor's dominance in the market.
Taiwan Semiconductor's Leadership: Taiwan Semiconductor is reinforcing its lead in 2-nanometer technology by expanding manufacturing capabilities and improving efficiency, while facing increased demand from major clients like Apple and Nvidia.
Samsung and Intel's Strategies: Samsung is working to stabilize production at the 2-nanometer node to attract customers, while Intel is advancing its own 2-nanometer process to regain competitiveness in the global foundry market.
Market Dynamics: The competition in the AI chip market is intensifying, with Rapidus, Taiwan Semiconductor, Samsung, and Intel all vying for a share of the growing demand for advanced semiconductor technologies.
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- AI Business Growth: IBM's generative AI offerings have generated $12.5 billion in cumulative revenue to date, primarily from consulting services, indicating strong demand and growth potential in the enterprise AI market.
- Consulting Backlog: IBM's consulting arm currently boasts a backlog of $32 billion, reflecting client trust in its AI solutions and laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- Stable Software Revenue: IBM's annualized software revenue now stands at $23.6 billion, demonstrating sustained demand for its AI-related software, which enhances the company's financial stability and market competitiveness.
- Hardware and Service Integration: By selling and servicing entire mainframe computers, IBM offers flexible AI solutions, which provides a unique advantage in the AI market, catering to the diverse needs of enterprise clients.
- Technical Warning: Datavault AI Inc (NASDAQ:DVLT) has just triggered a Death Cross signal, typically seen as a warning of sustained downside pressure, even as its business momentum accelerates, highlighting a conflict between technical and fundamental indicators.
- Poor Stock Performance: The company's stock has declined approximately 45% over the past year and nearly 30% year-to-date, currently trading well below its 52-week high of $4.10, reflecting a prolonged downtrend that keeps traders cautious.
- Super Bowl Showcase: Datavault showcased its 'ADIO' data-over-sound and holographic technologies during Super Bowl LX in partnership with NFL Alumni, demonstrating immersive data transmission on one of the world's largest stages, enhancing brand visibility.
- IBM Collaboration Expansion: The company has expanded its collaboration with IBM to deploy enterprise-grade AI at the edge through its SanQtum AI platform, further strengthening its positioning in infrastructure-level AI solutions.
- Technological Advantage: IonQ's focus on trapped ion systems utilizes tiny lasers to trap ions in vacuum chambers, addressing the size and power consumption issues of traditional quantum computers, enabling operation at room temperature and enhancing market competitiveness.
- Low Error Rates: IonQ's trapped ion qubits exhibit consistency and predictability, achieving gate fidelity levels of up to 99.99%, significantly surpassing industry peers, which enhances computational accuracy and builds customer trust.
- Market Growth Potential: According to Fortune Business Insights, the quantum computing market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 34.8% from 2025 to 2032, positioning IonQ to capitalize on this growth with its innovative technology and product offerings.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts expect IonQ's annual revenue to nearly triple from 2025 to 2028, reaching $317 million, and although its stock is currently valued at 38 times its projected 2027 sales, there remains substantial room for growth as the market expands.
- Technological Advantage: IonQ's trapped ion technology utilizes lasers to confine ions in miniaturized vacuum chambers, allowing operation at room temperature, which makes it more compact and reduces energy consumption and operational costs compared to traditional electron-driven systems.
- High Fidelity: IonQ's qubits, being identical atoms, demonstrate more consistent behavior than electron-driven superconducting loops, enabling it to achieve gate fidelity levels of up to 99.99% in its two-qubit systems, significantly enhancing computational accuracy.
- Market Potential: According to Fortune Business Insights, the quantum computing market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 34.8% from 2025 to 2032, with IonQ's revenue projected to nearly triple during this period, reaching $317 million as it scales its business.
- Product Diversity: IonQ currently sells four quantum computing systems, including its flagship Forte system and the upcoming Tempo system, while also offering cloud-based quantum computing services, which enhances its market competitiveness and customer base.
- S&P 500 Forecast: Wall Street analysts predict an 18% increase in the S&P 500 to 8,200 over the next year, reflecting optimistic market sentiment about economic recovery, which may attract more investors into the market.
- Sector Performance: The information technology and consumer discretionary sectors are expected to grow by 33% and 22%, respectively, indicating that these industries will be focal points for investors, particularly through exposure via Vanguard ETFs.
- Vanguard Tech ETF Performance: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, equivalent to an annual growth of 24%, showcasing its strong performance in the tech sector, despite underperforming during market corrections.
- Concentration Risk Management: The top three stocks in the Vanguard Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary ETFs account for 44% and 43% of their performance, respectively, prompting investors to consider diversifying their portfolios to mitigate concentration risk and enhance resilience.
- Sector Outlook: Wall Street analysts forecast that the information technology and consumer discretionary sectors will outperform the S&P 500 over the next year, with expected gains of 33% and 22% respectively, indicating growing investor confidence in these areas.
- ETF Investment Opportunities: Investors can gain exposure to these sectors through the Vanguard Information Technology ETF and Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF, which heavily feature stocks like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, as well as Amazon, Tesla, and Home Depot, reflecting a strong focus on tech and consumer goods.
- Long-Term Return Potential: The Vanguard Information Technology ETF achieved a total return of 776% over the past decade, averaging 24% annually, while the Consumer Discretionary ETF delivered a total return of 311%, averaging 15% annually, highlighting the attractiveness of these sectors for long-term investment.
- Risk and Diversification Strategy: Despite underperformance during market corrections, investors should consider diversifying their portfolios by purchasing index funds tracking financials, industrials, or utilities to mitigate risks associated with economic fluctuations.









