Investment Case for ON Semiconductor: Long-Term Growth Prospects
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Source: Fool
- Stock Performance: ON Semiconductor's stock has surged 114% year-to-date, currently priced at $121.33 with a market cap of $50 billion, reflecting strong market performance and investor confidence.
- Market Growth Potential: The company's silicon carbide chips account for 55% of new EV models, with expectations for AI data center revenue to double year-over-year by 2026, indicating robust competitiveness in rapidly growing sectors.
- Revenue Growth Drivers: Projected annual revenue growth of 9.4% over the next five years, with earnings per share expected to grow at a rate of 27%, will enhance profit flow under high fixed costs, improving overall profitability.
- Capacity Utilization Improvement: Manufacturing utilization rose to 77% in Q1, with the CFO anticipating a 25%-30% revenue increase in the coming years, which will further boost margins and enhance the company's long-term investment appeal.
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Analyst Views on ON
Wall Street analysts forecast ON stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
9 Buy
10 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 124.890
Low
50.00
Averages
61.25
High
80.00
Current: 124.890
Low
50.00
Averages
61.25
High
80.00
About ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation is engaged in providing intelligent power and intelligent sensing solutions. The Company’s intelligent power technologies enable the electrification of drivetrain in the automotive industry to allow for lighter and longer-range electric vehicles. Its segments include Power Solutions Group (PSG), the Analog and Mixed-Signal Group (AMG) and the Intelligent Sensing Group (ISG). PSG segment provides a portfolio of discrete, module, and integrated semiconductor devices designed to enable conversion across artificial intelligence (AI) data centers, energy infrastructure, automotive and industrial. AMG segment designs and develops a range of analog and mixed-signal solutions including power‑management, sensor‑interface, connectivity, and products that serve automotive, industrial automation, AI data center, computing, and mobile end markets.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Performance: ON Semiconductor's stock has surged 114% year-to-date, currently priced at $121.33 with a market cap of $50 billion, reflecting strong market performance and investor confidence.
- Market Growth Potential: The company's silicon carbide chips account for 55% of new EV models, with expectations for AI data center revenue to double year-over-year by 2026, indicating robust competitiveness in rapidly growing sectors.
- Revenue Growth Drivers: Projected annual revenue growth of 9.4% over the next five years, with earnings per share expected to grow at a rate of 27%, will enhance profit flow under high fixed costs, improving overall profitability.
- Capacity Utilization Improvement: Manufacturing utilization rose to 77% in Q1, with the CFO anticipating a 25%-30% revenue increase in the coming years, which will further boost margins and enhance the company's long-term investment appeal.
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- New Product Launch: Tradr ETFs has introduced three new leveraged ETFs aimed at delivering two times (200%) the daily performance of specific stocks, further expanding its market presence in the semiconductor sector and enhancing its appeal among investors.
- Market Positioning: The newly launched ETFs feature Microchip, NXP, and ON Semi, which play integral roles in the American AI infrastructure buildout, indicating Tradr's keen insight into market trends and its ability to respond swiftly.
- Asset Management Scale: Tradr currently manages 63 leveraged ETFs with over $7 billion in assets, showcasing its strong position and influence in the high-end investment tools market, attracting significant attention from professional investors.
- Investor Convenience: Tradr's strategies are accessible through most brokerage platforms, allowing investors to avoid the hassle of margin use and complex options trading, thereby enhancing trading convenience and efficiency, which further drives the company's growth in the high-end investment market.
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- Settlement Agreement: Lululemon has reached a settlement with founder Chip Wilson, ending a proxy contest that began last year, which includes appointing two of Wilson's nominees to the board, indicating improvements in corporate governance and stability.
- Stock Price Recovery: Following the announcement of the settlement, Lululemon's shares rose approximately 4% in premarket trading, reflecting market optimism about the company's strategic direction and potentially restoring investor confidence.
- Board Restructuring: As part of the agreement, Lululemon will appoint Marc Maurer and Laura Gentile as new directors by October, enhancing the board's expertise in product and brand management, aimed at improving the company's performance in a competitive athletic apparel market.
- Strategic Adjustments: Wilson agreed to refrain from publicly criticizing the company and redirected his proxy contest expenses into a donation for Kitsilano Beach in Vancouver, indicating a shared strategic vision that allows Lululemon to focus on brand health and growth.
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- Market Performance: The S&P 500 rose by 0.61% and the Nasdaq 100 increased by 1.76%, reaching all-time highs, indicating strong demand for tech stocks amid falling oil prices and progress in US-Iran peace talks.
- Oil Price Volatility: WTI crude oil prices fell to a 2.5-week low as US-Iran negotiations aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz progressed, although military actions by US Central Command pressured market sentiment, leading to declines in energy stocks.
- Economic Data Impact: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to a 13-month high of 0.14, surpassing expectations, while a slight decline in the consumer confidence index reflects the complexities of economic recovery, potentially influencing future market trends.
- Earnings Reports: As of Tuesday, 83% of the 475 S&P 500 companies reported earnings above expectations, with Q1 earnings projected to grow by 12% year-on-year, although excluding the tech sector, the increase is only 3%, highlighting disparities across industries.
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- Micron Technology Surge: Micron's shares soared nearly 18%, elevating its market cap to $1 trillion, as UBS raised its price target from $535 to $1,625, indicating a potential doubling of share value, reflecting strong market confidence in the semiconductor sector.
- Semiconductor Sector Rally: The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) rose over 3%, reaching a new 52-week high, with On Semiconductor and Western Digital both gaining nearly 9%, showcasing investor optimism regarding the recovery of the chip industry.
- Oklo Nuclear Tech Progress: Oklo's stock increased by 6% after being selected by the Department of Energy for discussions on using Cold War-era plutonium as fuel, indicating the company's strategic collaboration potential in the nuclear energy sector.
- Modine Manufacturing Agreement: Modine's shares jumped 16% after announcing a $4 billion agreement with a strategic data center customer, expected to significantly enhance revenue and market position through 2029.
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- Strong Market Performance: The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.81% and the Nasdaq 100 Index increased by 1.74%, reaching all-time highs, indicating robust market support for technology stocks, particularly amid falling crude oil prices and declining bond yields.
- Mixed Economic Data: The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to a 13-month high of 0.14, surpassing expectations, while the S&P Composite-20 home price index increased by only 0.83% year-on-year, below the expected 0.90%, suggesting weakness in the housing market that could impact future consumer confidence.
- Volatile Oil Market: WTI crude oil prices fell to a 2.5-week low due to progress in US-Iran peace talks, although US Central Command's strikes on Iranian targets caused market fluctuations, highlighting the ongoing geopolitical influence on energy markets.
- Earnings Season Insights: So far, 83% of the 475 S&P 500 companies have beaten earnings estimates, with Q1 earnings projected to rise by 12% year-on-year; however, excluding the technology sector, the increase is only 3%, reflecting pressure on overall economic growth.
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