IMF Increases Economic Growth Projections for China and the US in 2026 to 4.5% and 2.4%

IMF Economic Forecast for China: The IMF raised its 2026 economic growth forecast for China by 0.3 percentage points to 4.5%, citing mutual tariff cuts with the US and a shift in exports to Southeast Asia and Europe.

IMF Economic Forecast for the US: The IMF also increased its 2026 growth forecast for the US by 0.3 percentage points to 2.4%, anticipating positive impacts from investments in AI infrastructure.

China's GDP Growth: China's GDP growth rate for Q4 is reported at 1.2%, surpassing the previous value of 1.1% and exceeding the forecast of 1%.

Global Economic Outlook: The IMF raised its 2026 global economic growth forecast by 0.2 percentage points to 3.3%, noting that companies have adapted to US tariff hikes and the global economy is recovering from past trade disruptions.