Investment Choices in the Transforming Tobacco Industry
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 10 hours ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- Altria Performance Overview: In FY 2025, Altria's revenue reached nearly $20.1 billion, reflecting a slight decline of about 1.5% year-over-year, yet it reported a net income of nearly $6.95 billion, indicating strong profitability despite challenges in the traditional cigarette market.
- Turning Point Brands Growth: Turning Point Brands achieved revenue of approximately $463.1 million in FY 2025, marking a substantial 28% year-over-year increase, with net income close to $58.2 million, showcasing its successful expansion in high-growth niche markets.
- Risks and Challenges: Altria faces regulatory hurdles from the FDA and declining traditional cigarette volumes, while Turning Point Brands relies on a limited number of suppliers, exposing it to supply chain disruptions that could restrict market access.
- Valuation Comparison: Altria's forward P/E ratio stands at 13.0x, offering a lower P/S ratio appealing to value-conscious investors, whereas Turning Point Brands has a significantly higher forward P/E of 62.9x, reflecting market expectations for its future growth.
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Analyst Views on MO
Wall Street analysts forecast MO stock price to fall
8 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 72.810
Low
57.00
Averages
65.00
High
72.00
Current: 72.810
Low
57.00
Averages
65.00
High
72.00
About MO
Altria Group, Inc. operates a portfolio of tobacco products for United States tobacco consumers aged 21+. Its segments include smokeable products and oral tobacco products. The smokeable products segment consists of combustible cigarettes and machine-made large cigars. The oral tobacco products segment includes moist smokeless tobacco (MST) products and oral nicotine pouches. Its wholly owned subsidiaries include manufacturers of both combustible and smoke-free products. In combustibles, it owns Philip Morris USA Inc. (PM USA), and John Middleton Co. (Middleton), which are cigarette manufacturers. Its smoke-free portfolio includes ownership of U.S. Smokeless Tobacco Company LLC (USSTC), a global MST manufacturer, Helix Innovations LLC (Helix), a manufacturer of oral nicotine pouches, and NJOY, LLC (NJOY), an e-vapor manufacturer with a commercialized product portfolio. The brand portfolios of its operating companies include Marlboro, Black & Mild, Copenhagen, Skoal, on! and NJOY.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Top Dividend Stocks to Consider for Stability
- Real Estate Trust Leader: Realty Income, one of the world's top REITs, focuses on single-tenant properties and employs a net lease model, ensuring shareholders receive stable monthly dividends, having increased dividends annually for over 30 years, demonstrating resilience in economic downturns.
- Tobacco Industry Resilience: Despite declining smoking rates in the U.S., Altria Group continues to raise dividends annually, with a 5.82% yield and an 81% cash flow payout ratio indicating stability during economic fluctuations, and analysts project 4% to 5% annual earnings growth over the next three years.
- Dividend King in Food and Beverage: PepsiCo, with its strong brand portfolio and a record of 50 consecutive years of dividend increases, showcases resilience amid economic uncertainty, and despite an 87% payout ratio, its A+ credit rating and $10.8 billion cash reserves make dividend cuts unlikely.
- Market Adaptability: All three companies exhibit strong market adaptability, with Realty Income's stable rental income, Altria's pricing strategies, and PepsiCo's brand diversification providing reliable passive income sources for investors, making them suitable for long-term holding.
See More
Stable Income from Realty Income Trust
- Realty Income Trust Advantage: Realty Income offers a 5% yield with monthly dividends, ensuring stable passive income for investors, and has increased dividends annually for over 30 years, demonstrating resilience in economic downturns.
- Altria Group's Stability: Altria Group maintains a 5.8% dividend yield, attracting investors despite declining smoking rates in the U.S., with 81% of its cash flow allocated to dividends, indicating strong profitability and risk resistance in the tobacco sector.
- PepsiCo's Diversification: PepsiCo, known for its beverages, also excels in the food sector with Frito-Lay and Quaker Foods, offering a 4% dividend yield and an 87% cash flow payout ratio, showcasing financial stability and long-term growth potential.
- Investment Recommendation Comparison: While Realty Income is seen as a stable investment, the Motley Fool Stock Advisor's recommended 10 stocks may yield higher returns in the coming years, prompting investors to choose wisely.
See More
Investment Choices in the Transforming Tobacco Industry
- Altria Performance Overview: In FY 2025, Altria's revenue reached nearly $20.1 billion, reflecting a slight decline of about 1.5% year-over-year, yet it reported a net income of nearly $6.95 billion, indicating strong profitability despite challenges in the traditional cigarette market.
- Turning Point Brands Growth: Turning Point Brands achieved revenue of approximately $463.1 million in FY 2025, marking a substantial 28% year-over-year increase, with net income close to $58.2 million, showcasing its successful expansion in high-growth niche markets.
- Risks and Challenges: Altria faces regulatory hurdles from the FDA and declining traditional cigarette volumes, while Turning Point Brands relies on a limited number of suppliers, exposing it to supply chain disruptions that could restrict market access.
- Valuation Comparison: Altria's forward P/E ratio stands at 13.0x, offering a lower P/S ratio appealing to value-conscious investors, whereas Turning Point Brands has a significantly higher forward P/E of 62.9x, reflecting market expectations for its future growth.
See More
Investment Choices in the Tobacco Industry
- Altria's Financial Performance: In FY 2025, Altria reported nearly $20.1 billion in revenue, a slight decline of 1.5% year-over-year, yet its net income reached approximately $6.95 billion, indicating strong profitability in the traditional cigarette market despite facing challenges.
- Turning Point Brands Growth: Turning Point Brands achieved around $463.1 million in revenue for FY 2025, marking a substantial 28% year-over-year increase, with net income close to $58.2 million, showcasing its successful expansion in high-growth segments like rolling papers and specialty tobacco.
- Market Competition and Risks: Altria faces regulatory hurdles from the FDA and declining traditional smoking volumes, while Turning Point Brands relies on a limited number of third-party suppliers, posing risks of supply chain disruptions that could restrict market access, highlighting vulnerabilities in both companies' market environments.
- Investment Return Comparison: Altria offers a forward dividend yield of nearly 6%, compared to Turning Point Brands' yield of less than 1%, and its lower forward P/E ratio makes it a more attractive investment choice, despite differences in future growth potential between the two companies.
See More
Altria: A Reliable Long-Term Investment Choice
- Stable Dividend Growth: Altria has raised its dividend 60 times over the past 56 years, establishing itself as a 'Dividend King' with a current yield of 5.8%, significantly higher than the 4.6% yield of the 10-Year Treasury, indicating strong and sustainable payout capabilities.
- Business Diversification: To counter the ongoing decline in U.S. smoking rates, Altria has acquired the leading e-cigarette brand NJOY and expanded its smoke-free product portfolio, aiming to generate at least $5 billion in smoke-free revenue by 2028, which will account for 24% of projected sales, thereby reducing reliance on traditional cigarettes.
- Share Buyback Strategy: Over the past five years, Altria has repurchased 9% of its shares, a strategy that not only boosts earnings per share (EPS) but also enhances investor confidence in the company's future growth, with EPS expected to grow at a 13% CAGR from 2025 to 2028.
- Strong Market Adaptability: With nearly all products produced and sold in the U.S., Altria is naturally insulated from tariffs and trade wars, and its smoke-free portfolio could benefit from FDA crackdowns on smaller alternative nicotine products, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Altria: A Dividend King with Upside Potential
- Dividend Appeal: Altria offers a forward dividend yield of 5.8%, significantly higher than the 4.6% yield of the 10-Year Treasury, and has utilized only 81% of its free cash flow for dividends over the past year, indicating strong sustainability and attractiveness of its payouts.
- Market Share Expansion: By acquiring the leading e-cigarette brand NJOY and expanding its On! nicotine pouch line, Altria is increasing its share in the smoke-free product market, with projections to achieve $5 billion in smoke-free revenue by 2028, representing 24% of expected sales.
- Earnings Growth Outlook: Analysts forecast Altria's EPS to grow at a 13% CAGR from 2025 to 2028, suggesting that its stock remains attractive at a current P/E ratio of 13, especially as the broader market may face pullbacks.
- Ongoing Buyback Strategy: Altria has repurchased 9% of its shares over the past five years and plans to continue this strategy, which supports EPS growth and enhances shareholder value, further solidifying its leadership position in the tobacco industry.
See More
Top Dividend Stocks to Consider for Stability
- Real Estate Trust Leader: Realty Income, one of the world's top REITs, focuses on single-tenant properties and employs a net lease model, ensuring shareholders receive stable monthly dividends, having increased dividends annually for over 30 years, demonstrating resilience in economic downturns.
- Tobacco Industry Resilience: Despite declining smoking rates in the U.S., Altria Group continues to raise dividends annually, with a 5.82% yield and an 81% cash flow payout ratio indicating stability during economic fluctuations, and analysts project 4% to 5% annual earnings growth over the next three years.
- Dividend King in Food and Beverage: PepsiCo, with its strong brand portfolio and a record of 50 consecutive years of dividend increases, showcases resilience amid economic uncertainty, and despite an 87% payout ratio, its A+ credit rating and $10.8 billion cash reserves make dividend cuts unlikely.
- Market Adaptability: All three companies exhibit strong market adaptability, with Realty Income's stable rental income, Altria's pricing strategies, and PepsiCo's brand diversification providing reliable passive income sources for investors, making them suitable for long-term holding.
See More
Stable Income from Realty Income Trust
- Realty Income Trust Advantage: Realty Income offers a 5% yield with monthly dividends, ensuring stable passive income for investors, and has increased dividends annually for over 30 years, demonstrating resilience in economic downturns.
- Altria Group's Stability: Altria Group maintains a 5.8% dividend yield, attracting investors despite declining smoking rates in the U.S., with 81% of its cash flow allocated to dividends, indicating strong profitability and risk resistance in the tobacco sector.
- PepsiCo's Diversification: PepsiCo, known for its beverages, also excels in the food sector with Frito-Lay and Quaker Foods, offering a 4% dividend yield and an 87% cash flow payout ratio, showcasing financial stability and long-term growth potential.
- Investment Recommendation Comparison: While Realty Income is seen as a stable investment, the Motley Fool Stock Advisor's recommended 10 stocks may yield higher returns in the coming years, prompting investors to choose wisely.
See More
Investment Choices in the Transforming Tobacco Industry
- Altria Performance Overview: In FY 2025, Altria's revenue reached nearly $20.1 billion, reflecting a slight decline of about 1.5% year-over-year, yet it reported a net income of nearly $6.95 billion, indicating strong profitability despite challenges in the traditional cigarette market.
- Turning Point Brands Growth: Turning Point Brands achieved revenue of approximately $463.1 million in FY 2025, marking a substantial 28% year-over-year increase, with net income close to $58.2 million, showcasing its successful expansion in high-growth niche markets.
- Risks and Challenges: Altria faces regulatory hurdles from the FDA and declining traditional cigarette volumes, while Turning Point Brands relies on a limited number of suppliers, exposing it to supply chain disruptions that could restrict market access.
- Valuation Comparison: Altria's forward P/E ratio stands at 13.0x, offering a lower P/S ratio appealing to value-conscious investors, whereas Turning Point Brands has a significantly higher forward P/E of 62.9x, reflecting market expectations for its future growth.
See More
Investment Choices in the Tobacco Industry
- Altria's Financial Performance: In FY 2025, Altria reported nearly $20.1 billion in revenue, a slight decline of 1.5% year-over-year, yet its net income reached approximately $6.95 billion, indicating strong profitability in the traditional cigarette market despite facing challenges.
- Turning Point Brands Growth: Turning Point Brands achieved around $463.1 million in revenue for FY 2025, marking a substantial 28% year-over-year increase, with net income close to $58.2 million, showcasing its successful expansion in high-growth segments like rolling papers and specialty tobacco.
- Market Competition and Risks: Altria faces regulatory hurdles from the FDA and declining traditional smoking volumes, while Turning Point Brands relies on a limited number of third-party suppliers, posing risks of supply chain disruptions that could restrict market access, highlighting vulnerabilities in both companies' market environments.
- Investment Return Comparison: Altria offers a forward dividend yield of nearly 6%, compared to Turning Point Brands' yield of less than 1%, and its lower forward P/E ratio makes it a more attractive investment choice, despite differences in future growth potential between the two companies.
See More
Altria: A Reliable Long-Term Investment Choice
- Stable Dividend Growth: Altria has raised its dividend 60 times over the past 56 years, establishing itself as a 'Dividend King' with a current yield of 5.8%, significantly higher than the 4.6% yield of the 10-Year Treasury, indicating strong and sustainable payout capabilities.
- Business Diversification: To counter the ongoing decline in U.S. smoking rates, Altria has acquired the leading e-cigarette brand NJOY and expanded its smoke-free product portfolio, aiming to generate at least $5 billion in smoke-free revenue by 2028, which will account for 24% of projected sales, thereby reducing reliance on traditional cigarettes.
- Share Buyback Strategy: Over the past five years, Altria has repurchased 9% of its shares, a strategy that not only boosts earnings per share (EPS) but also enhances investor confidence in the company's future growth, with EPS expected to grow at a 13% CAGR from 2025 to 2028.
- Strong Market Adaptability: With nearly all products produced and sold in the U.S., Altria is naturally insulated from tariffs and trade wars, and its smoke-free portfolio could benefit from FDA crackdowns on smaller alternative nicotine products, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Altria: A Dividend King with Upside Potential
- Dividend Appeal: Altria offers a forward dividend yield of 5.8%, significantly higher than the 4.6% yield of the 10-Year Treasury, and has utilized only 81% of its free cash flow for dividends over the past year, indicating strong sustainability and attractiveness of its payouts.
- Market Share Expansion: By acquiring the leading e-cigarette brand NJOY and expanding its On! nicotine pouch line, Altria is increasing its share in the smoke-free product market, with projections to achieve $5 billion in smoke-free revenue by 2028, representing 24% of expected sales.
- Earnings Growth Outlook: Analysts forecast Altria's EPS to grow at a 13% CAGR from 2025 to 2028, suggesting that its stock remains attractive at a current P/E ratio of 13, especially as the broader market may face pullbacks.
- Ongoing Buyback Strategy: Altria has repurchased 9% of its shares over the past five years and plans to continue this strategy, which supports EPS growth and enhances shareholder value, further solidifying its leadership position in the tobacco industry.
See More
