Iran Conflict Drives Spotlight on Energy Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy XOM?
Source: Fool
- ExxonMobil's Advantageous Assets: ExxonMobil (XOM) benefits from low-cost, high-return assets in Guyana and the Permian Basin, with projections indicating that by 2030, these assets will account for 65% of its upstream production, thereby enhancing cash flow and market competitiveness amid oil prices exceeding $100.
- Rising Demand for SLB Technology: SLB (SLB), an energy technology provider, generated $13.3 billion from its Production Systems business last year; despite the Iranian conflict potentially causing a $0.06 to $0.09 decline in EPS, elevated oil prices are expected to boost demand for its technology, driving future performance recovery.
- Stable Growth of Enterprise Products Partners: Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) operates over 50,000 miles of pipelines and 300 million barrels of liquid storage, with 82% of its gross operating margin derived from fee-based contracts, ensuring stability amid oil and gas price fluctuations, while export volumes are projected to reach record highs.
- Market Investment Opportunities: As investors seek exposure to energy stocks, the introduction of fractional shares allows participation in top energy stocks with a minimum investment of $100, reflecting market confidence and expectations for future growth in the energy sector.
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Analyst Views on XOM
Wall Street analysts forecast XOM stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 159.670
Low
114.00
Averages
132.17
High
158.00
Current: 159.670
Low
114.00
Averages
132.17
High
158.00
About XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation is an energy provider and chemical manufacturer. The Company’s principal business involves exploration for, and production of, crude oil and natural gas; the manufacture, trade, transport and sale of crude oil, natural gas, petroleum products, petrochemicals and a wide variety of specialty products; and pursuit of lower-emission and other new business opportunities, including carbon capture and storage, hydrogen, lower-emission fuels, Proxxima systems, carbon materials, and lithium. Its Upstream segment explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. The Energy Products, Chemical Products, and Specialty Products segments manufacture and sell petroleum products and petrochemicals. Energy Products segment includes fuels, aromatics, and catalysts and licensing. Chemical Products segment consists of olefins, polyolefins, and intermediates. Specialty Products segment includes finished lubricants, basestocks and waxes, synthetics, and elastomers and resins.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Growing Energy Demand: Asian countries like Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan are seeking to increase energy purchases from the U.S. to reduce dependence on Middle Eastern oil and gas exports, particularly as tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has plummeted due to Iranian attacks.
- Stable Supply Strategy: Interior Secretary Doug Burgum highlighted that the Trump administration's energy dominance agenda aims to provide U.S. allies with a stable alternative energy supply, ensuring they do not rely on countries that support war or terrorism.
- Japan's Energy Challenges: Japan's Vice Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry, Takehiko Matsuo, noted that the country relies on the Strait for 90% of its oil imports and prioritizes finding alternative supplies, although the process is challenging, indicating strong anticipation for U.S. energy.
- Alaska's Role: Burgum emphasized that Alaska will play a crucial role in providing secure energy to Asia, with recent oil and gas lease sales and a massive LNG project being prioritized, ensuring energy supply security as exports from Alaska take only eight days to reach Asian allies.
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- ExxonMobil's Advantageous Assets: ExxonMobil (XOM) benefits from low-cost, high-return assets in Guyana and the Permian Basin, with projections indicating that by 2030, these assets will account for 65% of its upstream production, thereby enhancing cash flow and market competitiveness amid oil prices exceeding $100.
- Rising Demand for SLB Technology: SLB (SLB), an energy technology provider, generated $13.3 billion from its Production Systems business last year; despite the Iranian conflict potentially causing a $0.06 to $0.09 decline in EPS, elevated oil prices are expected to boost demand for its technology, driving future performance recovery.
- Stable Growth of Enterprise Products Partners: Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) operates over 50,000 miles of pipelines and 300 million barrels of liquid storage, with 82% of its gross operating margin derived from fee-based contracts, ensuring stability amid oil and gas price fluctuations, while export volumes are projected to reach record highs.
- Market Investment Opportunities: As investors seek exposure to energy stocks, the introduction of fractional shares allows participation in top energy stocks with a minimum investment of $100, reflecting market confidence and expectations for future growth in the energy sector.
See More
- Low-Cost, High-Return Assets: ExxonMobil's assets in Guyana and the Permian Basin are characterized by low production costs and high returns, with projections indicating that by 2030, these assets will account for 65% of its upstream production, thereby enhancing the company's stability in a volatile oil and gas market.
- Technology-Driven Efficiency: The company is leveraging technologies such as cube development and lightweight proppants to enhance drilling efficiency and maximize well performance, which is expected to drive cash flow growth, especially as Brent crude oil prices surge past $100.
- Stable Revenue Sources: Enterprise Products Partners operates over 50,000 miles of pipelines and 300 million barrels of liquid storage, ensuring that approximately 82% of its gross operating margin is fee-based and volume-based, significantly reducing its vulnerability to fluctuations in oil and gas prices.
- Impact of Middle East Conflict: The ongoing conflict in Iran poses near-term challenges for both ExxonMobil and SLB, with SLB projecting a decline in earnings per share of $0.06 to $0.09; however, if the situation stabilizes, the demand for SLB's technology could surge, presenting a potential investment opportunity.
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- Escalating Military Threat: Trump has issued an ultimatum to Iran to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours or face U.S. strikes on its power plants, a threat that could provoke Iranian retaliation against Gulf energy infrastructure, potentially driving oil prices higher.
- Military Action Postponed: Following productive dialogue with Iran, Trump announced a five-day delay on potential military strikes against Iranian power plants, a development that sent stock prices soaring while oil prices and oil stocks fell, reflecting market optimism for de-escalation.
- Oil Market Watch Strategy: Investors should build an oil stock watchlist this pivotal week; if U.S.-Iran relations progress toward peace, crude prices may continue to fall, but if tensions escalate, prices could surge due to Iranian attacks on Gulf energy infrastructure.
- LNG Investment Opportunities: The recent Iranian attack on Qatari energy infrastructure will knock out 17% of QatarEnergy's capacity, prompting investors to focus on LNG stocks, particularly global leaders like Chevron and Exxon, as well as U.S. producers like Cheniere Energy and Venture Global, which are expanding their operations.
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- Oil Price Impact: The outcome of U.S.-Iran negotiations will directly influence oil price trends; if a peace agreement is reached, crude prices may continue to fall, while failure could lead to significant increases, prompting investors to closely monitor developments to adjust strategies.
- Chevron's Investment Potential: With a breakeven point below $50 per barrel and projected cash flow growth exceeding 10% CAGR at $70 oil, Chevron is well-positioned to withstand low oil prices, making it a strong candidate for long-term investment.
- LNG Market Outlook: Following Iran's attack on Qatari energy infrastructure, QatarEnergy anticipates a 17% capacity loss for the next three to five years, which will have lasting implications for the global LNG market, prompting investors to consider related stocks.
- U.S. LNG Producers Expansion: Cheniere Energy is expanding its LNG terminal in Texas, expected to come online in stages over the next few years, while Venture Global has announced a major expansion of its Plaquemines LNG terminal, highlighting growth potential among U.S. LNG producers.
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- Diesel Supply Initiative: Energy Secretary Chris Wright announced that the U.S. government is considering increasing diesel fuel availability in the market to combat rising prices, with implementation expected soon, thereby alleviating consumer fuel cost pressures.
- Export Policy Maintained: Wright emphasized that the U.S. will not restrict diesel exports to ensure the free flow of energy trades, avoiding reduced refinery output, which would stabilize both domestic and global markets.
- Emergency Oil Release: The U.S. could release up to 3 million barrels of oil per day from its emergency stockpile to address shortages caused by ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts, with expected daily releases between 1 million and 1.5 million barrels, aimed at easing domestic supply constraints.
- Market Impact Assessment: These measures not only aim to tackle the current energy price crisis but could also yield a potential $60 billion windfall for U.S. producers, reflecting the government's proactive approach to energy policy and market responsiveness.
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